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-   Handicapping Software (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/forumdisplay.php?f=3)
-   -   Picking pacelines (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=143282)

Tom 02-15-2018 08:42 AM

I ordered as soon as this was posted two days ago - so far, no product by email, no replies to mine.

Will advise.

topgun 02-15-2018 11:34 AM

Pacelines
 
Tom,

I want to say thanks for the information. I tried to call that number and sent a email with no reply back.

Topgun

shrink 1 02-15-2018 02:13 PM

Pacelines
 
I also bought a pick 3 pick 4 service All I got was a receipt from PayPal and no confirmation. Sent 2 e-mails and left a message on his phone. all I got that he would be back in an hour tried again same message. Tried yesterday all I got was a busy signal all day

topgun 02-15-2018 03:05 PM

Pacelines
 
Hello,

I call the number all day long and it was also busy.

Tom 02-15-2018 05:11 PM

I'm going to call PayPal and ask for a refund.
Let you know what happens.

When your website says same day delivery, or next morning, that is what I expect.

topgun 02-15-2018 05:16 PM

Pacelines
 
Tom,

I agree with you, as it looks like a scam, we hope not.

Thanks!
Gun

cloud9 02-15-2018 05:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tom (Post 2277000)
I'm going to call PayPal and ask for a refund.
Let you know what happens.

When your website says same day delivery, or next morning, that is what I expect.

I no the feeling .

Tom 02-16-2018 08:35 PM

Got through on the phone today.
No product will be shipped. Refund coming.
Guy has been sick and can't continue it.

topgun 02-17-2018 03:36 AM

Pacelines
 
Tom,

Thanks for the heads up! Glad you getting your money back.

Gun

jeebus1083 02-19-2018 11:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mikesal57 (Post 2275884)
Think about this Dave...

Actually YOU ARE using paceline selections in every race you do....

maybe its not by your hand but it is your set of rules that created it..

a PC doesnt run on its own ...you told it what to do and look for in each race

Mike

I know that many of the systems/analysts in HSH are based on composite (?) factors and weighted ranks. The original NewPace employee concepts such as population samples, weighted/composite numbers. Dave fine tuned the approach over time, but the point is that an analyst does not use a single paceline to represent “the” horse. It attempts to take into account the horse’s history (or comparable parts of it) and weighs it against the other runners and expected profit/loss ($net).

mikesal57 02-19-2018 11:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jeebus1083 (Post 2279120)
I know that many of the systems/analysts in HSH are based on composite (?) factors and weighted ranks. The original NewPace employee concepts such as population samples, weighted/composite numbers. Dave fine tuned the approach over time, but the point is that an analyst does not use a single paceline to represent “the” horse. It attempts to take into account the horse’s history (or comparable parts of it) and weighs it against the other runners and expected profit/loss ($net).

Hey Jeeb....

I had/used New Pace too...
What was your take on it..?
Still use it?


Mike

Dave Schwartz 02-19-2018 01:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jeebus1083 (Post 2279120)
I know that many of the systems/analysts in HSH are based on composite (?) factors and weighted ranks. The original NewPace employee concepts such as population samples, weighted/composite numbers. Dave fine tuned the approach over time, but the point is that an analyst does not use a single paceline to represent “the” horse. It attempts to take into account the horse’s history (or comparable parts of it) and weighs it against the other runners and expected profit/loss ($net).

That is exactly right. Thanks, Jeebus.

The idea is to emulate paceline selection without actually selecting pacelines. It works amazingly well.

Consider the old Sartin concept of EP-SP-W being the only factors.

https://www.practicalhandicapping.co...artin%20Fx.jpg

You wind up with 10 pacelines, each with 3 possibilities=30 choices. Then you interpret the model and ultimately use one column. (or maybe more)

Thus, if you chose the 2nd paceline back and decided that EP was the column to use...

https://www.practicalhandicapping.co...rtin%20Fx2.jpg


All we've done is built a modeling process that begins with the 3 columns, based upon things like Last Race, Best of Last 2 Races, 2nd Best ever, etc. In this example, there are actually 39 possible choices.

Thus, if our model said that the most important factor was EP, Best-2-of-Last-3, we'd select this:

https://www.practicalhandicapping.co...wartz%20Fx.jpg


We actually model 8 factors x 13 measurements, so there are 104 possible choices.

All of this, without selecting an actual paceline.

BTW, in the new software I am building which I hope will be in beta before the Derby, there are around 10,000 combinations.


Dave

lefty359 02-21-2018 11:03 PM

Good stuff, as always, Dave

Tom 02-22-2018 10:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tom (Post 2277734)
Got through on the phone today.
No product will be shipped. Refund coming.
Guy has been sick and can't continue it.

Update:

File a claim with PayPal today, as no refund has come yet.

mikesal57 02-22-2018 11:43 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Tom...Lets go get that UPTHECREEK GUY...


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