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-   **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/forumdisplay.php?f=22)
-   -   Belmont Breakdown and Analysis (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=158804)

thetripleclowns 06-18-2020 01:57 PM

Belmont Breakdown and Analysis
 
The Triple Clowns and honorary 4th Clown, Ryan Dickey (@rdickey249) host a 2020 Belmont Stakes special. The clowns break down the first leg of the Triple Crown race with 10 very special guest.

Also a very special shout out to Jason "The Cashier" Kassa (@Jason_Kassa), our clown behind the scene.

David Aragona (@HorseToWatch): 05:21-17:20
Ken Rudulph (@MrKenRudulphTV): 17:20-38:02
Laffit Pincay(@LaffitPincayTV): 38:02-56:20
Jonathon Kinchen (@UTbighair): 56:20-01:14:26
Ed DeRosa (@EJXD2): 01:14:26-01:23:05
Todd Schrupp (@ToddTVG): 01:23:05-01:42:10
BlackJack& Fletcher (@BlackJackBurner): 01:4:10-01:50:05
Joe Moran (@joe_morann): 01:50:05-02:02:42
Ryan Dickey (@rdickey249): 02:02:42-02:09:30
The Triple Clowns (@clownstriple): 02:02:30-02:16:54
The "Sarge" Nick J. Hines (@hinesite): 02:16:54-02:38:45
Outro with Ryan Dickey: 02:38:45-02:42:23


Thank you for checking out our video. To help continue our efforts, please hit that subscribe button on YouTube.

Robert Fischer 06-18-2020 02:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thetripleclowns (Post 2620212)
David Aragona (@HorseToWatch): 05:21-17:20
Ken Rudulph (@MrKenRudulphTV): 17:20-38:02
Laffit Pincay(@LaffitPincayTV): 38:02-56:20
Jonathon Kinchen (@UTbighair): 56:20-01:14:26
Ed DeRosa (@EJXD2): 01:14:26-01:23:05
Todd Schrupp (@ToddTVG): 01:23:05-01:42:10
BlackJack& Fletcher (@BlackJackBurner): 01:4:10-01:50:05
Joe Moran (@joe_morann): 01:50:05-02:02:42
Ryan Dickey (@rdickey249): 02:02:42-02:09:30
The Triple Clowns (@clownstriple): 02:02:30-02:16:54
The "Sarge" Nick J. Hines (@hinesite): 02:16:54-02:38:45
Outro with Ryan Dickey: 02:38:45-02:42:23

:eek: That is really a hell of a lineup!! :ThmbUp::ThmbUp:

nice job landing this quality of guest, and giving them a platform and some time to say their piece.

Starting to feel like it's 'Triple Crown Season' again. FINALLY!!!


Quote:

Originally Posted by thetripleclowns (Post 2620212)
Also a very special shout out to Jason "The Cashier" Kassa (@Jason_Kassa), our clown behind the scene.

Thank you for the shout-out. That's my Twitter account, and Facebook, Instagram (and my real name lol).

Um..., guys do not hesitate to hit me up about the Triple Clowns podcast, -and I really do value your opinion (be it positive or negative). Value your participation, and your clicks/subscribes, comments. This is a nice trio of podcasters, and their guest list thus far has been elite, and you get a 'real' experience with some interesting chat on the horses, and issues that we genuinely love.

Robert Fischer/Jason Kassa Toss :2:Sole Volante:confused:!? from the exacta. He's the 2nd-choice on the ML, and he'll be no better than third, Saturday, in the Belmont Stakes.
I appreciate you checking out the Triple Clowns podcast..., so there..., I'm sharing my best bet value opinion for the first leg of the Triple Crown. :ThmbUp: Good luck

Robert Fischer 06-19-2020 11:32 AM

Loved all the guests.

Ken Rudolph = :ThmbUp: Only one to see Fore Left. I thought that was great by him. Really impressed me.


"Sarge" = :ThmbUp: Also agree a lot on Modernist having a shot at being 2nd-best. Maybe he gives him a chance to actually win the exacta (that would be a big price in multis).

"BlackJack" = great confidence and honest in Tiz the Law

Let the record show that A.J. Ryder loves the 'wildcard' DR POST. - I could see that horse winning for Todd Pletcher.

honestly enjoyed all of the guests, and some of them are relatively new to me, so it was cool to have a chance to get to know them as fellow horseplayers and analysts



Listened to this in three splits, podcast-style;
1/3 at my desk
1/3 cooking dinner lol (pierogies w/ sautéed onions)
1/3 nice long walk with big "Mooch" my American Bulldog this morning <3

jay68802 06-19-2020 02:31 PM

Some good guests. Would love to see a group like this on a different race.

Robert Fischer 06-19-2020 10:08 PM

'Twas the Night before Belmont...
 
The :8: Tiz the Law is rock-solid.

Robert Fischer 06-20-2020 11:45 AM

Vertical exotics
 
:6: Fore Left - 30/1 ml, improving, 'nuff said.

:10: Pneumatic - Can 'make a case', Only 3 lifetime starts. Last time Matt Winn was '2-Turns' and got 'pinched' inside. Not impossible that he can be more comfortable outside and is improving. He could be within range of a forward-favoring flow. His odds will be fair. Apparently, "Basin", another Asmussen trainee was the first choice to run here, and Pneumatic is a bit of a substitute, but I am still mildly interested for the above reasons.

:2: Sole Volante - With :1: Tap It to Win taking so much steam, the :2: may be OK odds, and we know he can pick up pieces.

:3: Max Player - Relentless style, a bit cheap, Can envision him in the same 'flow' as likely single winner :8: Tiz the Law, and Joel Rosario will give him a hard ride (good mix of relentless stretch-runner and strong jockey).


for me, these are the main contenders for Ex, Tri, Super



the other direction/opinion is the :1: Tap It to Win.
I kind of feel, that if you think :1: Tap It to Win will get the distance and contend today, that your best bet is him on Top, To Win and in multis.
I'm going the other direction.


Good Luck. :ThmbUp:

AMPHAR 06-20-2020 03:21 PM

Going with:

A:1:
B:8:
C:2:
D:5:
E:10:

clicknow 06-20-2020 05:23 PM

I'll put a few bucks on Farmington Road across the board, with JJ up, he's worth a small wager.
Actually, both Pletchers look "okay" to me. Dr. Post with Irad up.

Robert Fischer 06-20-2020 06:40 PM

Tiz the Law
 
Do we have a Triple Crown winner this season??


Quote:

Originally Posted by clicknow (Post 2621429)
I'll put a few bucks on Farmington Road across the board, with JJ up, he's worth a small wager.
Actually, both Pletchers look "okay" to me. Dr. Post with Irad up.

He looked nice today. Vaguely similar to his sire Quality Road. :ThmbUp:

Tiz the Law looked strong today.

Formful race, w/ a strong fav...
threw some 'seed money' at it , happy w/ the ROI

Tiz the Law wins the first jewel of the Triple Crown, and today is the Summer Solstice!

the Triple Clowns have some of racing's best stars, and we've got the Derby, Preakness, Bluegrass Stakes... FINALLY busting-out of this 'quarantine' feeling and celebrating the Triple Crown season and the 2nd half into the Breeders' Cup. :jump::jump::jump:

check 'em out
Twitter: @ClownsTriple Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCCn...9-I0wxoolvhtiw

feel free to post your redboard, here's my little action play;
https://i.imgur.com/tVSHxVG.png

boys at tosconova 06-20-2020 06:51 PM

i just want to to be the 1st one posting "who has tiz beaten" before his next race. alwayz good to be first, even when it doesn't matter.

Nitro 06-20-2020 07:54 PM

And talking about an “Analysis” how about that Tote analysis?
(No handicapping involved because its all about the money)

Post #11 & #12
http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/s...d.php?t=158844

AMPHAR 06-20-2020 08:37 PM

So happy TC season underway. A lot of fun today!

Robert Fischer 06-21-2020 09:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2621517)
And talking about an “Analysis” how about that Tote analysis?
(No handicapping involved because its all about the money)

Post #11 & #12
http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/s...d.php?t=158844

'
Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2621445)
BEL STKS- Tote Analysis

Race #10 – 8-1 W/ 3-9-7 @ 5 mins to post

That's amazing, Nitro :ThmbUp:

The horse who the Tote, really played a factor w/ me, was the :9: Dr Post.
Knew coming in that he was the better of the two Pletcher entries, a Pletcher FTS won earlier on the card (was it first leg of $0.20P-6??), looked great on the track, and was taking 2nd? or near 2nd-choice money in several pools.

Robert Fischer 06-21-2020 09:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by AMPHAR (Post 2621535)
So happy TC season underway. A lot of fun today!

It feels like 'Racing' again.

1GCFAN 06-23-2020 07:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by boys at tosconova (Post 2621496)
i just want to to be the 1st one posting "who has tiz beaten" before his next race. alwayz good to be first, even when it doesn't matter.


Agree he has not beaten a Grade 1 winner. Unfortunately, the horses that could have given him a race are sidelined save for Honor A.P.


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