Rebel Stakes PPs: Race 10
 

The more interesting division. I'd rather play against Game Winner than Improbable.

Agree 100% a much more interesting race than the other division. Others I could make a case for against the :5: Game Winner

:2: 2 wins at OP 3rd off lay-off could run huge for Asmussen. Similar running style to the :8: but I think has the ability to sit closer to the pace. I really think this might be Asmussen’s best horse this year.

:6: maybe not for the win spot but will sit right off the pace setters and is always game.

:7: I love Tax and turning for home in the Withers I thought this horse was going to win. 2nd race under Casse, gets one of the best riders at OP.

:8: another not for the win spot...figs are meh but Sueno flattered this horse with his 2nd in the Southwest.

:10: will be one hell of a miler. Another I have to use underneath. 3rd off lay-off for Asmussen another that’s 2/2 at OP

:2::5::7:/:2::5::6::7::8::10: ex and tri

first glance 'blink'
 

I really have to look this race over more.

:5: Game Winner is the horse to beat, but he's really been an overachiever thus far, and his resume presents him a little better than he is.


Grumpy at the morning line for a couple of the others.

:8: Gunmetal Gray is a popular horse with the public. He's got a striking name, and he's gray, and his resume makes him look better than he is, and he has a popular trainer.... Yet this guy puts him @ fourth-choice 10/1 ml !!! :bang: CAN YOU PLEASE LET THE PUBLIC DO THE CAPPING, AND KEEP YOUR SKILL OUT OF IT?? He's supposed to be near 2nd choice morning line. Cap the public, not your own wisdom/opinion....

:6: - i have to study this horse and watch his races, yea he got screwed in the morning line (7/2 off his maiden score , while GMG is 10/1?), but his form is pretty enough for me to look deeply.

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other initial thoughts;

:4: is a good animal. He disappointed in the Southwest, and he looks like he'll simply be a casualty of a pretty good pace, but he merits some interest

:2: :10: are mildly interesting closers

oh well, didn't take log to get back to standout favs.

baffert's horse doesn't even have to full throttled to run first in here. seems like an unlikely landing place, but with all the SA problems they have to run somewhere. too bad you can't take him out. it would be a great betting race if he wasn't in it.

i guess you can hope he won't fully try and only get 2nd approach. but this field might be too ripe

Fit and Ready . . .
 

It'll be interesting to see if Hollendorfer's Gunmetal Gray can run down the front end in this one . . .

:8: Gunmetal Gray to win.

Tricky race to wager. :5:Game Winner doesn't need to win it and perhaps won't be fully cranked here but if he runs like he did in the Breeders Cup then he's going to be tough. :6:Omaha is getting some buzz and Mike Smith is no stranger to the Oaklawn winner's circle but the colt's last out deserves a wet-sealed asterisk. He is likely to also have company from :7:Our Braintrust. This one will have decent odds and is probably worth mixing in the trifecta. Barring a complete meltdown, I don't think the race is long enough for :8:Gunmetal to get up. He's one to watch next out.

:5:/:6::7:/:6::7::8:

Will he get up in time . . .
 

It'll be interesting to see if Game Winner improves, based upon his works, I think not; however that 7f in 1:25 is exceptional. Mandella last worked Omaha Beach in 1:10.3, again exceptionally fast - did that work take somethin' out of or put somethin' into the horse? I figure there will be significant pace w/Omaha Beach and Market King leading the front flight goin' in 1:11 flat maybe faster on a speed biased track (70%). Gunmetal Gray got there going a mile in the Sham w/a 1:11.3; the sloppy sealed didn't help his type in the Robert B Lewis. In this one, I think there will be enough pace and distance that Gunmetal Gray gets up.

LOVE him, but may need longer. If this was FL Derby he'd be my pick. You got the 5, 7 and 2 with good late pace figures in this race. Dunno if will be long enough for him to "get goin'".

My feelings exactly.

Got some longshots lined up, but will put a place bet on Classy John. Most will have Galilean there. Rather take 15-1 than 3-1.

Game Winner, Gunmetal Gray, and Omaha Beach are the "obvious" picks and I'll definitely throw some cash on them. Jersey Agenda interests me a lot. He's from one of the best female families in the history of the breed, and with Dynaformer as his damsire he should be able to improve with longer distances.

The trick here is the Feb. 2nd card @ Santa Anita.
It was best to be on the rail.
And it was best to be very close up.
:8:Gunmetal Gray took the worst of the double bias.......no doubt about it.
His race is much BTL.
On the other hand.....
Omaha Beach couldn't of benefited more from the double bias........I'm tossing him.
Make Gunmetal Gray the selection.

Actually, there's a horse in the race who's female family goes back to Round Table --- so I would consider that 'the best" female family.:) But he and Jersey would both need a couple football fields longer than this race. They're all stamina.

I think this :2: has a shot to muddy things up.

:7: Our Braintrust is my play though. I'll those 2 up and down and all over.

Missed the first division, dammit!!!!

Here are my plays in the second division

$3 Tri :3:,:5:/:3:,:5:,:6:/:3:,:5:,:6:,:7:,:8: = $36
$25 WPS :3:

GL