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-   **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/forumdisplay.php?f=22)
-   -   Traver's...2019 (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=154002)

sammy the sage 08-22-2019 08:17 AM

Traver's...2019
 
What no talk yet...anyways....will hard luck "Tacitus" finally get there again...working with blinkers ON I hear and doing much better...he's surely going to get over-bet...although if he wins...does that matter...???

Personally a couple of the new shooter's to THE stakes season for 3yr. olds look promising....now I'm NOT saying an "Arrogate" type...but they might have some potential...what say you...:coffee:

groupie doll 08-22-2019 08:34 AM

Haven't had the chance to look at this one yet; Tacitus is a decent choice for the ML (maybe a no-brainer), but I'm inclined to look elsewhere with the way most of this crop has taken turns beating each other.

Robert Fischer 08-22-2019 02:05 PM

trying to rally health to handicap the race

at a glance looks interesting maybe 4-6 contenders and a long shot or two

mucho gusto stands out as having both tactical speed and the closest thing this field has flashed to 'brillinace', i don't fully trust

tacitus is extremely good but also very obvious and will take money, forcing some creativity

f2tornado 08-22-2019 06:38 PM

I'm not at all excited with this field. I don't see any true tosses or standouts therefore will put most focus in the nice undercard. Code of Honor could be a nice fresh horse but the pace looks ho hum to offer a good setup for a closer. A 4-1 ML is only moderately enticing given the potential pace scenario. Just about anything could fill the gimmicks so I'll lean toward horizontal versus vertical plays with this race.

letswastemoney 08-22-2019 08:46 PM

Tax or Mucho Gusto, assuming there's no closer bias. On paper, the race lacks a significant pace presence.

46zilzal 08-22-2019 09:00 PM

Look at the winning odds the last 4 or 5 editions and favorites hae not done well on top

Afleet 08-22-2019 10:58 PM

when Game Winner defected, I lost interest

Parkview_Pirate 08-23-2019 09:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sammy the sage (Post 2509138)
...Personally a couple of the new shooter's to THE stakes season for 3yr. olds look promising....

Agreed - a slight improvement puts several of the newer shooters right in the mix.

I'm a bit intrigued by :8: Chess Chief. Gets Mike Smith? Hmmm....

Tom 08-23-2019 10:00 PM

:7: Baffert show up with the top fig horse. Duh.
:6: Dances every dance, but so did Ginger Rogers. Needs to step it up a bit and git R done
:1: Improving form, good stretch punch, should pass the rest
:2: Shug and Johnny V make his a shot, but so far, not all the impressive, but neither is anything else in here.

jay68802 08-23-2019 10:55 PM

Looking at the race, my eyes tell me the obvious ones, Owendale, Code of Honour, Mucho Gusto, Tax, and Tacticus. I was also intrigued by the :11: Endorsed. So I ran it through my computer and got a big surprise. I double checked everything and had no entry mistakes. So I going to play this race lightly and key on the :5: Everfast.

trifecta 08-23-2019 11:01 PM

I didn't see any Grade 1 winners in here, unless I overlooked one, so I'll look at the next tier, the Grade 2 winners:

:2: Code of Honor
:6: Tacitus
:12: Tax


I'll go with :2: Code of Honor for the win.

As far as the non-graded stakes winners are concerned, I believe :3: Highest Honors has an outside chance.

FantasticDan 08-23-2019 11:37 PM

Can someone tell me what the Travers has to do with the Triple Crown? Move this to General Racing where more people will see it :cool:

jay68802 08-23-2019 11:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by FantasticDan (Post 2509871)
Can someone tell me what the Travers has to do with the Triple Crown? Move this to General Racing where more people will see it :cool:

You can eliminate every horse in here from winning a Triple Crown race next year, only about 19,547 more eliminations, and I will have a winner.

horses4courses 08-24-2019 12:25 AM

Baffert
 
:7: Mucho Gusto

Ran lights out to finish second to the best 3yo in the country.
Beat him to win.

ReplayRandall 08-24-2019 12:44 AM

At a 1-1/4 mile, :7: Mucho Gusto will not last. Castellano on :9:Looking At Bikinis, will force MG to a more quicker pace, not allowing a crawling first/second quarter. You then have :12:Tax in position to press if need be, while sitting in a comfortable catbird seat, pouncing on the top 2 and taking it home for the win.

Travers Winner--:12: TAX


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