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-   -   Did Martin Garcia do the right turn body slam on Follow Me Crev on purpose? (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=138692)

Andy Asaro 05-28-2017 10:43 AM

Did Martin Garcia do the right turn body slam on Follow Me Crev on purpose?
 
Nobody can say for sure but it sure is suspicious given previous incidents. I'll go with yes just to stir the pot.

Dahoss9698 05-28-2017 10:45 AM

No doubt in my mind he did it on purpose.

Andy Asaro 05-28-2017 11:27 AM


Andy Asaro 05-28-2017 11:33 AM

Baffert "He ducked from the starter" "He can do that"

cj 05-28-2017 11:37 AM

Who knows really, but the way California stewards have handled gate incidents certainly allows for the possibility that somebody would take advantage of it.

Robert Fischer 05-28-2017 12:34 PM

I couldn't tell either way.

It looks like whether it was intentional, or not, that once contact was inevitable that Garcia was aggressive. I don't see anything wrong with that, specifically.

I guess the question is whether Baffert, Tabor et al were 'pulling strings', and chose to impede a main rival, by using and potentially sacrificing one of his two A's.

I don't see it, but the potential is there, and that is worth some thought.

And when a potential advantage exist by way of cheating, you will see Gresham's law play out.

Andy Asaro 05-28-2017 02:15 PM

If anything Garcia should get days for it.

SuperPickle 05-29-2017 12:13 AM

I'm not Einstein but isn't giving your horse a poor start to give another horse a poor start illogical???

Dahoss9698 05-29-2017 08:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SuperPickle (Post 2176689)
I'm not Einstein but isn't giving your horse a poor start to give another horse a poor start illogical???

Not if your goal is to eliminate the main competition for your longer priced uncoupled entrymate.

Let's think about this for a second. Martin Garcia is a 10% rider this year. That's with the benefit of riding a lot of choice Baffert stock. Why do you think that is? What does Baffert see that seemingly no other trainer sees?

He's a good Baffert soldier. He does whatever is needed for the team. You've been around, let's not pretend stuff like this is something that can't happen. Tag teams happen all the time. You started a thread about one at Golden Gate the other day remember?

dilanesp 05-29-2017 11:35 AM

Follow Me Crev is a deep closer anyway. Giving a deep closer a slow start doesn't hurt that horse's chances much.

The Bayern thing worked because it eliminated Moreno, the other speed horse in the race.

cj 05-29-2017 11:49 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by dilanesp (Post 2176829)
Follow Me Crev is a deep closer anyway. Giving a deep closer a slow start doesn't hurt that horse's chances much.

The Bayern thing worked because it eliminated Moreno, the other speed horse in the race.

It may not hurt as much as it does a speed horse, but it definitely still hurts the horses chances. He had to make up several additional lengths because of the break. He was 11 lengths back after a 1/4 mile. This is not a horse that is usually that far back---not even close.

Dahoss9698 05-29-2017 12:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dilanesp (Post 2176829)
Follow Me Crev is a deep closer anyway. Giving a deep closer a slow start doesn't hurt that horse's chances much.

The Bayern thing worked because it eliminated Moreno, the other speed horse in the race.

Clobbering a horse at the start doesn't hurt his chances much? :lol::lol::lol:

What color is the sky? I'm just curious if we can agree on something obvious.

Ruffian1 05-29-2017 12:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Andy Asaro (Post 2176285)
Baffert "He ducked from the starter" "He can do that"


Absolutely.

Andy Asaro 05-29-2017 12:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ruffian1 (Post 2176868)
Absolutely.

It's the starters fault. Remember the press conference where Baffert was caught on a hot mic telling Garcia what to say?

Got this from CHRB Spokesperson Mike Marten (who deserves a statue somewhere someday. This guy is the best at what he does and ALWAYS answers questions.)

I asked if the Stewards spoke to Garcia and/or are going to give him days off.

I’ve sent an email to Darrel McHargue.

Reviewing the race myself, it looked like American Freedom took him by surprise by veering right like that. But maybe a jockey is supposed to be prepared for that possibility. I don’t know. We will see what McHargue says.


arw629 05-29-2017 12:57 PM

I find this thread comical

Andy Asaro 05-29-2017 12:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by arw629 (Post 2176877)
I find this thread comical

If there was no history I wouldn't have put it up. But, there is.

Ruffian1 05-29-2017 12:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Andy Asaro (Post 2176870)
It's the starters fault. Remember the press conference where Baffert was caught on a hot mic telling Garcia what to say?


All I was saying is that a horse can duck from the starter and it is not a leap to say that. It does happen.
Don't know the race and never saw it. And if Bob got caught saying that I would need to follow up on why he is telling the jock what happened. It's the other way around right?

Andy Asaro 05-29-2017 01:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ruffian1 (Post 2176879)
All I was saying is that a horse can duck from the starter and it is not a leap to say that. It does happen.
Don't know the race and never saw it. And if Bob got caught saying that I would need to follow up on why he is telling the jock what happened. It's the other way around right?

I agree that we are only speculating BUT there are a lot of people out here in Ca. who won't say anything on the record but are very suspicious of the slam.

And I am biased. I've had a long running feud with B.B.

Ruffian1 05-29-2017 01:02 PM

"But maybe a jockey is supposed to be prepared for that possibility."


Of course the rider is.

That goes without saying.

Andy Asaro 05-29-2017 01:02 PM

Twitter Poll a little different. With 95 votes

38%Yes, he's done it before.

26%No, wasn't his fault

36%Not sure but suspicious

Andy Asaro 05-29-2017 01:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ruffian1 (Post 2176882)
"But maybe a jockey is supposed to be prepared for that possibility."


Of course the rider is.

That goes without saying.

Since they passed the whip rule Steward out here have a lot more control over jockeys. They get called in for things they would have never been called in for 5 years ago.

Ruffian1 05-29-2017 01:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Andy Asaro (Post 2176881)
I agree that we are only speculating BUT there are a lot of people out here in Ca. who won't say anything on the record but are very suspicious of the slam.

And I am biased. I've had a long running feud with B.B.


When riders are allowed a freedom like the gate stuff , it's only a matter of time before it either gets abused or somebody really gets hurt.

Darrel knows this as well as anybody.

Darrel rode without the luxury of any first step stuff when he was in Maryland. He knows full well about all this.

dilanesp 05-29-2017 01:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cj (Post 2176832)
It may not hurt as much as it does a speed horse, but it definitely still hurts the horses chances. He had to make up several additional lengths because of the break. He was 11 lengths back after a 1/4 mile. This is not a horse that is usually that far back---not even close.

cj, there was a 3 horse speed duel. Maybe I am an idiot, but I absolutely expected him to be that far back. The other main closer (think his name was Big John B) was that far back too.

Dahoss9698 05-29-2017 01:11 PM

Can someone with a database run a query on when Baffert runs an uncoupled entry. I'm curious how often the longer priced horse wins and what the ROI is.

Andy Asaro 05-29-2017 01:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ruffian1 (Post 2176887)
When riders are allowed a freedom like the gate stuff , it's only a matter of time before it either gets abused or somebody really gets hurt.

Darrel knows this as well as anybody.

Darrel rode without the luxury of any first step stuff when he was in Maryland. He knows full well about all this.

He's been very disappointing since they put him in charge. Politics rule.

Dahoss9698 05-29-2017 01:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dilanesp (Post 2176892)
cj, there was a 3 horse speed duel. Maybe I am an idiot, but I absolutely expected him to be that far back. The other main closer (think his name was Big John B) was that far back too.

It's not so much being far back as it is getting slammed at the start, no? Doesn't that hurt a horses chances?

dilanesp 05-29-2017 01:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss9698 (Post 2176900)
It's not so much being far back as it is getting slammed at the start, no? Doesn't that hurt a horses chances?

It could. But if the incident puts the horse back where he was going to be anyway, that's a lot less significant trouble than it would be for a front runner being denied position (e.g., Arrogate in Dubai).

(A piece of trivia. 1949 Derby winner Ponder had a bad start every race. He was a deep closer. The chart comments used to say "Ponder, slow to begin as usual...")

Ruffian1 05-29-2017 01:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Andy Asaro (Post 2176899)
He's been very disappointing since they put him in charge. Politics rule.

That's a shame.

He was a great guy back when I knew him.

Great rider too.

He rode and won on the 1st horse I ever saddled.

Laurel.
November 8th, 1975.

Dahoss9698 05-29-2017 01:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dilanesp (Post 2176904)
It could. But if the incident puts the horse back where he was going to be anyway, that's a lot less significant trouble than it would be for a front runner being denied position (e.g., Arrogate in Dubai).

(A piece of trivia. 1949 Derby winner Ponder had a bad start every race. He was a deep closer. The chart comments used to say "Ponder, slow to begin as usual...")

It could? :lol:

Trouble is trouble. If you clobber a horse at the start their chances are hurt. Yes it would hurt a front runner more but it still hurts.

cj 05-29-2017 01:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dilanesp (Post 2176892)
cj, there was a 3 horse speed duel. Maybe I am an idiot, but I absolutely expected him to be that far back. The other main closer (think his name was Big John B) was that far back too.

There is no way he is that far back without the trouble. Hrs been in fast paced races like that before and is generally about 5 lengths back.

dilanesp 05-29-2017 01:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss9698 (Post 2176913)
It could? :lol:

Trouble is trouble. If you clobber a horse at the start their chances are hurt. Yes it would hurt a front runner more but it still hurts.

I will give you an extreme example, but I don't think it would have harmed Vigors or Whirlaway one bit to be clobbered at the start, unless it injured them.

If cj is right that FMC was going to be closer up, then it hurt him. If Kent was going to put him that far back anyway, then it's just a bump at the start, and bumps happen all the time in racing.

cj 05-29-2017 01:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dilanesp (Post 2176946)
I will give you an extreme example, but I don't think it would have harmed Vigors or Whirlaway one bit to be clobbered at the start, unless it injured them.

If cj is right that FMC was going to be closer up, then it hurt him. If Kent was going to put him that far back anyway, then it's just a bump at the start, and bumps happen all the time in racing.


Your analysis Holy Bull's Travers gives me "concern" when I see you discussing closers. 😀

Dahoss9698 05-29-2017 02:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dilanesp (Post 2176946)
I will give you an extreme example, but I don't think it would have harmed Vigors or Whirlaway one bit to be clobbered at the start, unless it injured them.

If cj is right that FMC was going to be closer up, then it hurt him. If Kent was going to put him that far back anyway, then it's just a bump at the start, and bumps happen all the time in racing.

The point is the contact took something out of him. I'm not sure why that seems to be lost on you.

But by all means give me another example from 40 years ago as if it applies to today.

dilanesp 05-29-2017 03:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cj (Post 2176951)
Your analysis Holy Bull's Travers gives me "concern" when I see you discussing closers. 😀

Really? Concern's last fraction sucked in that race, and he got a perfect trip.

I saw Concern at his absolute best, in the 1995 Californian. His closing kick in that race would have blown by Holy Bull.

cj 05-29-2017 03:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dilanesp (Post 2177043)
Really? Concern's last fraction sucked in that race, and he got a perfect trip.

I saw Concern at his absolute best, in the 1995 Californian. His closing kick in that race would have blown by Holy Bull.

I guess you haven't revisited that thread. You said a 27 final quarter would have win it. He ran well below a 26. Final quarter was 26.06 and he gained nearly a full four lengths. Conservatively that puts his last quarter at 25.44

Robert Fischer 05-29-2017 03:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss9698 (Post 2176894)
Can someone with a database run a query on when Baffert runs an uncoupled entry. I'm curious how often the longer priced horse wins and what the ROI is.

curious as well. I second that request.


If it isn't a standalone profit, it's significant enough in contrast with most other trainers' uncoupled entries.

Baffert clearly doesn't object to the longer priced horse winning, and while (trusting the public's opinion of uncoupled entries) may be a generally safe heuristic, Baffert uncoupled entries require you to buck social proof, and do your homework from scratch.



guessing 'why?'
Perhaps part of it may be that Baffert can train a horse into stakes fitness without climbing an obvious class ladder.
Another contributing factor is the public's blind faith in whoever Baffert's latest now horse happens to be.
When a vulnerable 'now' horse, and a horse whom Baffert has basically trained-up to the race (layoff or class hike), meet, it's worth having a very open mind.

Robert Fischer 05-29-2017 04:05 PM

American Freedom is a horse that can make the conspiracy theorists go crazy.
  • Entered into the Pat Day Mile as a highly touted superstar
  • Entered into the Travers as 'Baffert's 'A'
  • Entered into the Alysheba as a 'thriving, improving' Grade 1 horse
  • Entered into the Gold Cup as 'Baffert's 'A'

Puppetmaster Baffert pulling strings

even has a CIA propaganda-quality name for the job. :eek:

Andy Asaro 05-29-2017 05:39 PM

From Mike Marten a few minutes ago.


Here is Darrel McHargue’s response, Andy

I spoke with the stewards at Santa Anita about the start of the 8th race that ran on Saturday regarding the actions of jockey Martin Garcia who rode #1 American Freedom. Mr. Garcia was not invited in to review the recordings of the start. The stewards criteria for calling a jockey in to review a start is: if a rider is negligent or slow to react to straighten his/her mount when it breaks inward or outward then that rider is called in and the incident is reviewed which may result in a sanction. In this instance after reviewing the incident they were of the opinion Mr. Garcia reacted in a timely manner and made a determined effort to straighten his mount, therefore he was not invited in to watch the race with the stewards. This policy is also followed at Golden Gate.



Nice to be with B.B.

cj 05-29-2017 05:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Andy Asaro (Post 2177215)
From Mike Marten a few minutes ago.


Here is Darrel McHargue’s response, Andy

I spoke with the stewards at Santa Anita about the start of the 8th race that ran on Saturday regarding the actions of jockey Martin Garcia who rode #1 American Freedom. Mr. Garcia was not invited in to review the recordings of the start. The stewards criteria for calling a jockey in to review a start is: if a rider is negligent or slow to react to straighten his/her mount when it breaks inward or outward then that rider is called in and the incident is reviewed which may result in a sanction. In this instance after reviewing the incident they were of the opinion Mr. Garcia reacted in a timely manner and made a determined effort to straighten his mount, therefore he was not invited in to watch the race with the stewards. This policy is also followed at Golden Gate.



Nice to be with B.B.

Business as usual, nothing to see here.

Andy Asaro 05-29-2017 05:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cj (Post 2177228)
Business as usual, nothing to see here.

McHargue is really something else. This is about the fifth time he's come up with strange statements like this. Given the history you at least gotta call him in.


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