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-   -   2021 Woodbine Picks Thread (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=165269)

CheckMark 06-12-2021 09:21 AM

2021 Woodbine Picks Thread
 
Going to be handicapping Woodbine for their 2021 season which runs from June 12th (today) till December 12th racing Thursday-Sunday

Good luck to everyone playing Woodbine this year as I hope to bring winners to all who look at my thread here

Sometimes I will include a Pick 5 wager (R2-R6) but not always

SEASON RECORD: -
BEST BET RECORD: -
LONGSHOT PLAY RECORD: -

WOO Day #1 6/12/2021

R1: :7::3:

R2: :8::2:

R3: :1::2:

R4: :8::7:

R5: :3::7:

R6: :6::12:

R7: :11::12:

R8: :5::4:

R9: :5::1:

R10: :2::3:

R11: :3::8:

BEST BET: Race 8 #5 Speightstown Shirl 8/5
LONGSHOT PLAY: Race 7 #12 Out Atthe Speedway 12-1

mike_123_ca 06-12-2021 10:15 AM

Thanks Mark...

One of my favorite tracks. Great turf racing especially the EP Taylor course with the wide sweeping turns and the longest stretch run in North America... and I love the fabulous longshot payoffs.

Good Luck!

Mike

CheckMark 06-12-2021 12:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mike_123_ca (Post 2730683)
Thanks Mark...

One of my favorite tracks. Great turf racing especially the EP Taylor course with the wide sweeping turns and the longest stretch run in North America... and I love the fabulous longshot payoffs.

Good Luck!

Mike

Hi mike

No problem Hoping to hit something today for being back!

CheckMark 06-12-2021 12:46 PM

update*

R1: :7::3:

R2: :8::2:

R3: :1::2:

R4: :8::7:

R5: :3::7:

R6: :6::13: *

R7: :11::12:

R8: :5::4:

R9: :5::1:

R10: :2::3:

R11: :3::8:

BEST BET: Race 8 #5 Speightstown Shirl 8/5
LONGSHOT PLAY: Race 7 #12 Out Atthe Speedway 12-1

bobbyb 06-12-2021 02:46 PM

WO 4

Ex 1 // 7 5 3 8 r GL

bobbyb 06-12-2021 03:19 PM

WO 5

Ex B - 3 9 10 5

bobbyb 06-12-2021 03:46 PM

WO 6

$10 win 6

Ex b 6 1 13

bobbyb 06-12-2021 04:19 PM

WO 7

Ex 11 // 12 3 9

CheckMark 06-12-2021 04:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bobbyb (Post 2730790)
WO 7

Ex 11 // 12 3 9

:9::3: paid $157.90

Super close here bobby :blush:

ucancallmemrlucky 06-12-2021 04:33 PM

Woodbine late pick 4
 
$.20 pick 4 starting with race 8:
:2::4::5::8::11:
:1::5::9:
:2::4::12:
:3::11::12:
$27 ticket

Nitro 06-12-2021 05:26 PM

WB – Tote Analysis

Race #9 – 5-9 W/ 7-1-4 @ 3 mins to post

jay68802 06-12-2021 05:28 PM

RAce 9: :5: is a strong favorite, paying with the :1::4: and :8: in the exacta.

Nitro 06-12-2021 05:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2730811)
WB – Tote Analysis

Race #9 – 5-9 W/ 7-1-4 @ 3 mins to post

Results:

Race #9 = 5-9-1-7 -- WIN - EX COLD – TRI – SUPER BX / All of that one!


Code:

 
POS        #        Horse                Win        Place        Show
1st:        5        Another Time        $5.90        $3.50        $2.70
2nd:        9        Fiduciary (Gb)                $4.00        $3.20
3rd:        1        Roman D'oro                        $4.00
4th:        7        Afleet Katherine               
       
•        $2.00 EXACTA 5-9      $26.20
•        $2.20 TRIFECTA 5-9-1        $103.40
•        $2.00 SUPERFECTA 5-9-1-7            $263.00
 


jay68802 06-12-2021 05:45 PM

Always like seeing "All of that one!"

Nitro 06-12-2021 06:00 PM

WB – Tote Analysis

Race #10 – 2-9 W/ 4-5-8 @ 3 mins to post

Nitro 06-12-2021 06:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2730820)
WB – Tote Analysis

Race #10 – 2-9 W/ 4-5-8 @ 3 mins to post

Results:

Race #10 = 3-11-5-8 -- Nothing in that one – both keys failed to get a piece of the money / Not much action on the LS Winner or Placer


Code:

 
POS        #        Horse                Win        Place        Show
1st:        3        Spider Belle        $18.80        $9.30        $5.90
2nd:        11        Moonlit Silence                $9.50        $7.10
3rd:        5        Orbaline                        $5.00
4th:        8        Sky Of Dreams                       
 


Nitro 06-12-2021 06:34 PM

WB – Tote Analysis

Race #11 – 3-8 W/ 5-11-6 @ 3 mins to post

Nitro 06-12-2021 07:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2730827)
WB – Tote Analysis

Race #11 – 3-8 W/ 5-11-6 @ 3 mins to post

Results:

Race #11 = 9-8-3-1-6 -- Nothing in that one – No action on the LS Winner


Code:

 
POS        #        Horse                Win        Place        Show
1st:        9        Simple Souvenir        $28.80        $10.10        $6.00
2nd:        8        Naitaka                        $5.30        $3.80
3rd:        3        Marais                                $3.30
4th:        1        Knew As A Breeze                       
5th:        6        Born To Be Good                       
 



So much for that reputation of Tapeta being a safe racing surface !!

CheckMark 06-12-2021 07:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CheckMark (Post 2730708)

R1: no hits

R2: :2: $6.90

R3: :1: $7.20

R4: :7: $6.70

R5: :3: $9.70

R6: no hits

R7: no hits

R8: :5: $3.70 HIT BEST BET

R9: :5: $5.90

R10: :3: $18.80

R11: no hits

BEST BET: WON $3.70
LONGSHOT PLAY: 5th

SEASON RECORD: 7-11 +36.90 (betting $2 to win on T2 horses)
BEST BET RECORD: 1-1 +1.70
LONGSHOT PLAY RECORD: 0-1 -2.00

mike_123_ca 06-12-2021 07:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CheckMark (Post 2730835)
SEASON RECORD: 7-11 +36.90 (betting $2 to win on T2 horses)
BEST BET RECORD: 1-1 +1.70
LONGSHOT PLAY RECORD: 0-1 -2.00

Great picks Mark... I played only one of your horses per race and caught races 3-4-5-8 and turned a profit. Thanks!

Mike

CheckMark 06-12-2021 09:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mike_123_ca (Post 2730839)
Great picks Mark... I played only one of your horses per race and caught races 3-4-5-8 and turned a profit. Thanks!

Mike

No problem Mike!

Glad I can help!

Robert Fischer 06-12-2021 10:50 PM

good thread Check Mark

on twitter/periscope today a Woodbine horseplayer and owner named Tommy Massis did a nice show. He actually had a couple good plays and some close calls.

CheckMark 06-13-2021 09:33 AM

WOO Day #2 6/13/2021

SEASON RECORD: 7-11 +36.90 (betting $2 to win on T2 horses)
BEST BET RECORD: 1-1 +1.70
LONGSHOT PLAY RECORD: 0-1 -2.00

R1: :1::6:

R2: :7::3:

R3: :1::4:

R4: :6::13:

R5: :2::11:

R6: :6::10:

R7: :7::9:

R8: :4::5:

R9: :11::3:

R10: :5::12:

R11: :7::8:

R12: :8::7:

R13: :14::13:

BEST BET: Race 3 #1 Kuduro 5/2
LONGSHOT PLAY: Race 4 #13 Siakam 10-1

CheckMark 06-13-2021 09:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Robert Fischer (Post 2730861)
good thread Check Mark

on twitter/periscope today a Woodbine horseplayer and owner named Tommy Massis did a nice show. He actually had a couple good plays and some close calls.

Thank you Robert!

:ThmbUp:

CheckMark 06-13-2021 12:42 PM

update *

R1: :1::6:

R2: :7::3:

R3: :1::4:

R4: :6::13:

R5: :2::11:

R6: :6::12: *

R7: :7::9:

R8: :4::5:

R9: :11::3:

R10: :5::12:

R11: :7::8:

R12: :8::7:

R13: :14::13:

BEST BET: Race 3 #1 Kuduro 5/2
LONGSHOT PLAY: Race 4 #13 Siakam 10-1

CheckMark 06-13-2021 08:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CheckMark (Post 2730945)

R1: no hits

R2: :3: $9.80

R3: :1: $6.20 HIT BEST BET

R4: no hits

R5: :11: $5.80

R6: :6: $11.20

R7: :9: $4.30

R8: no hits

R9: no hits

R10: :12: $18.50

R11: :8: $9.00

R12: no hits

R13: no hits

BEST BET: WON $6.20
LONGSHOT PLAY: 13th

SEASON RECORD: 14-24 +79.70
BEST BET RECORD: 2-2 +5.90
LONGSHOT PLAY RECORD: 0-2 -4.00

Hues10 06-14-2021 12:47 PM

Nice job CheckMark
 
It was fun following you and just setting and forgetting. That 39:1 horse who came up the last stretch somewhat ruined what would have been a great day. Still a good day for playing every race. Passed my rainy Sunday away. Till next time.

CheckMark 06-14-2021 02:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hues10 (Post 2731183)
It was fun following you and just setting and forgetting. That 39:1 horse who came up the last stretch somewhat ruined what would have been a great day. Still a good day for playing every race. Passed my rainy Sunday away. Till next time.

Thank you Hues10!

Hope to bring everyone more winners and Bombs during the meet! :ThmbUp:

CheckMark 06-17-2021 06:53 PM

Track Bias Notes Woodbine

6/12/2021
All-Weather Sprints bias was Front Runners having the advantage and the outside posts or the outside part of the racetrack was best


6/13/2021
All-Weather Sprints/EP Taylor Turf Routes bias was Front Runners having the advantage and the outside posts or the outside part of the racetrack was best

Track Bias Stats

All-Weather Sprints:
Front and Outside post
BL 1st Call Avg: 1.65 2nd Call Avg: 1.85

EP Taylor Turf Routes:
Stalk and Outside post
BL 1st Call Avg: 2.1 2nd Call Avg: 1.5

Inner Turf Sprints:
Front or Stalk and middle post
BL 1st Call Avg: 3.0 2nd Call Avg: 1.7

azeri98 06-17-2021 10:37 PM

Picks for Friday June 18th.

Race 1- :2::3:
Race 2- :5::9:
Race 3- :2::6:
Race 4- :2::6:
Race 5- :3::4:
Race 6- :3::13:
Race 7- :4::6:
Race 8- :3::6:

CheckMark 06-18-2021 07:38 AM

WOO Day #3 6/18/2021

SEASON RECORD: 14-24 +79.70 (betting $2 to win on T2 horses)
BEST BET RECORD: 2-2 +5.90
LONGSHOT PLAY RECORD: 0-2 -4.00

R1: :2::3:

R2: :5::7:

R3: :7::4:

R4: :9::12:

R5: :8::4:

R6: :13::11:

R7: :4::7:

R8: :8::10:

BEST BET: Race 7 #4 Samurai Queen 7/5
LONGSHOT PLAY: Race 2 #7 Let's Have Fun 6-1

CheckMark 06-18-2021 03:38 PM

update *

R1: :2::3:

R2: :5::7:

R3: :7::4:

R4: :6::9: *

R5: :8::4:

R6: :11::9: *

R7: :4::7:

R8: :8::10:

BEST BET: Race 7 #4 Samurai Queen 7/5
LONGSHOT PLAY: Race 2 #7 Let's Have Fun 6-1

azeri98 06-18-2021 07:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CheckMark (Post 2732096)
update *

R1: :2::3:

R2: :5::7:

R3: :7::4:

R4: :6::9: *

R5: :8::4:

R6: :11::9: *

R7: :4::7:

R8: :8::10:

BEST BET: Race 7 #4 Samurai Queen 7/5
LONGSHOT PLAY: Race 2 #7 Let's Have Fun 6-1

Nice overlay on the :9: in the 4th. Good pick

CheckMark 06-19-2021 09:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CheckMark (Post 2732096)

R1: no hits

R2: no hits

R3: no hits

R4: :9: $22.50

R5: :4: $6.60

R6: no hits

R7: no hits

R8: :8: $10.90

BEST BET: 7th
LONGSHOT PLAY: 3rd

SEASON RECORD: 17-32 +99.70
BEST BET RECORD: 2-3 +3.90
LONGSHOT PLAY RECORD: 0-3 -6.00

CheckMark 06-19-2021 09:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by azeri98 (Post 2732157)
Nice overlay on the :9: in the 4th. Good pick

Thanks azeri98!

Raced well and got up to win :ThmbUp:

CheckMark 06-19-2021 09:59 AM

WOO Day #4 6/19/2021

SEASON RECORD: 17-32 +99.70
BEST BET RECORD: 2-3 +3.90
LONGSHOT PLAY RECORD: 0-3 -6.00

R1: :6::9:

R2: :6::10:

R3: :9::8:

R4: :13::9:

R5: :1::2:

R6: :6::1:

R7: :7::5:

R8: :1::8:

R9: :7::8:

R10: :8::5:

R11: :3::4:

R12: :3::13:

BEST BET: Race 7 #7 Drunk Dial 7/5
LONGSHOT PLAY: Race 2 #10 Grateful Praise 10-1

azeri98 06-19-2021 10:03 AM

Sat June 19th

Race 1- :7::9:
Race 2- :3::6:
Race 3- :5::9:
race 4- :9::10:
race 5- :1::5:
race 6- :7::8:
race 7- :7::1:
race 8- :8::1:
race 9- :7::6:
race 10- :9::8:
race 11- :8::10:
race 12- :3::4:

Bennie 06-19-2021 10:05 AM

I myself don't play tracks that have just started their meets especially when many are coming off 4 to 6 month layoffs and give you cudos for your selections but am wondering about your math. You have played 32 races so far and hit 17 but I thought you were making win bets on the top "2" horses in each race. That would mean $4 per race and your calculations are based on $2 per race. Again cudos to your selections and continued success but please correct me if I am wrong.

CheckMark 06-19-2021 10:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bennie (Post 2732226)
I myself don't play tracks that have just started their meets especially when many are coming off 4 to 6 month layoffs and give you cudos for your selections but am wondering about your math. You have played 32 races so far and hit 17 but I thought you were making win bets on the top "2" horses in each race. That would mean $4 per race and your calculations are based on $2 per race. Again cudos to your selections and continued success but please correct me if I am wrong.

omg!

Yes you are correct thank you for catching that!

Need to correct my numbers now

CheckMark 06-19-2021 10:19 AM

UPDATED Calculations (thanks for the eye Bennie)

SEASON RECORD: 17-32 +35.70
BEST BET RECORD: 2-3 +3.90
LONGSHOT PLAY RECORD: 0-3 -6.00

Sorry $2 to Win on my top 2 so $4 per race not $2 :bang:

The best bet calculations and the longshot play calculations stay the same since that is $2 to Win on 1 horse

Still making a good profit but thank you to Bennie for pointing that out!


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