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-   -   and it onto the Preakness... (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=144713)

PowerUpPaynter 05-05-2018 07:08 PM

and it onto the Preakness...
 
I think we enter Belmont with another shot at a Triple Crown.

GMB@BP 05-05-2018 07:10 PM

It was a fast pace and all but he was on a good rail and no one did any closing, plus thats a hard race.

He looks like a cinch on paper but feels like it might be a tough spot, we will see.

PowerUpPaynter 05-05-2018 07:29 PM

i dont know, i gotta rewatch it. my first impression he was far from all out

Rex Phinney 05-05-2018 07:29 PM

Who actually shows up? Have to think Pletcher will skip it with his best. Chad Brown said after the race he wouldn’t be looking to try Justify again right away.

Lukas will probably enter a 300-1 shot and the rest might be PARX allowance horses.

Rex Phinney 05-05-2018 07:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PowerUpPaynter (Post 2312579)
i dont know, i gotta rewatch it. my first impression he was far from all out

That’s how it looked to me. I thought Good Magic has a real nice shot at the top of the lane but Justify went on with little urging

GMB@BP 05-05-2018 07:34 PM

Final time was pedestrian.

Rex Phinney 05-05-2018 07:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GMB@BP (Post 2312583)
Final time was pedestrian.

OK. But the half was the 3rd fastest ever. And he kept 19 others behind him.

I do think the mud benefits front runners hugely these days. I don’t know if this is new or what but I cannot remember the last time I saw a muddy horse win.

GMB@BP 05-05-2018 07:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rex Phinney (Post 2312591)
OK. But the half was the 3rd fastest ever. And he kept 19 others behind him.

I do think the mud benefits front runners hugely these days. I don’t know if this is new or what but I cannot remember the last time I saw a muddy horse win.

yea, it was also an inside track so that hurt mud closers as well.

I dont want to be down on the horse, cause that was awesome, but I think there are a few red flags in terms of "unbeatable" talk that is gonna happen the next two weeks.

Rex Phinney 05-05-2018 07:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GMB@BP (Post 2312598)
yea, it was also an inside track so that hurt mud closers as well.

I dont want to be down on the horse, cause that was awesome, but I think there are a few red flags in terms of "unbeatable" talk that is gonna happen the next two weeks.

Certainly the hype will be huge. I think he is beatable. Just not sure anyone who can do it will show up in Baltimore.

SecretAgentMan 05-05-2018 07:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GMB@BP (Post 2312598)
yea, it was also an inside track so that hurt mud closers as well.

I dont want to be down on the horse, cause that was awesome, but I think there are a few red flags in terms of "unbeatable" talk that is gonna happen the next two weeks.




Justify looked better winning the derby than American Pharaoh, my opinion tho.

tophatmert 05-05-2018 08:00 PM

I think Hofburg will be formidable soon. Perhaps he doesn't have enough natural speed but he may turn out to be good.

dballard125 05-05-2018 08:02 PM

I'll be shocked if he doesn't win the Preakness. Not so sure about the Belmont. That's a lot of racing in a short amount of time for any horse.

depalma113 05-05-2018 08:08 PM

I'll be shocked if the Preakness isn't a walkover.

Robert Fischer 05-05-2018 08:14 PM

Have to watch the replay.
Have to see who is going to Baltimore and how they are progressing.

Justify is a once-in-a-generation talent, but this is a great crop and this may have been a hard race (sloppy, fast fractions, contested turn/stretch).

Lemon Drop Husker 05-05-2018 08:17 PM

Justify will be really tough in the Preakness. Especially if no speed signs on to race against him.

Good Magic took his best shot at him, and could't get to him today. Audible might be able to get to him with a better trip, but I'd probably wait for the Belmont with him to take another shot.

Have to take today's track into consideration as well. Heavy rail bias, and he didn't take any mud in his face.

He is beatable, but it will take a huge effort to do it.


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