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-   -   2023 Mohawk Run, Can Post 6 make me $$ ? (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=175663)

Ray2000 04-14-2023 03:11 PM

2023 Mohawk Run, Can Post 6 make me $$ ?
 
Do a little record keeping here on Wagering the 6 Hole at Mohawk

when my Spreadsheet program picks the 6 to Win and Morning Line is greater than 4/1. (No Maidens)

Bets will be 2% of Capital (rounded) starting with a $500 nut, Win bets only.
Slow start tonight because it looks like a chalky parade.:p
One bet, $10 Win on Meadowbranch Noble Race 5

GOOD LUCK ALL

Code:

               
Race  P1  P2  P3    Name Morning Line
R1    1    5    2    Century Jaguar Ml 9-2
R2    2    5    4    Controlthedistance Ml 5-1
R3    5    6    1    Devils Archf Ml 2-1
R4    3    5    6    Silver Label L Ml 2-1
R5    6    5    3    Meadowbranch Noblef Lml 5-1
R6    4    8    6    Adare Castle Ml 2-1
R7    3    9    2    Myoutsidevoice Ml 5-1
R8    6    3    5    Speaker Of Peace Ml 4-1
R9    6    4    2    Red Coin Ml 7-2
R10  3    6    5    Rosies War Bonds L Ml 7-2
R11  2    6    5    Shes Got It All Ml 3-1
R12  8    6    5    Bad Rossa L Ml 3-1
R13  6    1    7    Stonebridge Drama L Ml 7-2


Sea Biscuit 04-14-2023 04:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ray2000 (Post 2870367)
Do a little record keeping here on Wagering the 6 Hole at Mohawk

when my Spreadsheet program picks the 6 to Win and Morning Line is greater than 4/1. (No Maidens)

Bets will be 2% of Capital (rounded) starting with a $500 nut, Win bets only.
Slow start tonight because it looks like a chalky parade.:p
One bet, $10 Win on Meadowbranch Noble Race 5

GOOD LUCK ALL

Code:

               
Race  P1  P2  P3    Name Morning Line
R1    1    5    2    Century Jaguar Ml 9-2
R2    2    5    4    Controlthedistance Ml 5-1
R3    5    6    1    Devils Archf Ml 2-1
R4    3    5    6    Silver Label L Ml 2-1
R5    6    5    3    Meadowbranch Noblef Lml 5-1
R6    4    8    6    Adare Castle Ml 2-1
R7    3    9    2    Myoutsidevoice Ml 5-1
R8    6    3    5    Speaker Of Peace Ml 4-1
R9    6    4    2    Red Coin Ml 7-2
R10  3    6    5    Rosies War Bonds L Ml 7-2
R11  2    6    5    Shes Got It All Ml 3-1
R12  8    6    5    Bad Rossa L Ml 3-1
R13  6    1    7    Stonebridge Drama L Ml 7-2



I do hope this doesn't turn into the proverbial kiss of death.

I like your pick in Race 5 #6 Meadowbranch Noble. Three back he came in 2nd which was fine. Two back he was tearing into the Mohawk track with a 27 sec 1st qtr with a 55.2 half which can kill any trotter with the stoutest of hearts. The question you have to ask yourself is this: Would you still bet this horse if he had post position 3, 4 or a 5 for example. If the answer is yes then with the added bonus of the 6 hole he becomes a best bet situation. Also Auciello is bringing him back with just 4 days rest, which is a good thing as the trainer wants to put one over quickly.

Goodluck Ray.

Ray2000 04-14-2023 06:11 PM

Best of Luck back to you, SB. Let's hope for acceptable odds, maybe high priced favorite. :)

Ray2000 04-15-2023 05:16 AM

Friday's results
Cash bet $10 in R5 lost, new Cap $490
Code:

    Returns on  $2   
Race    Win    Place
Race1    -----    -----
Race2    -----    -----
Race3    $3.80    $2.90
Race4    -----    -----
Race5    -----    $3.00
Race6    $5.60    $2.90
Race7    -----    -----
Race8    -----    -----
Race9    -----    -----
Race10    -----    -----
Race11    $15.40    $6.90 ...3/1 Morning Line????
Race12    -----    $4.10
Race13    -----    $4.20

    $24.80    $24.00

Saturday Apr 15 Spreadsheet Picks
Code:

               
Race  P1  P2  P3    Name Morning Line
R1    3    6    5    So Much More Ml 6-5
R2    4    3    -    Northern Cardinal Ml 6-1
R3    6    2    5    Dreamfair Arnie B L Ml 8-1
R4    4    6    5    Dontpokethedragon L Ml 7-2
R5    6    8    1    Hp Momentum Ml 4-1
R6    6    1    5    Roll With The Flow Ml 3-1
R7    2    6    5    Profundo Ml 6-1
R8    2    6    9    Redwood Hanover Ml 3-1
R9    5    2    1    Nautical Hanover L Ml 3-1
R10  7    5    6    Codename Cigar Box L Ml 3-1
R11  6    4    5    Ms Quick Sand Ml 7-2
R12  6    3    5    Real Willey L Ml 8-1
R13  5    6    9    Jj Tommy L Ml 5-2

$10 system Win bets in Races 3 & 12, Dreamfair Arnie & Real Willey

GOOD LUCK ALL

Ray2000 04-16-2023 05:45 AM

Saturday's results, lotsa winners but not in Race 3 or 12 :bang:
New Capital $470
Code:

       
    Returns on  $2   
Race    Win    Place    2$DD
Race1    $2.50    $2.10    n/a
Race2    -----    -----    -----
Race3    -----    -----    -----
Race4    -----    $4.00    -----
Race5    $9.60    $4.70    -----
Race6    $7.20    $3.60    $44.50
Race7    -----    -----    -----
Race8    $4.40    $2.60    -----
Race9    $5.10    $3.10    $12.70
Race10  $5.40    $3.40    $11.90
Race11  $4.00    $3.30    $12.20
Race12    -----    -----    -----
Race13    -----    -----    -----       
          $38.20    $26.80    $81.30


Ray2000 04-17-2023 09:22 AM

Monday 4/17 Selections
Code:

               
Race  P1  P2  P3    Name Morning Line
R1*  6    5    1    Busy Making Moni Ml 5-1
R2    6    7    2    Bettor Notbitter A L Ml 5-2
R3    6    4    5    Franks Angelf Ml 10-1
R4*  6    5    8    Outlaw Aceofspades L Ml 15-1
R5    6    5    10  Hp Royal Theof L Ml 4-1
R6*  6    1    5    Dance Machine Ml 6-1
R7    4    6    7    Shestheluckyone L Ml 5-1
R8    5    4    6    Hervey Hanover L Ml 7-2
R9    4    5    6    Derf Hanoverf L Ml 10-1
R10  5    6    4    Julerica L Ml 9-2
R11*  6    8    2    Heresthatmanagain Ml 10-1
R12*  6    2    9    Final Cheeserecipe L Ml 10-1

$9 Win bets in Races 1,4,6,11 and 12

5 System wagers, They're trying to bust me early this run...:D

Good Luck All


ucancallmemrlucky 04-18-2023 07:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ray2000 (Post 2870916)
Monday 4/17 Selections
Code:

               
Race  P1  P2  P3    Name Morning Line
R1*  6    5    1    Busy Making Moni Ml 5-1
R2    6    7    2    Bettor Notbitter A L Ml 5-2
R3    6    4    5    Franks Angelf Ml 10-1
R4*  6    5    8    Outlaw Aceofspades L Ml 15-1
R5    6    5    10  Hp Royal Theof L Ml 4-1
R6*  6    1    5    Dance Machine Ml 6-1
R7    4    6    7    Shestheluckyone L Ml 5-1
R8    5    4    6    Hervey Hanover L Ml 7-2
R9    4    5    6    Derf Hanoverf L Ml 10-1
R10  5    6    4    Julerica L Ml 9-2
R11*  6    8    2    Heresthatmanagain Ml 10-1
R12*  6    2    9    Final Cheeserecipe L Ml 10-1

$9 Win bets in Races 1,4,6,11 and 12

5 System wagers, They're trying to bust me early this run...:D

Good Luck All


A $2 win/place wager on the :6: for all 12 races would have returned $57.90 on a $48 wager.
Good luck :ThmbUp:

Ray2000 04-18-2023 09:38 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Yep, Dance Machine almost got there at 15/1 in R6
And as shown below for R7, my program had the 4 inching out the 6...Damn
674 paid nice Ex & Tri

but Horrible start, lost all 5 races
-$45, new cap $425
Code:

    Returns on  $2
Race    Win    Place
Race1    -----    -----
Race2    $2.50    $2.20
Race3    -----    -----
Race4    -----    -----
Race5    $5.40    $4.00
Race6    -----    $10.40
Race7    -----    -----
Race8    -----    $3.80
Race9    -----    -----
Race10  -----    -----
Race11  -----    -----
Race12  -----    -----
        $7.90    $20.40



Ray2000 04-20-2023 09:33 AM

Selections for Thursday Apr 20
 

New Cap $425, New Bet Size (round 2%) = $9

Betting L Roy in R2 & R3 on Fox Valley Ontario & MVN

Code:

                   
Race  P1  P2  P3    Name Morning Line   
R1    9    8    --  Fox Valley Ontario Ml 7-2   
R2    6    8    5    Greystone Treasure Ml 6-1   
R3    6    5    4    MVN Ml 8-1   
R4    1    4    3    Indra Ml 10-1   
R5    Skip               
R6    2    5    1    Two Across Marion Ml 6-1   
R7    2    --    --  Doncorleonef Ml 15-1   
R8    6    5    1    Thundering Jim L Ml 3-1   
R9    2    6    5    What An Angelf Ml 10-1   
R10  4    5    7    Blue Glamber Ml 5-2

Good Luck All

Ray2000 04-20-2023 12:03 PM

Just saw my dumb mistake :blush::blush:


Race 2 is Greystone Treasure not Fox Valley Ontario

Ray2000 04-21-2023 06:59 AM

Thursday had a NO winners -$18
New cap $407 new bet size $8

Friday's selections, *system betting in R2 & R10
Code:

               
Race  P1  P2  P3    Name Morning Line
R1    4    6    8    Come Roll With Me L Ml 7-2
R2*  6    5    2    Velvet Stinger L Ml 10-1
R3    6    5    8    Brookdale Johnny Ml 5-1
R4    4    5    6    Abruzzo Ml 7-2
R5    6    10  5    Dance With Tabby Ml 3-1
R6    2    8    7    Twin B Archief Ml 5-2
R7    6    5    4    Western Wish L Ml 7-2
R8    6    1    4    Boom Town Boy Ml 4-1
R9    2    6    7    Bad Rossa L Ml 4-1
R10*  6    5    9    Shes Got It All Ml 5-1
R11  7    6    5    Victor Invictus Ml 15-1
R12  6    5    1    Sunday Afternoon L Ml 3-1



Good Luck All

Ray2000 04-22-2023 06:45 AM

Again a day with NO winners in my 6 hole system. :coffee::mad:
New Cap $391, Bet size $8
Code:

    Friday's Returns on  $2   
Race    Win    Place
Race1    $10.50    $4.50
Race2    -----    -----
Race3    -----    -----
Race4    -----    -----
Race5    -----    -----
Race6    -----    -----
Race7    -----    $3.50
Race8    -----    -----
Race9    $7.60    $3.70
Race10    -----    -----
Race11    -----    -----
Race12    -----    $3.00
        $18.10    $14.70

Saturdays Selections
Betting Races 2,4,5 and 12, $8 to win
Code:

               
Race  P1  P2  P3    Name Morning Line
R1    7    1    5    Match Meif You Can Ml 5-1
R2*  6    2    5    Call Me It Ml 8-1
R3    5    8    4    Lady Jess Ml 6-1
R4*  6    5    4    Armor Seelster Ml 15-1
R5*  6    1    5    Jabberwocky Ml 10-1
R6    7    5    1    Crystal Ballerf Ml 10-1
R7    6    5    2    Brue Hanover Ml 7-2
R8    5    3    6    Bar Down Jim Ml 10-1
R9    5    6    3    Points North L Ml 8-1
R10  1    6    9    Hail Christian N Ml 5-1
R11  5    6    3    Hp Momentum Ml 5-2
R12*  6    3    7    Tango Seelster Ml 6-1
R13  5    6    3    Codename Cigar Box L Ml 5-2

Good Luck All

Ray2000 04-24-2023 09:15 AM

Saturday lost all 4 system bets -$32,
New Cap $359, New Bet size $7

Monday's Selections
Betting Races 1,3,6 and 10 ($7 Win only)
Code:

               
Race  P1  P2  P3  Name Morning Line
R1*  6    3    5    Shes Beer Leaguef Ml 8-1
R2    4    5    2    Military Secret L Ml 5-2
R3*  6    1    2    P L Opportunity L Ml 6-1
R4    5    6    1    Rockin N Talkin L Ml 3-1
R5    6    7    2    Flashy Dude L Ml 3-1
R6*  6    5    3    Meadowbranch Noblef Lml 6-1
R7    4    6    8    Final Cheeserecipe L Ml 5-1
R8    6    7    5    Skylar L Ml 4-1
R9    7    6    5    Pikachu Hanover L Ml 8-1
R10*  6    3    5    Legal Bettor Ml 6-1
R11  10    5    6    Control The Power L Ml 5-1

Good Luck All


Ray2000 04-25-2023 05:46 AM

Monday Results
 
Finally a Winner after 19 straight losses...:faint:
Still lost $2.10 on the 4 bets
New Cap $356.90, Bet size at $7

Code:

    Returns on  $2
Race    Win    Place
Race1    -----    -----
Race2    -----    -----
Race3    -----    $3.10
Race4    -----    $3.30
Race5    $3.80    $3.40
Race6    -----    -----
Race7    -----    -----
Race8    -----    -----
Race9    -----    -----
Race10    $7.40    $4.50
Race11    -----    -----

        $11.20    $10.90



Ray2000 04-27-2023 07:55 AM

Selections for Thursday Apr 27
 
System bets, $7 Win in Races 9 and 10 ...Last Page First and Rockinwithcustard
Code:

               
Race  P1  P2  P3  Name Morning Line
R1    skip           
R2    5    6    7    Thundering Jim L Ml 5-2
R3    6    3    5    Cleveland Massimof L Ml 7-2
R4    5    -    -    Lite The Candlesf Ml 5-2
R5    3    6    2    Miss Canada Ml 10-1
R6    7    5    6    No Turning Back L Ml 5-2
R7    6    -    -    Sayonara Angelf L Ml 10-1
R8    1    6    2    Sweet Detrminationf Ml 3-1
R9    6    7    8    Last Page First Ml 6-1
R10  6    3    5    Rockinwithcustard L Ml 9-2

Good Luck All


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