I don't know about the #1 since I don't handicap but if I had to try to beat Brown's horse today I would go with D A Cannizzo's horse #8 Rachel's Temper

Cannizzo's horses have been doing well in Allowance Optional Claiming* races on the Dirt as I see it going back to May 1st 2016

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/imag...woptbeldrt.jpg

It might not win but it could hit the board at a decent price

*I treat any Optional Claiming (i.e. Starter Optional Claiming, Optional Claiming,,, etc.) as Allowance Optional Claiming

Correct, had a brain fart when I did that.

What makes you to believe that it is a good idea to start a new thread with the same name and topic with an existing one?

Threads merged

Thanks PA.

The decision a handicapper often faces, go with the hot trainer and jockey, as you have pointed out. :ThmbUp: Or go with the guy(Rudy) who has been on a bad streak of late but can turn around at any moment. Hopefully he can get his "juice" back from Navaro.:D

Belmont Race #5: 9/29/17


:3: Cursor 8-1

Short field long price. Speed figures are a little light. Trainer or jockey do not have overwhelming numbers. Coming off a break with 3 nice works in a row. But I think this horse has 1 big advantage. The only closer in a race full of speed.

Race went as I thought it would, and got a win. Did not think I would only get 7-2, thought it would be 9-2 to 5-1. Paid more to show than to win.

Belmont Race #5: 9/30/17

:8: Alex the Terror 12-1

Another one with out the trainer of jockey. Get's a good PP, and from there has a very good trip. 3 wins at the distance, and the highest speed figure at the distance.

Nice score bro

I find it interesting that J C Englehart had #8 Alex The Terror

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/imag...talwoptbel.jpg

G Sciacca has the horse now and has been showing some positive returns across the board in Allowance Optional Claiming* races

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/imag...accaalwopt.jpg

It is also interesting that #8 Alex The Terror
came out of that Claiming Merry Go Round Trickery race the --- Life In Shambles incident:

http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/s...d.php?t=140535

At any rate, maybe you are on to something and G Sciacca pops a big price to hit the board with this horse!!!

*I treat any Optional Claiming (i.e. Starter Optional Claiming, Optional Claiming,,, etc.) as Allowance Optional Claiming

Thank you, and since you brought up Engelhart, he is drawn just inside of the :8: in this race and puts Ortiz up. I really like the fact that Alex the Terror can see the main speed in the race from the start. Gives him a clear view of his target.

The other piece of good news is that Brown's horses have been struggling in Allowance Optional Claiming* races on the Dirt at Belmont this year!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/imag...salwoptbel.jpg

His Morning Lines less than 3-1 in Allowance Optional Claiming* races on the Dirt so far have been struggling so #3 Favorable Outcome might get beat today!!!


*I treat any Optional Claiming (i.e. Starter Optional Claiming, Optional Claiming,,, etc.) as Allowance Optional Claiming

M A Hennig's Maidens have been hitting the board at a 67% rate on the Dirt at Belmont since May 5th!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/imag...nnigmdsbel.jpg

You are getting an 86% return per $2 win place and show wager on his Maidens on the Dirt at Belmont!!!

He has this Maiden on the Dirt today at Belmont:

6th race
#8 Fortune Street

Let's see if he can get this one to hit the board at a price today at Belmont!!!

Finger Lakes #8: 10/2/17

:11: 5-1

Draws the outside post and forces the jockey's hand. Wire to wire is the way this one goes.