Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board


Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/index.php)
-   General Handicapping Discussion (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/forumdisplay.php?f=2)
-   -   Lecomte 2021 picks and longshot! (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=162661)

PhatMama469 01-16-2021 04:15 PM

Lecomte 2021 picks and longshot!
 
Hay guys, hay! Here's my picks for the Lecomte!


Thanks for watching and good luck!

Robert Fischer 01-16-2021 07:34 PM

Nice job on the video.

You know your racing.:ThmbUp:


Lecomte:
Looked like the post draw and first turn was very important, with the :1: saving ground, and the :10: burning some energy trying to get forward and wide.

classhandicapper 01-18-2021 10:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Robert Fischer (Post 2694680)
Nice job on the video.

You know your racing.:ThmbUp:


Lecomte:
Looked like the post draw and first turn was very important, with the :1: saving ground, and the :10: burning some energy trying to get forward and wide.

Interesting race. It was more or less a merry-go-round race on a day with some strange fractions in the routes. I wonder if there was any wind.

Robert Fischer 01-18-2021 11:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by classhandicapper (Post 2695076)
Interesting race. It was more or less a merry-go-round race on a day with some strange fractions in the routes. I wonder if there was any wind.

could be. I'm interested in anything you know regarding the wind or dynamics.


I took at face-value. Sometimes these early preps have a couple standouts that lay over the field, and sometimes a few surprises jump up.
The :10: maybe looked a touch stronger than the :1: on paper. With both, seemingly a level above the competition.
- Did have some respect for Jaycee's longshot, as Dallas Stewart's horses have been finishing well in the stretch of late.

:10: ended up with a Tough enough post draw, that they were forced to decide to 'Go!' or 'Stalk', and they didn't want to 'rate' out of the gate and attempt to fit into a stalking position, but they also weren't quite the gate-speed to clear the field so quickly before the turn...
Not sure it made much difference, given the ease of the :1:'s break and control of the rail, effortlessly saving ground AND having the forward position.

Maybe if the :1: comes back as a chalk, in the next stakes, I'll put $2 against him?


Getting to be fun again, with these Derby points races.

classhandicapper 01-18-2021 06:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Robert Fischer (Post 2695096)
I'm interested in anything you know regarding the wind or dynamics.

I don't have any special insights into the wind.

I wasn't surprised Midnight Bourbon went for the lead from the rail, but even with some of the speed scratching I thought there was enough speed to keep it honest. Proxy had some speed. (he stalked). Regular Guy, Red and Wild, and Santa Cruiser had all shown some speed at times but didn't go this time.

Ultimately, I think the top 3 were better than the others, but the pace/flow probably wound up favoring Midnight Bourbon loose on the lead in a moderately slow pace.

Santa Cruiser has some speed. He wound up getting out of the gate about a length slow, then got squeezed a bit, and dropped far back. He was the only one besides the top 3 running late. If he gets out better next next, gets better position, and has a little more pace to run at, I'd expect him improve quite a bit. Though he may need a little softer than these to win.


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 10:05 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2021, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2021 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
preferred pick 5 type
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 10:05 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2021, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2021 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.