SA 4th 2/1/18 Cl32KN3L
 

Chew on this one. This should end up with some fair tote $numbers at the end.

:1: Elwood J- Hollendor/Bejarano 5
:2: Ketos- Sadler/Pereira 6
:3: Rate For Me- Weaver/TBaze 5/2
:4: Green With Eddie- O'Nell/Gutierez 6
:5: Los Gatos- Spawr/Pedroza 4
:6: Taima the Hawk- Belvoir/VanDyke 5
:7: My Man Chuckles- Baltas/Prat 6
:8: Exotic Ghost- Puype/Elliott 8
:9: At Ease- Palma/Blanc 15

When I looked at the line up before the ML was set, I thought it was going to be a pretty good puzzle. The 2nd through 7th choice are between 4/1 and 6/1. The 8th choice is at 8/1. The fav doesn't stand out, and the longest isn't trash. And then all those even horses in the middle. Love it.

Looked at the last replay of each horse, and :5: Los Gatos kind of kept my attention, but I'm not close to making a pick in this race. Should be a fun challenge. Give it a try.

Edit: Oh yea..........Down the hill. Kind of important info.

Looked this race over for quite some time last night. I'm torn between Green With Eddie and My Man Chuckles. Not thrilled with R. Baltas off the shortish layoff but am leaning and likely will play My Man Chuckles.

My Man Chuckles last race looked solid to me also, along with Los Gatos. Those were both races that kind of had me wanting to put a little time into this one. All 9 "fit" well enough.

Agree, they all do seem to fit here. I do think if there might be too much early pace for Green With Eddie. Would like to see My Man Chuckles a bit more engaged in the race from the getgo. There is the chance he just hangs out there wide and begins loosing contact with the field around the turn.

Taima the Hawk handles the course and should get a fast enough pace.

Tough race.

I keep trying to 'rationalize' the :4: Green With Eddie.
First time claiming. :1:&:2: gotta go. Maybe Mario can ration out the speed enough to get a decent trip? Last race had to go tight a couple times between the field and the rail. Stopped badly, but trying to excuse.

Not crazy about this horse or anyone else. More a spread race where I can eliminate a few horses, and pray.

To me, the :1:,:7:,:8:, and :9: are all tosses. And in the end will go with the:

:2: Ketos tactical speed and i think the last 5 races all could win.

:4: Green With Eddie O'Neill on the drop and looks to be coming around

:6: Taima the Hawk Likes the downhill course

In the end none of them would be a big shocker, so give a opinion and see what happens.

:1: coming off the layoff, cutback in distance, Hollendorfer 23% first time claimer. Shows some early speed, doubtful he can carry it across the finish line, but we'll see.

:8: drops in class coming off the layoff. Has already shown the ability to win on this course from an outside post. My pick.

I'll likely ex box the :8: and :1: and play the :4: :5: and :6: underneath if I feel like wasting more money :bang:

I like the :8: Exotic Ghost.

Won on this course and distance three races back. Coming off a 6-month layoff but Puype is pretty good at that angle.

I'll key :8: to the :7: :6: and :1: in the exotics.

:4: in the 4th race so I don't forget my bet.

:4::5: Daily Double.:coffee:

So far, :4: is the leading in votes, and no one has mentioned the ML favorite.

At this moment I believe :2: Ketos 4-1 is the play. Lots of upside to recent form and must respect.

If this guy is hammered than I believe John is betting him.

:2: Ketos is scratched

could easily be an 'ALL' race.

I looked at post position stats, and was very surprised that the 1 post is doing better than in year's past. It can get very tight when they come back to the rail. Maybe shorter fields? Maybe adjustments? I think they leave 1 gate open...

Anyway, I'll include the :1:. I think he fits on class. Should contend with a fair trip.
Using the :1: with the :4: and the favorite :3:.


Trifecta's #8 is interesting if he can set the pace. The 5 isn't terrible...

I like your :5:

:8: Exotic Ghost looks like the wager to me