election fact
 

this is a 100% stat. when the S+P 500 goes up 3 months before the election, the incumbent wins all the time. if it goes down, he loses 84% of the time.

right now the stock markets are flying, but this might be a completely different story come August.

the election line right now remains a basic pickem

There is always a first time some statistic like this doesn't happen. This could be that year.

You mean like bellwether districts that historically picked the winner... then came Joe Briben's voter fraud organization and history went to the wayside.