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-   -   Bridge Jumping (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=144208)

arw629 04-12-2018 12:18 AM

Bridge Jumping
 
I’m thinking about getting into bridge jumping. Well...mini bridge jumping $500 or $1000 at a time. Does anyone on the board do it? Anyone attempt it?

thaskalos 04-12-2018 01:48 AM

Do you know any bridge-jumpers who have prospered in their craft?

sour grapes 04-12-2018 08:19 AM

anti bridgejumping is the way to go
 
why risk 1k to make 50 bucks,you are better trying to find a vulnerable heavy favorite and placing a couple of show bets on other horses and trying to catch 50 buck show price for 2 bucks.to each their own but i never thought risking 10k to make 500 was the way to riches.

jay68802 04-12-2018 12:06 PM

$500.00 show bet. Each wining bet makes $50.00. Do that 10 times and you have doubled your money. 1 $500.00 win bet on a horse that pays $4.00, same thing, you have doubled your money. Which is easier, being right 1 time in a row, or 10 times in a row?

Hobbes 04-12-2018 12:49 PM

I've looked into it, but don't have enough historical data yet on North American Pools to validate that it works in the long run. Sometimes the bridge jumpers commit to a bet very early, but more often you see wagers flooding in at the last minute, which makes piggybacking on that information difficult to execute.

If you are familiar with python I have some scripts for automating minus pool alerts here: https://github.com/pschubert24/minus_pool_alert

Scripts are kind of a work in progress. I haven't gotten around to fixing some issues with them.

Clocker 04-12-2018 12:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jay68802 (Post 2301756)
$500.00 show bet. Each wining bet makes $50.00.

$25.00 at a track with nickel breakage. I don't know how many tracks use nickel vs. dime. I do know many ADWs will not allow such bets without a similar win bet at the same time. I know mine doesn't allow it. What are the expenses in getting to a track to win that $25.00 or $50.00?

RunForTheRoses 04-12-2018 02:30 PM

When i worked as a teller years ago there was a guy who built up a pretty good stake. He came up to me with a bag of money in the wrappers telling me dont break the wrappers ill be back after the race. He did win that time on good socal sprinter Kona Gold. He later lost a bundle when Gentleman ran out in a small field.

Good luck, let us know how it goes.

acorn54 04-12-2018 02:41 PM

i strongly suggest seeking counseling and a visit to gambler's anonymous, with an open mind, before striking out on such an endeavor.

johnhenry81 04-12-2018 02:52 PM

Don't do it. Why? Because you'll lose.
If you just like playing horses, be a $5 bettor, and put your $1000 into a utility stock.

jh

pandy 04-12-2018 03:05 PM

Bridge jumping is the worst way to bet chalk. If you want to cash tickets, and still have a fighting chance of not losing, you'd be better off trying to find two or three solid favorites and betting a two-horse place parlay, or a three-horse show parlay.

Dave Schwartz 04-12-2018 03:05 PM

Be aware that ADWs take a lot of heat from tracks when there are giant show bets into "minus" pools.

Unless things have changed your ADW eventually will warn you or just fire you as a customer.

green80 04-12-2018 08:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Clocker (Post 2301770)
$25.00 at a track with nickel breakage. I don't know how many tracks use nickel vs. dime. I do know many ADWs will not allow such bets without a similar win bet at the same time. I know mine doesn't allow it. What are the expenses in getting to a track to win that $25.00 or $50.00?

The only time I have seen when the ADW's didn't like big show bets is when they were bet into a negative pool. Most other times they welcome all the show bets that they can get.

green80 04-12-2018 08:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dave Schwartz (Post 2301825)
Be aware that ADWs take a lot of heat from tracks when there are giant show bets into "minus" pools.

Unless things have changed your ADW eventually will warn you or just fire you as a customer.

What if you are betting on another horse? (not the one that causes the minus pool)

jay68802 04-12-2018 08:51 PM

A friend of mine put in a conditional wager at 8/5 for $500.00 to WPS on a race at the Fairgrounds. He placed the wager at 8:00 am before he flew to Dallas for a meeting. The next day when he got to the track, he was looking to see if his wager had gone through, and if it did, had it won. The wager went through, the horse won. But in the last dump, some very large wagers had come in and the horse ended up being 1/2. The large wagers had created a minus show pool. He had a e-mail threatening to close his account for betting into a minus pool. He got a little steamed about that e-mail.

Mdnspecialist 04-12-2018 09:48 PM

Bet against bridge jumpers. A majority of bridge jumping races are six horse fields. If you bet the other five horses to show. Your risking less than six bucks to possibly win 40-80 dollars. Some bridge jumping races do have mini jumpers. Only 70% of the pool is bet on one horse. Those can be bet against also. Why risk 1000 bucks to profit 50 bucks? You'd have to win 20 straight to cover one loss. That's no way to win in the long run. Bet small against to win larger amounts.


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