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-   -   Brown's Mdns @Turf @SAR with seconditis -- this season!!! (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=146391)

TheOracle 07-30-2018 11:05 PM
Brown's Mdns @Turf @SAR with seconditis -- this season!!!
 
It seems Brown's Maidens on the Turf are suffering from acute seconditis as 10 of the last 32 have finished 2nd at Saratoga!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/imag...sarmdnstrf.png

I would venture a guess the Exacta payouts are quite decent!!!

Anyone who back wheeled these Exactas probably had quite the payout as there were many singles!!!

Let's keep an eye on Brown's barn with Maidens on the Turf at the Spa!!!

TheOracle 08-02-2018 02:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle (Post 2349162)
It seems Brown's Maidens on the Turf are suffering from acute seconditis as 10 of the last 32 have finished 2nd at Saratoga!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/imag...sarmdnstrf.png

I would venture a guess the Exacta payouts are quite decent!!!

Anyone who back wheeled these Exactas probably had quite the payout as there were many singles!!!

Let's keep an eye on Brown's barn with Maidens on the Turf at the Spa!!!
Brown has these Maiden Special Weights on the Turf today at Saratoga

3rd race
#1 Frontier Market
#4 Hizeem

Let’s see if he can get these to the winners circle today at Saratoga!!!

TheOracle 08-03-2018 12:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle (Post 2350185)
Brown has these Maiden Special Weights on the Turf today at Saratoga

3rd race
#1 Frontier Market
#4 Hizeem

Let’s see if he can get these to the winners circle today at Saratoga!!!



Well #4 Hizeem and #1 Frontier Market came through for Brown yesterday paying $10.20 for the Exacta but hey we'll take it and #4 Hizeem got the win paying $5.30 not too shabby for a couple of favorites!!!


I was a little late with this one yesterday in posting!!!



Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

TheOracle 08-03-2018 12:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle (Post 2350607)
Well #4 Hizeem and #1 Frontier Market came through for Brown yesterday paying $10.20 for the Exacta but hey we'll take it and #4 Hizeem got the win paying $5.30 not too shabby for a couple of favorites!!!


I was a little late with this one yesterday in posting!!!



Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!



Brown has a Maiden on the Dirt today



5th race
#5 More Mischief


However, this will not qualify for the study since it is on the Dirt

TheOracle 08-05-2018 02:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle (Post 2350607)
Well #4 Hizeem and #1 Frontier Market came through for Brown yesterday paying $10.20 for the Exacta but hey we'll take it and #4 Hizeem got the win paying $5.30 not too shabby for a couple of favorites!!!


I was a little late with this one yesterday in posting!!!



Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!
I missed #10 Gamblers Fallacy in the 2nd race on the Turf at Saratoga for Brown

Code:
RowNum:        Date:        Race:        PgmNum:        Horse:        RaceCond:        Distance:        Trainer:        Odds:        Surface
1        08-05-2018        2nd race        10        Gamblers Fallacy (NY)        Maiden Special Weight        One And One Sixteenth Miles        C C Brown        5/2#        Turf
                                                                                 
2        08-05-2018        6th race        6        Seek and Destroy (KY)        Maiden Special Weight        One And One Sixteenth Miles        C C Brown        3/1#        Turf
3        08-05-2018        6th race        7        Dogtag (KY)        Maiden Special Weight        One And One Sixteenth Miles        C C Brown        7/2#        Turf
Let’s see if he can get the other 2 to hit the board today at a price at the Spa!!!

TheOracle 08-07-2018 01:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle (Post 2351586)
I missed #10 Gamblers Fallacy in the 2nd race on the Turf at Saratoga for Brown

Code:
RowNum:    Date:    Race:    PgmNum:    Horse:    RaceCond:    Distance:    Trainer:    Odds:    Surface
1    08-05-2018    2nd race    10    Gamblers Fallacy (NY)    Maiden Special Weight    One And One Sixteenth Miles    C C Brown    5/2#    Turf
                                             
2    08-05-2018    6th race    6    Seek and Destroy (KY)    Maiden Special Weight    One And One Sixteenth Miles    C C Brown    3/1#    Turf
3    08-05-2018    6th race    7    Dogtag (KY)    Maiden Special Weight    One And One Sixteenth Miles    C C Brown    7/2#    Turf
Let’s see if he can get the other 2 to hit the board today at a price at the Spa!!!
Brown won with #10 Gamblers Fallacy but that will not qualify for the study as the race was run on the Dirt as well as the 6th race

TheOracle 08-07-2018 01:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle (Post 2350607)
Well #4 Hizeem and #1 Frontier Market came through for Brown yesterday paying $10.20 for the Exacta but hey we'll take it and #4 Hizeem got the win paying $5.30 not too shabby for a couple of favorites!!!


I was a little late with this one yesterday in posting!!!



Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!
We missed another Brown over Brown Exacta yesterday with Maiden Special Weights on the Turf at Saratoga!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/imag...nspltrfsar.png

I'm not sure what the Exacta paid in the 4th but should have had it yesterday!!!

Congratulations to those who were paying attention, saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

TheOracle 08-08-2018 09:35 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle (Post 2352424)
We missed another Brown over Brown Exacta yesterday with Maiden Special Weights on the Turf at Saratoga!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/imag...nspltrfsar.png

I'm not sure what the Exacta paid in the 4th but should have had it yesterday!!!

Congratulations to those who were paying attention, saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!
Mr. seconditis Brown has another Maiden Special Weight on the Turf at Saratoga today

5th race
#1 Crazy Life

Let’s see if he finishes 2nd with this one to complete the Exacta!!!

TheOracle 08-18-2018 09:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle (Post 2349162)
It seems Brown's Maidens on the Turf are suffering from acute seconditis as 10 of the last 32 have finished 2nd at Saratoga!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/imag...sarmdnstrf.png

I would venture a guess the Exacta payouts are quite decent!!!

Anyone who back wheeled these Exactas probably had quite the payout as there were many singles!!!

Let's keep an eye on Brown's barn with Maidens on the Turf at the Spa!!!
These stats were for Belmont not Saratoga!!!

TheOracle 08-20-2018 09:40 AM
This is Brown’s record with Maidens on the Turf at Saratoga:
Code:
Row#:        Date:        Race:        PgmNum:        Horse:        RaceCond:        Distance:        Trainer:        ML Odds:        TrackCond:        WPS        W$        P$        S$
1        07-20-2018        2nd race        4        Drynachan (NY)        Mdn Spcl        5.5 Furl        C C Brown        5/2#        Turf Firm        W        6.2        4.0        3.4
2        07-20-2018        4th race        4        Dominant Strategy (KY)        Mdn Clm        1 1/16 M        C C Brown        4/1#        Turf Firm        W        11.0        7.1        3.7
3        07-20-2018        4th race        6        Azzedine (FR)        Mdn Clm        1 1/16 M        C C Brown        5/2#        Turf Firm                               
4        07-21-2018        2nd race        8        Digital Footprint (KY)        Mdn Spcl        1 1/16 M        C C Brown        5/2#        Turf Firm        P                3.2        2.5
5        07-22-2018        10th race        9        Competitionofideas (KY)        Mdn Spcl        1 M        C C Brown        5/2#        Turf Firm        S                        2.5
6        07-29-2018        5th race        4        Alternative Energy (FL)        Mdn Spcl        5.5 Furl        C C Brown        5/2#        Turf Good        S                        2.5
7        07-29-2018        5th race        9        Halsey (KY)        Mdn Spcl        5.5 Furl        C C Brown        6/1#        Turf Good                               
8        07-30-2018        6th race        9        Course Correction (KY)        Mdn Spcl        1 3/8 M        C C Brown        2/1#        Turf Good        P                3.7        2.2
9        08-01-2018        6th race        3        Corey Scores (NY)        Mdn Spcl        5.5 Furl        C C Brown        7/5#        Turf Firm        S                        2.3
10        08-02-2018        3rd race        1A        Frontier Market (KY)        Mdn Spcl        1 M        C C Brown        6/5#        Turf Firm        P                2.8        2.1
11        08-02-2018        3rd race        3        Hizeem (KY)        Mdn Spcl        1 M        C C Brown        5/2#        Turf Firm        W        5.3        3.0        2.1
12        08-06-2018        4th race        5        Chiclets Dream (NY)        Mdn Spcl        1 1/16 M        C C Brown        5/2#        Turf Good        P                2.7        2.5
13        08-06-2018        4th race        8        Chestnut Street (NY)        Mdn Spcl        1 1/16 M        C C Brown        2/1#        Turf Good        W        4.5        2.6        2.3
14        08-08-2018        5th race        1        Crazy Life (NY)        Mdn Spcl        1 1/16 M        C C Brown        5/2#        Turf Firm                               
15        08-10-2018        5th race        3        Fierce Scarlett (FL)        Mdn Spcl        5.5 Furl        C C Brown        5/2#        Turf Good                               
16        08-13-2018        4th race        5        Fog of War (KY)        Mdn Spcl        5.5 Furl        C C Brown        7/2#        Turf Good        W        6.8        4.3        3.1
17        08-15-2018        7th race        2        Kidoro (KY)        Mdn Spcl        1 1/16 M        C C Brown        8/1#        Turf Firm                               
18        08-15-2018        7th race        7        Civil Union (KY)        Mdn Spcl        1 1/16 M        C C Brown        5/1#        Turf Firm        W        10.6        5.6        3.9
19        08-19-2018        3rd race        8        Alternative Energy (FL)        Mdn Spcl        5.5 Furl        C C Brown        3/1#        Turf Yielding        P                2.8        2.5
20        08-19-2018        5th race        1        Sister Kitten (KY)        Mdn Spcl        1 1/16 M        C C Brown        6/1#        Turf Yielding        P                5.6        4.4
21        08-19-2018        5th race        5        Newspaperofrecord (IRE)        Mdn Spcl        1 1/16 M        C C Brown        5/2#        Turf Yielding        W        5.0        3.3        2.8
              Starts        1st        2nds        3rds        Win %        Win $        Cost        Return        % Return                                               
C C Brown        21        7        6        3        33.3%        $49.4        $42        $7.4        17%                                               

WPS %        WPS $        Cost        Return        % Return        Shw $
76.1%        $144.9        $126        $18.9        14%                44.8
13 of 21 have finished no worse than 2nd
He has this in the 4th race today at Saratoga
4th race
#10 Miss Hanna Jo

Let’s see if he can get this one to hit the board today at a price at Saratoga!!!

TheOracle 08-20-2018 11:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle (Post 2357928)
This is Brown’s record with Maidens on the Turf at Saratoga:
Code:
Row#:        Date:        Race:        PgmNum:        Horse:        RaceCond:        Distance:        Trainer:        ML Odds:        TrackCond:        WPS        W$        P$        S$
1        07-20-2018        2nd race        4        Drynachan (NY)        Mdn Spcl        5.5 Furl        C C Brown        5/2#        Turf Firm        W        6.2        4.0        3.4
2        07-20-2018        4th race        4        Dominant Strategy (KY)        Mdn Clm        1 1/16 M        C C Brown        4/1#        Turf Firm        W        11.0        7.1        3.7
3        07-20-2018        4th race        6        Azzedine (FR)        Mdn Clm        1 1/16 M        C C Brown        5/2#        Turf Firm                               
4        07-21-2018        2nd race        8        Digital Footprint (KY)        Mdn Spcl        1 1/16 M        C C Brown        5/2#        Turf Firm        P                3.2        2.5
5        07-22-2018        10th race        9        Competitionofideas (KY)        Mdn Spcl        1 M        C C Brown        5/2#        Turf Firm        S                        2.5
6        07-29-2018        5th race        4        Alternative Energy (FL)        Mdn Spcl        5.5 Furl        C C Brown        5/2#        Turf Good        S                        2.5
7        07-29-2018        5th race        9        Halsey (KY)        Mdn Spcl        5.5 Furl        C C Brown        6/1#        Turf Good                               
8        07-30-2018        6th race        9        Course Correction (KY)        Mdn Spcl        1 3/8 M        C C Brown        2/1#        Turf Good        P                3.7        2.2
9        08-01-2018        6th race        3        Corey Scores (NY)        Mdn Spcl        5.5 Furl        C C Brown        7/5#        Turf Firm        S                        2.3
10        08-02-2018        3rd race        1A        Frontier Market (KY)        Mdn Spcl        1 M        C C Brown        6/5#        Turf Firm        P                2.8        2.1
11        08-02-2018        3rd race        3        Hizeem (KY)        Mdn Spcl        1 M        C C Brown        5/2#        Turf Firm        W        5.3        3.0        2.1
12        08-06-2018        4th race        5        Chiclets Dream (NY)        Mdn Spcl        1 1/16 M        C C Brown        5/2#        Turf Good        P                2.7        2.5
13        08-06-2018        4th race        8        Chestnut Street (NY)        Mdn Spcl        1 1/16 M        C C Brown        2/1#        Turf Good        W        4.5        2.6        2.3
14        08-08-2018        5th race        1        Crazy Life (NY)        Mdn Spcl        1 1/16 M        C C Brown        5/2#        Turf Firm                               
15        08-10-2018        5th race        3        Fierce Scarlett (FL)        Mdn Spcl        5.5 Furl        C C Brown        5/2#        Turf Good                               
16        08-13-2018        4th race        5        Fog of War (KY)        Mdn Spcl        5.5 Furl        C C Brown        7/2#        Turf Good        W        6.8        4.3        3.1
17        08-15-2018        7th race        2        Kidoro (KY)        Mdn Spcl        1 1/16 M        C C Brown        8/1#        Turf Firm                               
18        08-15-2018        7th race        7        Civil Union (KY)        Mdn Spcl        1 1/16 M        C C Brown        5/1#        Turf Firm        W        10.6        5.6        3.9
19        08-19-2018        3rd race        8        Alternative Energy (FL)        Mdn Spcl        5.5 Furl        C C Brown        3/1#        Turf Yielding        P                2.8        2.5
20        08-19-2018        5th race        1        Sister Kitten (KY)        Mdn Spcl        1 1/16 M        C C Brown        6/1#        Turf Yielding        P                5.6        4.4
21        08-19-2018        5th race        5        Newspaperofrecord (IRE)        Mdn Spcl        1 1/16 M        C C Brown        5/2#        Turf Yielding        W        5.0        3.3        2.8
              Starts        1st        2nds        3rds        Win %        Win $        Cost        Return        % Return                                               
C C Brown        21        7        6        3        33.3%        $49.4        $42        $7.4        17%                                               

WPS %        WPS $        Cost        Return        % Return        Shw $
76.1%        $144.9        $126        $18.9        14%                44.8
13 of 21 have finished no worse than 2nd
He has this in the 4th race today at Saratoga
4th race
#10 Miss Hanna Jo

Let’s see if he can get this one to hit the board today at a price at Saratoga!!!

Brown disappointed us today as #10 Miss Hanna Jo finished off the board in the 4th race today!!!

Let's however, continue to watch his barn in this situation!!

lamboguy 08-21-2018 02:24 AM
i know that if you have been playing either C Brown or Pletcher during this meet you are close to being busted out. both trainers have been sending out 2 year olds that aren't breaking out of the gate like normal horses. Mark Casse did the same thing last year.

TheOracle 08-21-2018 10:28 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by lamboguy (Post 2358308)
i know that if you have been playing either C Brown or Pletcher during this meet you are close to being busted out. both trainers have been sending out 2 year olds that aren't breaking out of the gate like normal horses. Mark Casse did the same thing last year.
Yes, I believe overall you are losing money investing in Brown and Pletcher at Saratoga. However, for Brown you might be getting a small profit from Brown’s Maidens on the Turf at Saratoga

I will have those totals in another post

TheOracle 08-21-2018 10:42 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by lamboguy (Post 2358308)
i know that if you have been playing either C Brown or Pletcher during this meet you are close to being busted out. both trainers have been sending out 2 year olds that aren't breaking out of the gate like normal horses. Mark Casse did the same thing last year.
You are getting a 5% return on your money per $2 win wager on all of Brown’s horses as of today.

I will have his returns for Maiden races in another post

TheOracle 08-21-2018 12:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by lamboguy (Post 2358308)
i know that if you have been playing either C Brown or Pletcher during this meet you are close to being busted out. both trainers have been sending out 2 year olds that aren't breaking out of the gate like normal horses. Mark Casse did the same thing last year.
Hey Lambo

You're getting a 5% return per $2 win wager on Brown's horses overall since the season opened at Saratoga

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/imag...ents/brwn1.png

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/imag...ents/brwn2.png

I will have his returns for Maiden races on the Turf later but they are at 12% per $2 win wager

It looks like you have to play his horses in Exactas in this situation otherwise you won't get much of a return for win or place


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