NorCalGreg |
03-15-2016 04:23 AM |
*50% METHOD
Just three plays on this light racing day:
*MVR
3RD :5: BE NICE 3/2
*PARX
8TH :2: GOLDEN JASON 5/2
*SUN
2ND :1: CLASSY DISTURBANCE 4-1
🎲NCG
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NorCalGreg |
03-15-2016 07:39 AM |
***The lotto $1 straight superfecta:TURF PARADISE~Race-4 -->> 7-1-6-8
&
***The lotto $1 straight superfecta:TURF PARADISE~Race-8 -->> 1-2-10-3
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NorCalGreg |
03-15-2016 08:08 AM |
*Pace/Spot plays 03-15
*all WIN only
--Mahoning
1ST :6: MISS BORREGO 9/2
5TH :2: LUKEY ON THE LOOSE 3-1
7TH :2: STORMIN DREAM 6-1
8TH :6: LOVE THE MINISTER 5-1
❇ BONUS PLAY ❇
MAHONING LATE PICK-4 --->>> 5TH- :2: / 6TH :4: , :6: /7TH :2:, :6:, :9: /8TH :5:, :11:
--PARX
1ST :3: ROSIE MY WAY 5/2
6TH :4: TELL TALE FRIEND 6-1
7TH :2: ASK CHUCK 5-1
--TURF PARADISE
5TH :5: NORTHERN CONTRACT 6-1
6TH :8: YOU SEE THAT 4-1
7TH :1: AGGRESSIVE BEAUTY 10-1
*it's a longshot--but the above could be a nice pick-3
have a good day
-NCG☮
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NorCalGreg |
03-15-2016 08:31 PM |
50% METHOD RESULTS DAY #2
Just three plays on this light racing day:
*MVR
3RD :5: BE NICE 3/2 $3.00
*PARX
8TH :2: GOLDEN JASON 5/2 2ND
*SUN
2ND :1: CLASSY DISTURBANCE 4-1 SCRATCHED
*1 FOR 2 today--5 0f 11 altogether BET=$22.00 RET $21.20 TOTAL Hang in there---we're just getting warmed up
--remember our goal is 50% winners--& profitable
🎲NCG
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johnhannibalsmith |
03-15-2016 08:50 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by NorCalGreg
...
[B]*it's a longshot--but the above could be a nice pick-3
...
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Welp... if only it had been a longshot... you deserved better than the return for nailing it cold with at least two pretty tough races to come with a winner.
:ThmbUp:
$0.50 Pick-3 (5/8/1) Paid $92.10 (3OF3)
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NorCalGreg |
03-15-2016 08:59 PM |
*all WIN only
--Mahoning
1ST :6: MISS BORREGO 9/2 XXX
5TH :2: LUKEY ON THE LOOSE 3-1 XXX
7TH :2: STORMIN DREAM 6-1 XXX
8TH :6: LOVE THE MINISTER 5-1 XXX
--NOTHING AT ALL @ MAHONING
❇ BONUS PLAY ❇ XXX
MAHONING LATE PICK-4 --->>> 5TH- :2: / 6TH :4: , :6: /7TH :2:, :6:, :9: /8TH :5:, :11:
--PARX
1ST :3: ROSIE MY WAY 5/2 $5.20 $2.40--no show betting
6TH :4: TELL TALE FRIEND 6-1 $10.20 $6.00 $3.60
7TH :2: ASK CHUCK 5-1 3RD, BUT WHO CARES
--TURF PARADISE
*did I ever mention I OWN Turf Paradise?? Serious--go back and check
5TH :5: NORTHERN CONTRACT 6-1 $10.60 $5.60 $3.40
6TH :8: YOU SEE THAT 4-1 $5.80 $3.60 $2.80
7TH :1: AGGRESSIVE BEAUTY 10-1 $7.60 $5.00 $3.80
*it's a longshot--but the above could be a nice pick-3 If you HAD played this cold pick-3, like I did --this is what your ADW lines would look like
COMPLETED: dd8e4-72e90TUP#5$2 Pick-3 5,WT, 8, WT,1 $2.00 $368.40+ $366.40
COMPLETED: c0a84-f7a9fTUP#5$0.50 Pick-3 3, 5, WT, 5, 8, WT, 1 $2.00 $92.10 + $90.10
have a good day
-NCG☮
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NorCalGreg |
03-15-2016 09:04 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by johnhannibalsmith
Welp... if only it had been a longshot... you deserved better than the return for nailing it cold with at least two pretty tough races to come with a winner.
:ThmbUp:
$0.50 Pick-3 (5/8/1) Paid $92.10 (3OF3)
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True---when I made the bets this morning---none were in the top few on ML.
Sorry for my shameless gloating. :blush:
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johnhannibalsmith |
03-15-2016 09:16 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by NorCalGreg
True---when I made the bets this morning---none were in the top few on ML.
Sorry for my shameless gloating. :blush:
|
You earned it. I'd have needed at least 3 in the 5th to get the winner, at least 2 in the middle, and probably four or five in the seventh to cash. I really would have expected that P3 to pay at least twice what it did on a Tuesday. It wasn't as though Northern Contract was ever vying for favoritism, he was just one of a few that figured and had to beat a chalky Tino to start and the last leg was a scramble where even if you thought the 10-1 M/L on the winner was wishful thinking it still wasn't the sort of horse that everyone would lock on to immediately when filling out the last leg of a ticket. That was a real solid call and I mean it when I say that you deserved better than the hellofagood you did.
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Winger |
03-16-2016 12:00 AM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Winger
Nothing from my picks today.
Current Bankroll: $162.70 (-$37.3 - 80 Races)
Wager = $5 Win (2.5% of day's starting bankroll, rounded up, $2 min)
Condition: Minimum Odds condition removed.
Today's Selections:
TUP-5 :5: Northern Contract (6/1) 1st... 10.60 (26.50)
TUP-8 :2: Lions Prey (15/1) & :11: My Grandson (7/2) 1st... 7.40 (18.50)
==================================================
These descriptions here aren't all-inclusive but it is the base of the angle.
Hit the board in the last 4 with no class change this race.
PRX-6 :1: Mr. Masterpiece (7/2)
Inspired by Greg, these picks come straight from the Bris Summary Page.
MVR-7 :7: Inspired Voyage (3/1)1st... 6.40
SUN-8 :1: Cassy Sue (5/1) 1st... 13.60
WRD-5 :7: Flaming Shadow (6/1)
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Today was a good day. It looks like Greg and I both did well at Turf Paradise.
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Winger |
03-16-2016 02:06 AM |
Current Bankroll: $192.70 (-$7.30 - 83 Races)
Wager = $5 Win (2.5% of day's starting bankroll, rounded up, $2 min)
Condition: Minimum Odds condition removed.
Today's Selections:
MVR-7 :5: Wild Skye (15/1)
TAM-4 :3: MyBrotherJohnnyA (15/1)
TAM-8 :7: BroncoJoeNVinny (6/1)
WRD-9 :4: Chifforobe (3/1)
==================================================
These descriptions here aren't all-inclusive but it is the base of the angle.
Hit the board in the last 4 with no class change this race.
None Today
Inspired by Greg, these picks come straight from the Bris Summary Page.
CTX-2 :4: Davids Prince (7/2)
GPX-1 :6: Bold Summit (7/2)
TAM-4 :2: Overstand (10/1)
TAM-10 :2: Private Spot (5/1)
WRD-9 :4: Chifforobe (3/1)
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NorCalGreg |
03-16-2016 05:51 AM |
50% Method
*So far...5 for 11 with a near 0.00 ROI
This method is an attempt to hit 50% winners/and show a positive ROI....no matter how small.
I've read somewhere about a betting method that--if you can hit 50% and break even--you can turn that into a profit with creative betting. It's probably some kind of DUE COLUMN deal...I haven't bothered to look it up until I can hit the 50%.
If anyone knows of such a betting method--please post.
Today's 50% picks:
GPX
4TH :7: BEAUKATI 2-1
TAM
3RD :4: ADMIRING GLANCE 6-1 *(highest price with the method--so far)
TUP
3RD :4: ZENITA 6/5 (Winger Special)
6TH :3: WILD FIBS 1/1
-NCG
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NorCalGreg |
03-16-2016 10:44 AM |
Pace/Spot plays
***The lotto $1 straight superfecta:PENN~Race-6 -->> 10-1-2-8
First a race @ Penn I was looking at:
7th :2: KITSTRICKORTREAT 10-1 Trainer is money $$ 2nd off layoff, had prep race, plenty of works, looks ready to fire.
Also :8: S W JAYBIRD 4-1 Shows the classic pattern of fast 1st 2 calls--2 back. Then Worst Race Last---both horses look like they can win this--
small win bet on each, and :2: - :8: X-box.
6th Race :10: BAYOTT 15-1 LOOKS SO READY TO WIN--but now in the barn of a 1 for 98 trainer, can't pull the trigger--
what the heck $2 w/p so I won't break down and cry if he pulls the miracle upset. Also keying up the :1: / w :2: , :10: in that race.
**GULFSTREAM
1ST :6: BOLD SUMMIT 7/2
4TH :4: HOWLIN MAD SNITH 8-1
10TH :6: INDIAN GUIDE 3-1
**MAHONING
4th :1: FINAL ANSWER 6-1
3RD TRIFECTA KEY :4: /W :1: , :3: , :8:
**TURF PARADISE
1ST :4: INSCRIPTION 30-1 W/P
2ND :4: FULLSHOT 7/2 ** DD :4: - :4:
7TH :8: KOZANI 8-1
8TH :1: EXCLUDE 3-1 ** LATE DD :8: - :1:
have a good day
✨NCG
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NorCalGreg |
03-16-2016 10:55 AM |
*HTW
---Alfar
Notes --B. Servis main guy rosado aboard for the Maiden upset
Activity type 10-1 ML
Activity date 03-16-2016
Track Penn National
Surface Dirt
Distance 1 Mile
Race number 5
Purse $33,300
Race type Maiden Special Weight
Post position 3
Jockey Rosado R J
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Winger |
03-17-2016 01:10 AM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Winger
Current Bankroll: $192.70 (-$7.30 - 83 Races)
Wager = $5 Win (2.5% of day's starting bankroll, rounded up, $2 min)
Condition: Minimum Odds condition removed.
Today's Selections:
MVR-7 :5: Wild Skye (15/1)
TAM-4 :3: MyBrotherJohnnyA (15/1)
TAM-8 :7: BroncoJoeNVinny (6/1)
WRD-9 :4: Chifforobe (3/1)
==================================================
These descriptions here aren't all-inclusive but it is the base of the angle.
Hit the board in the last 4 with no class change this race.
None Today
Inspired by Greg, these picks come straight from the Bris Summary Page.
CTX-2 :4: Davids Prince (7/2) 1st... 5.40
GPX-1 :6: Bold Summit (7/2)
TAM-4 :2: Overstand (10/1)
TAM-10 :2: Private Spot (5/1)
WRD-9 :4: Chifforobe (3/1)
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Nothing exciting today.
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Winger |
03-17-2016 01:37 AM |
Going to start my off the claim angle again, with some improvements.
Current Bankroll: $172.70 (-$27.30 - 87 Races)
Wager = $5 Win (2.5% of day's starting bankroll, rounded up, $2 min)
Condition: Minimum Odds condition removed.
Today's Selections:
GGX-2 :1: Kuuipo (8/1)
PEN-4 :3: Isolation Road (9/2)
PEN-8 :1: Natal (3/1)
==================================================
These descriptions here aren't all-inclusive but it is the base of the angle.
Hit the board in the last 4 with no class change this race.
None Today
Inspired by Greg, these picks come straight from the Bris Summary Page.
FGX-2 :6: Reality is Great (9/2)
GPX-9 :6: Scoff (4/1)
OPX-1 :5: Laugh At Life (5/1)
OPX-7 :2: Como Se Llama (12/1)
PEN-4 :5: Last Heartbreaker (3/1)
PEN-5 :4: Star of Magic (6/1)
PEN-8 :1: Natal (3/1)
1st or 2nd with new trainer, with recent activity and a recent strong speed
figure.
GPX-9 :6: Scoff (4/1)
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