Robert Fischer |
02-04-2019 05:33 PM |
Like I said in the RB Lewis thread, I was higher on Mucho Gusto's effort, than the three finishers in the Withers...
However, as a general comment; Not That Brady ran relatively well in the Withers. The pace was just fast enough that he did earn that extra TimeformUS point (119 vs 118) in spite of finishing 2nd. I also thought that he did well after taking the first turn very wide (Trakus has NTB's first quarter as 32' more distance than Tax). As a race-watcher I also felt that Tax should have probably separated from the place and show horses after he benefited from waiting a stride behind horses before getting the opening coming off the turn. Both the wide first-turn and the waiting behind horses are tough to 'numericize', and even debatable(E.g the Chart's language "Got forced to be taken in hand and paused at the three-sixteenths when placed in tight inside as NTB drifted in, had that rival be corrected outwards and rallied up the inside to take narrow command a furlong out..." makes it sound like a hardship rather than a trip benefit).
Not That Brady is not my 'Derby' horse at this point, but he's quietly racked up some decent pace figures. If post positions or other considerations are reversed in race such as the Gotham Stakes, I would take Not That Brady over Tax in my wagers.
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