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-   -   Harness Handicapping Angles (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=145512)

Denny 06-17-2018 09:07 PM

Harness Handicapping Angles
 
I have found that I do better betting harness races when I don't do comprehensive handicapping on a race, and instead rely on a couple of handicapping angles.

I don't get to bet a lot of races though, as I only have two angles right now that are producing winners.

(One involves betting horses coming off of a claim in one of their next couple of races.)

Does anybody have an angle they would be willing to share?

I'd like to bet a few more races a night and don't get many with what I've got now.

Thanks to anybody willing to share an idea or two.

Sinner369 06-18-2018 01:55 AM

Look In.................???
 
Look in http://www.kimstarr.org/ .....Lots of angles.

Ray2000 06-18-2018 07:29 AM

Adding Lasix when last race finish was On The Board is a good starting point for handicapping.
If other factors are OK . .it's Bet-Worthy!
Code:

        All        1xL        1xL,Last OTB        2xL        2xL,Last OTB
Starts        215895        1757        612                1786        773
Wins        28090        237        111                263        152
Win%        13.0%        13.5%        18.1%                14.7%        19.7%**
ROI        0.652        0.880        0.932*                0.785        0.848

*Best for ROI
**Best for Win%


Sinner, that link is dead, I don't know where to find Al Stanley's newsletters anymore. Have to buy the book I guess.

mikesal57 06-18-2018 08:45 AM

Guys...

I haven't bet or followed the trotters for 40 years....

But when i did , the angle of a trainer claiming a horse for himself was a good bet..

Can anyone verify if this is still valid....???

Mike

P.S.- By the way Sinner369...I just get a blue page with your link

sharkey11 06-18-2018 08:47 AM

lots of thorobread angles will cross over to harness . claiming angles change of driver meds change ect. there are lots an lots . best of luck capping

Denny 06-19-2018 02:50 PM

Pandy,

I respect your opinion a lot. Always check your P4 plays when I play Meadowlands.

Have you written anything on the subject of angles?

if so, are you willing to share any?

BlueChip@DRF 06-19-2018 07:38 PM

At the Big M, I used to play Kesmodel 1st start off the claim eight days after the claim.

Back in the day when the horse names were overrun with Lobell, Almahurst, and Hanover, I would pick (too young to bet back then) Del Insko, Merit Dokey, or the Filion brothers to try and beat Abbatiello.

Sinner369 06-20-2018 03:37 AM

Ray ..................???
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ray2000 (Post 2330488)
Adding Lasix when last race finish was On The Board is a good starting point for handicapping.
If other factors are OK . .it's Bet-Worthy!
Code:

    All    1xL    1xL,Last OTB    2xL    2xL,Last OTB
Starts    215895    1757    612        1786    773
Wins    28090    237    111        263    152
Win%    13.0%    13.5%    18.1%        14.7%    19.7%**
ROI    0.652    0.880    0.932*        0.785    0.848

*Best for ROI
**Best for Win%

Sinner, that link is dead, I don't know where to find Al Stanley's newsletters anymore. Have to buy the book I guess.

Ray...……..sorry here is the working link...

http://www.kimstarr.org/corner/archives.html

As for Al Stanley ……..I have most of his newsletters ...…… Is their any particular article you want to read?

Ray2000 06-20-2018 04:58 AM

Sinner
Sorry. my bad, I was thinking the kimstarr link was Stanley's letters. They used to be available on net. (Clocker's site?). I have already have most of them on some hard drive, somewhere.:)

Denny 06-20-2018 12:36 PM

Cross My Mind won at 6/1 last night at Wbn@Mohawk adding LASIX.
Now on my list of angle plays.

Thanks to those contributing to this thread.

Sea Biscuit 06-20-2018 12:57 PM

Here is Al Stanley angle that works very well (Newsletter #31)


http://i.imgur.com/3LbLh6L.png

Sea Biscuit 06-20-2018 01:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sea Biscuit (Post 2331450)
Here is Al Stanley angle that works very well (Newsletter #31)


http://i.imgur.com/3LbLh6L.png


Example 1


Mohawk May 18 Race 6 paid 22.40-13.10. Touchdown AS moves up one class to NW 6000 L5


http://i.imgur.com/bSKJMdK.png


Example 2


Mohawk June 1 Race 6 Paid 20.60-8.30 Sterling Boudica moves up one claiming class


http://i.imgur.com/2xHXg2F.png



Goodluck

pandy 06-20-2018 02:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Denny (Post 2331104)
Pandy,

I respect your opinion a lot. Always check your P4 plays when I play Meadowlands.

Have you written anything on the subject of angles?

if so, are you willing to share any?

I don't use a lot of angles for harness racing but some horses win and pay big prices second start off a sick scratch, and generally speaking, second or third start off a layoff are good angles if the horse has enough back class to compete in that field.

Probably the best angle is simple, better post than last race.

I also like dropping in class while shipping, at a price. Sometimes horses seem to perk up with a change of venue. You have to watch for subtle drops, like shipping in and moving into condition race after racing in a sire stakes. Sometimes the horse is just returning to its home track.

Denny 06-20-2018 08:14 PM

Thanks guys.

Playing Mohawk, one thing I'm having trouble with is shippers from the smaller tracks - Lon, Grvr, etc.
The purses are so much lower at those tracks, I don't know how they stack up.
Also, the times they run on the smaller tracks are so different.
Is there anything you use to consider if they will be competitive?

mikesal57 06-20-2018 08:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Denny (Post 2331637)
Thanks guys.

Playing Mohawk, one thing I'm having trouble with is shippers from the smaller tracks - Lon, Grvr, etc.
The purses are so much lower at those tracks, I don't know how they stack up.
Also, the times they run on the smaller tracks are so different.
Is there anything you use to consider if they will be competitive?

The way to see what to do with shippers is to make a list of tracks shipping in and write down the class they are entered and also enter thier last race condition (class)...then note if they won or placed) to get an idea of comparing levels.
yes, its some work but well worth it..

Mike


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