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-   -   Handicapping Method (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=91107)

ranchwest 02-07-2012 06:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bob60566
The nearest one to me is 28km at OTB and is a machine that you put in $3.50 to get a double sided computer print out of the DRF PP.
Now if all the handicappers lived in the large cities this could be a option and good excercise everyday to find a newsstand.
Also i prefer Bris over DRF but i have never seen Bris PP sold at newsstands.

Mac:)

I am simply saying that it is logical that a pencil and paper method uses some form of traditional past performances, with all data manipulation being done with -- everyone ready for this? -- a pencil and paper.

bob60566 02-07-2012 06:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ranchwest
I am simply saying that it is logical that a pencil and paper method uses some form of traditional past performances, with all data manipulation being done with -- everyone ready for this? -- a pencil and paper.

Can you define this for me

Mac:confused: :confused: :confused:

mountainman 02-07-2012 06:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thaskalos
Go to a newsstand and buy the form...like I do.

Sweet nostalgia for me. Names like Numbered Account, Silent Screen and Shuvee headlining Morning Telegraph editions that cost a quarter. My trek to obtain a copy was 5 miles, sometimes in frigid temps, from a PA town called Leetsdale to the newstand in Sewickley. Unlike today's form, it was cut like a newspaper and folded in half.

How fat and deliciously illicit it felt, this encoded gateway to an enthralling new world that even then moved inexorably towards dominating my existence. Homework, baseball, and even friends seemed far less important by the time my pile of copies sat just coffee table high. It would take years, however, for me to realize what the true price on those forms had been....everything. And it still seems like a bargain.

When I think back on those days, I feel young and excited that there is much more to learn.

EvenSteven 02-07-2012 07:03 PM

BOB60566,
Twinspires has "free" Bris PP's and Powerplays. We have to do some wagering on those tracks for that day. I also noticed your from Vancouver Island Beautiful place. I spent 7 years at Port Alberni.

bob60566 02-07-2012 07:04 PM

Had the same feeling waiting for the late greyhound bus in northern Alberta to bring the next days Drf and thought i had the edge for the weekend at Northlands Park.
Mac:)

bob60566 02-07-2012 07:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by EvenSteven
BOB60566,
Twinspires has "free" Bris PP's and Powerplays. We have to do some wagering on those tracks for that day. I also noticed your from Vancouver Island Beautiful place.I spent 7 years at Port Alberni.

Qualicum Beach

Can only wager in Canada through HPI Get the power plays free but the pp are cheaper through my Bris account.

Mac:)

ranchwest 02-07-2012 07:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bob60566
Can you define this for me

Mac:confused: :confused: :confused:

I thought I did.

BRIS, DRF, whatever, vanilla. Anything that has a cloth number, horse name and lines for past races. Something that doesn't use a computer for anything but display or printing or no computer at all.

The answers in the graph are totally bogus because a lot of people don't know the difference between a computer and pencil/paper.

bob60566 02-07-2012 08:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ranchwest
I thought I did.

BRIS, DRF, whatever, vanilla. Anything that has a cloth number, horse name and lines for past races. Something that doesn't use a computer for anything but display or printing or no computer at all.

We are on the same page read post #133, 124 ,125.

Some people think the computer selections using dowloaded data is there way of handicapping so be it and some folks use Beyer numbers to handicap keep going.
Many people supplement there handicapping with there choice of data banks???.

Mac:)

shouldacoulda 02-07-2012 08:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by windoor
No, it does not take into consideration the altitude, but it is base on sound handicapping principles that applies to all of horse racing.

The key, is to know in which order of importance is needed (the numbers have hinges) for each Track, Type of race, Sex, Distance, Class, Surface, and Time of Year. There's that magic number (Seven) again.

I'll start with these, and hope history will repeat itself.

A decent odd selection and a high hit selection should keep me from getting bored :)

From the 2nd quarter of 2011 for MNR:

Data Summary Win Place Show
Mutuel Totals 719.80 520.40 458.80
Bet -496.00 -496.00 -496.00
Gain 223.80 24.40 -37.20

Wins 65 105 131
Plays 248 248 248
PCT .2621 .4234 .5282

ROI 1.4512 1.0492 0.9250
Avg Mut 11.07 4.96 3.50


Ending BankRoll: $32,380.00
Starting BankRoll: $10,000.00
High BankRoll: $35,920.00
Low BankRoll: $8,800.00
Bet Percentage: 0.0500
Max Bet: 200.00





Data Summary Win Place Show
Mutuel Totals 478.00 444.20 412.00
Bet -378.00 -378.00 -378.00
Gain 100.00 66.20 34.00

Wins 75 113 134
Plays 189 189 189
PCT .3968 .5979 .7090

ROI 1.2646 1.1751 1.0899
Avg Mut 6.37 3.93 3.07



Ending BankRoll: $20,000.00
Starting BankRoll: $10,000.00
High BankRoll: $20,740.00
Low BankRoll: $6,840.00
Bet Percentage: 0.0500
Max Bet: 200.00



Regards,

Windoor

I meant no sarcasm in my reply. I hope it didn't come across as such. I have seen races there that made me scratch my head. Turf races there can be really wild. It just has some peculiarities compared to most tracks. Last time I was following it there was a strong bias to the outside posts. Get some huge overlays when it's an off track too. I would tread lightly at first. JMO Good luck.

shouldacoulda 02-07-2012 09:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mountainman
Sweet nostalgia for me. Names like Numbered Account, Silent Screen and Shuvee headlining Morning Telegraph editions that cost a quarter. My trek to obtain a copy was 5 miles, sometimes in frigid temps, from a PA town called Leetsdale to the newstand in Sewickley. Unlike today's form, it was cut like a newspaper and folded in half.

My dad bought and put away the first Sunday edition of the DRF like it was gold. We still have it even though he's been gone for some time now. Don't know if it's worth anything but it was to him. I liked the old format with the large pages. There was an art to folding it just right too. Sweet nostalgia indeed.

windoor 02-07-2012 09:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by shouldacoulda
I meant no sarcasm in my reply. I hope it didn't come across as such. I have seen races there that made me scratch my head. Turf races there can be really wild. It just has some peculiarities compared to most tracks. Last time I was following it there was a strong bias to the outside posts. Get some huge overlays when it's an off track too. I would tread lightly at first. JMO Good luck.

None taken. It's all good.

The above excludes turf races, I still don't do very well with them.

I have come to believe there is not a track out there (other than the fairs) that can not be handicapped successfully.

My head is getting way to big with that statement, so I am sure a fall is coming my way. I hope I survive it. Maybe it will be at MNR :)

Regards,

Windoor

bob60566 02-07-2012 09:08 PM

[QUOTE=shouldacoulda]I meant no sarcasm in my reply. I hope it didn't come across as such. I have seen races there that made me scratch my head. Turf races there can be really wild. It just has some peculiarities compared to most tracks. Last time I was following it there was a strong bias to the outside posts. Get some huge overlays when it's an off track too. I would tread lightly at first. JMO Good luck.[/QUOTE]

I assume Mounineer on Friday March-2 be careful March till December lots time

Mac:)

shouldacoulda 02-07-2012 09:32 PM

Quote:

I assume Mounineer on Friday March-2 be careful March till December lots time
Mac:)
Oddly enough I like playing there. It took me a while to get a feel for the place though. I like playing the cheap races. 5-10k claimers. I seam to do better with open claimers or non winners of X races lifetime. I don't do well with races where conditions are non winners of X races in a year or from a certain date. I don't know why, but I don't so I stay away from them. I would be perfectly happy just playing tracks like Will Rogers Downs, Delta Downs and yes, Mountaineer.

bob60566 02-07-2012 09:43 PM

[QUOTE=shouldacoulda]Oddly enough I like playing there. It took me a while to get a feel for the place though. I like playing the cheap races. 5-10k claimers. I seam to do better with open claimers or non winners of X races lifetime. I don't do well with races where conditions are non winners of X races in a year or from a certain date. I don't know why, but I don't so I stay away from them. I would be perfectly happy just playing tracks like Will Rogers Downs, Delta Downs and yes, Mountaineer.[/QUOTE]

The key is most handicappers and the general public handicap these tracks like San Anita, and the likes, total different kettle of fish.

Mac:)

shouldacoulda 02-07-2012 09:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bob60566

The key is most handicappers and the general public handicap these tracks like San Anita, and the likes, total different kettle of fish.

Mac:)

:ThmbUp: Leads to nice overlays too.


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