classhandicapper |
01-18-2017 08:10 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Secondbest
Many years ago when talking about NY vs Cal racing Laz Barrera said the best horses go where the money is.
To me that means higher purses = better horses.
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Right, that's the theory, but it gets called into question when you include costs that vary from track to track.
Let's say I have a horse that can run competitively in races at track A with a purse of 50K and it will cost me $90 a day to train there.
Let's say another option is running at track B where I can run competitively in races with a purse of only 35k.
The purses say I am better off running at track A. But if the training costs at track B are only $45 a day, I can actually net more money at track B under some circumstances because I'm saving a lot on costs.
If enough people realize there is potentially more money to be made at track B than track A despite the lower purse, the better horses may actually be running at track B.
I have no solution to that problem. So sometimes I use purse as a rough guideline..
The best solution is probably to monitor all the shippers into the track you play. After awhile, you'll accumulate enough of them to get a good feel for how the other tracks fit with the ones you play. That's a lot of work unless you have a database.
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