omar2 |
08-20-2021 11:16 PM |
4 Attachment(s)
Attachment 30205
IN MY OPINION, MOST HANDICAPPERS HAVE BECOME TO WRAPPED UP IN BREAKING DOWN THE RACES WITH PROGRAMS THAT HAVE BECOME SO COMPLICATED THAT I'LL QUOTE A WISE MAN WHO ONCE SAID " I CAN'T SEE THE TREES BECAUSE THE FOREST IS IN THE WAY".
THIS IS A SAMPLE OF RACES ON OAKS DAY THIS YEAR WITH MY TMM PROGRAM THAT I USE AND YES I USE A FEW OTHER PROGRAMS ALSO JUST TO PIQUE MY OWN CURIOSITY. WE'RE ALWAYS SEEKING CORROBORATION.
BUT HERE'S THE POINT: I SORT MY PROGRAM BY THE PROGRAMS ODDS LINE AND AFTER HANDICAPPING HUNDREDS OF RACES I FOUND THAT IT DOESN'T MATTER IF I PICK MY OWN PACE LINES OR JUST LET THE PROGRAM DO ITS OWN THING. AFTER SORTING BY THE PROGRAM ODDS, WITH ABOUT 3 MINUTES LEFT TO POST I PUT IN OR WRITE DOWN THE ACTUAL BOARD ODDS AND THIS IS WHAT I LOOK FOR: I LOOK FOR BOARD ODDS(IN DESCENDING ORDER) THAT ARE BELOW THE PROGRAMS ODDS LINE. IN RACE #10 THAT WOULD BE FIRST THE #3, THEN THE #8, NEXT THE #9 AND FINALLY MAYBE THE #'S 11&5. IN THIS RACE I LANDED ON THE #8 BECAUSE EVEN THOUGH HE'S 7/2 AND THE #3 IS 4-1, THE PROGRAM ODDS ON THE #8 IS 14-1 WHILE THE #3 IS ONLY 6-1. THAT TELLS ME THE REAL MONEY IS GOING ON THE #8.
THEY RAN 8-10-4-9-11. $2 EX. 48.60. NICE $10.40 WIN PRICE.
THIS CAN BE DONE WITH ANY PROGRAM THAT GIVES U AN ODDS LINE, AND YOU'LL KNOW IN SHORT ORDER IF THAT PROGRAM'S GOOD OR NOT.
IN RACE 11 WE HAVE THE #10 FOLLOWED BY THE #,S 6-12-4 & 3.
THEY RAN 10-12-11-3-6. NICE $2 EXACTA $37.80.
IN RACE 9, I SEE THE #10 FOLLOWED BY THE 6-8 & 3.IN A WIDE OPEN RACE LIKE THIS I WOULD CERTAINLY USE THE PROGRAMS TOP 3 HORSES, IF THE ODDS WARRANT IT AND THEY CERTAINLY DID WITH THE 7.
THEY RAN 7-10-1-3-11. THE $2 EX. PAID $187.40.
I HOPE THIS HELPS SOME OF YOU.
OMAR
Attachment 30206, Attachment 30207, Attachment 30208
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