SNAPSHOT 6/9
 

Good Morning PA,

Going to post full card thoughts for every track today. To save time, this will be selections with no analysis. This will be just reading the graphs...No Handicapping, looking at odds, or class drops. I will post 4 deep for each race and will be in order. As this progresses, hopefully I will get a good gauge on which tracks and races to attack. The Best Bets section at the bottom are races that "light up" as races to attack based on race setup.

Best Of Luck


HARRAHS PHILADELPHIA

Race 1- 5,4,6,2
Race 2- 3,5,4,2
Race 3- 7,1,6,3
Race 4- 4,5,6,1
Race 5- 2,3,4,5
Race 6- 1,3,4,2
Race 7- 2,3,5,4
Race 8- 5,2,8,3
Race 9- 2,3,7,1
Race 10- 5,2,7,8
Race 11- 5,2,8,3
Race 12- 1,5,2,7
Race 13- 6,3,2,5




POCONO DOWNS

Race 1- 8,5,4,2
Race 2- 6,9,1,7
Race 3- 5,7,2,4
Race 4- 2,6,8,9
Race 5- 1,5,7,4
Race 6- 2,5,3,8
Race 7- 8,6,4,2
Race 8- 2,6,8,4
Race 9- 7,6,1,5
Race 10- 5,2,7,3
Race 11- 7,1,8,3
Race 12- 7,5,4,3
Race 13- 3,1,4,7
Race 14- 8,4,2,1




SARATOGA

Race 1- 5,3,4,1
Race 2- 1,3,5,2
Race 3- 1,2,4,6
Race 4- 2,1,5,3
Race 5- 2,7,1,3
Race 6- 6,2,4,1
Race 7- 1,3,5,2
Race 8- 3,1,4,2
Race 9- 6,2,4,3
Race 10- 1,2,3,5
Race 11- 6,2,4,5
Race 12- 4,1,2,6
Race 13- 1,5,2,4



TIOGA DOWNS

Race 1- 4,2,5,1
Race 2- 6,8,4,5
Race 3- 1,5,6,7
Race 4- 4,5,2,6
Race 5- 7,1,6,3
Race 6- 5,3,1,6
Race 7- 2,1,5,4
Race 8- 6,5,4,1
Race 9- 7,4,1,5
Race 10- 2,4,1,6
Race 11- 3,7,4,2
Race 12- 7,6,2,1
Race 13- 3,4,2,5



BEST BETS

PHL R1- 5 C C's Desire
PHL R3- 7 Paprike Blue Chip
PHL R10- 5 Mimi'spearloflindy
PHL R11- 5 Sonny At The Beach
PCD R4- 2 That Man Of Mine
PCD R5- 1 Cloud Nine Fashion
PCD R7- 8 The Ice Dutchess
STG R7- 1 Jumalay Mass
TGD R4- 4 Captain Deo
TGD R9- 7 Thinkbig Dreambig
TGD R13- 3 Double Again




BEST OF LUCK!

Best Bets did not fair well today. Although I did not intend for selections to be used for Ex and/or Tri wagering, I posted the results if it did hit those races.

The top 4 selections yielded a 82% Strike Rate so far today, 92% between Harrahs Philadelphia and Saratoga, but not so well today at Tioga.

From this point, I will continue to attempt to narrow further. The ultimate goal would be to have this strike rate with the top 3 selections. With that being said, strike rate could and should be much higher with handicapping being used in conjunction with this information.

So far, this seems like a useful tool and not a stand-alone approach.

Thank you All for your interest and help moving forward with this.


HARRAHS PHILADELPHIA

Race 1- 5,4,6,2
Race 2- 3,5,4,2...2 Wins $13.20, Ex 2-3 $32.40, Tri 2-3-4 $77.40
Race 3- 7,1,6,3...6 Wins $4.00, Ex 6-7 $24.80
Race 4- 4,5,6,1...4 Wins $3.00, Ex 4-5 $11.60
Race 5- 2,3,4,5...5 Wins $4.40, Ex 5-4 $14.40, Tri 5-4-2 $34.80
Race 6- 1,3,4,2...1 Wins $5.40
Race 7- 2,3,5,4....5 Wins $7.40, Ex 5-4 $26.00, Tri 5-4-3 $69.20
Race 8- 5,2,8,3....2 Wins $4.20
Race 9- 2,3,7,1...7 Wins $15.40, Ex 7-3 $29.80, Tri 7-3-1 $102.60
Race 10- 5,2,7,8...5 Wins $4.20, Ex 5-7 $34.00, Tri 5-7-2 $96.40
Race 11- 5,2,8,3...8 Wins $10.60, Ex 8-5 $29.20, Tri 8-5-3 $102.80
Race 12- 1,5,2,7...5 Wins $12.40
Race 13- 6,3,2,5...3 Wins $2.10



SARATOGA

Race 1- 5,3,4,1... 4 Wins $24.00
Race 2- 1,3,5,2...1 Wins $5.40, Ex 1-3 $8.50, Tri 1-3-2 $37.80
Race 3- 1,2,4,6
Race 4- 2,1,5,3...3 Wins $6.40, Ex 3-2 $37.60
Race 5- 1A,6,1,2...6 Wins $11.80
Race 6- 6,2,4,1...2 Wins $9.70
Race 7- 1,3,5,2...2 Wins $8.70
Race 8- 3,1,4,2...3 Wins $3.20, Ex 3-1 $5.30, Tri 3-1-2 $16.20
Race 9- 6,2,4,3...4 Wins $5.20, Ex 4-2 $9.90, Tri 4-2-6 $30.40
Race 10- 1,2,3,5...5 Wins $3.40, Ex 5-1 $6.30, Tri 5-1-3 $23.80
Race 11- 6,2,4,5...2 Wins $3.50, Ex 2-4 $7.60, Tri 2-4-6 $18.60
Race 12- 4,1,2,6...4 Wins $2.50
Race 13- 1,5,2,4...1 Wins $6.70, Ex 1-5 $11.60



TIOGA DOWNS

Race 1- 4,2,5,1...4 Wins $4.90, Ex 4-5 $17.00
Race 2- 6,8,4,5
Race 3- 1,5,6,7
Race 4- 4,5,2,6...4 Wins $2.50, Ex 4-5 $4.50
Race 5- 7,1,6,3
Race 6- 5,3,1,6...6 Wins $25.20, Ex 6-3 $123.00, Tri 6-3-1 $375.50
Race 7- 2,1,5,4...1 Wins $5.40, Ex 1-2 $12.40
Race 8- 6,5,4,1...5 Wins $6.80, Ex 5-6 $80.00, Tri 6-5-4 $1,016.00
Race 9- 6,4,1,5...4 Wins $10.00, Ex 4-1 $43.00
Race 10- 2,4,1,6...1 Wins $7.40, Ex 1-4 $50.00
Race 11- 3,7,4,2
Race 12- 7,6,2,1...2 Wins $7.50
Race 13- 3,4,2,5

POCONO DOWNS

Race 1- 8,5,4,2....8 Wins $6.20, Ex 8-2 $17.40
Race 2- 6,9,1,7...1 Wins $3.80
Race 3- 5,7,2,4...4 Wins $4.00, Ex 4-2 $12.40, Tri 4-2-7 $104.00
Race 4- 2,6,8,9...6 Wins $19.00
Race 5- 1,5,7,4...5 Wins $5.00, Ex 5-7 $29.60
Race 6- 2,5,3,8
Race 7- 8,6,4,2...8 Wins $2.60, Ex 8-4 $9.40
Race 8- 2,6,8,4
Race 9- 7,6,1,5...7 Wins $3.00
Race 10- 5,2,7,3...2 Wins $2.80, Ex 2-3 $16.80
Race 11- 7,1,8,3...3 Wins $29.80, Ex 3-8 $325.20
Race 12- 7,5,4,3...7 Wins $3.20
Race 13- 3,1,4,7...3 Wins $3.20
Race 14- 8,4,2,1...8 Wins $4.60, Ex 8-4 $31.00, Tri 8-4-1 $105.80



Top 4 Strike Rate stands at 83%

Let me ask you a couple of questions here.


a) Do you bet on the horses that you pick? if yes,



b) How do you bet your picks? For example if you are playing exactas


A/BCD


AB/ABCD


ABC box


ABCD box


WE will continue with the conversation after I get your reply.

I don't believe that he is betting any of the races.

In his 1st post he wrote,

"As this progresses, hopefully I will get a good gauge on which tracks and races to attack."

SB,

At the present time, I wager based on Post Time odds, and bet Exacta’s and Tri’s. I tend to spot play and only play when I interpret the value to exceed the risk. As I’ve stated, This is strictly trial phase. I’m working on narrowing down, hence my posts on here... I’m looking for assistance from you guys in how to properly utilize this. 83% of the time the winner was in the top 4... with absolutely 0 handicapping. My question is, how do I improve on this, or attack this in a profitable way?

If I like chalk-chalk, I may play a cold Exacta, or if my 4th pick is 10-1, and the exacta over and under the chalk shows value, I play that. I am not a strict system bettor.

With that being said, these graphs are not a system. These selections are strictly my interpretation of the data as my past analysis has described. I am attempting to use you all as assistance in how would YOU best utilize this rather than “Look at what I hit”.

SB,

I will handicap and use graphs/info for Woodbine tonight. I will post my intended Ex Bets. Hopefully this will give you an idea as to my approach.

I’d love, if you have time, to post your thoughts as well! Always good to see another’s perspective on the same races.

Looking forward to our dialogue!