classhandicapper |
08-01-2022 10:18 AM |
She has a few things going for her.
1. The Beyer PAR for these races is 72. She matched the PAR while in hand.
2. Shirreffs is 1 for 30 with an ROI of .63 on $2 bets with 2 yo firsters over the last 5 years. The only winner is Justique.
3. He's 3/59 overall with firsters, with 1 winner being Justique.
4. Not much you can tell about the quality of the field, but the LRC horses that had already run didn't look like much.
There have quite a few faster 2yo filly debuts, but I think we can conclude based on Beyer figures she was an average or slightly above average debut winner that was almost certainly not cranked for her best by Shirreffs.
Where she goes from here will be determined later, but at least the Justify's are really running.
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