8/26 R7 at Saratoga
 

Fans of 'puzzle' races might get some fun out of this one. 5.5 F stakes sprint on the grass, big field (before scratches), and conflicting stat readouts.
Could be a doozy! Check it out. Lots of different ways you could go in this one.

:8: Maven beat the :9: Jack and Noah in their last. Can throw that race because the :9: was a step slow out of the gate and rushed to the lead. The race before the :9: got the best of the :8:.

The top two will be tough to run down. But there is a chance of a duel and getting a good price with the :6: Island Commish or the :2: Flap Jack. Prefer the :6: since the :2: only has one quality win.

The :8: ran at Keeneland last out not against the :9: :8: looks freakishly fast and talented but they are going to go fast early. Interesting race. I like :8: but price will probably be too short, one of the inside closers would probably be my value play, :2: or :6: or 1.

Too bad this type of thread isn't posted in the Selection forum.:bang:

And the Results are: Post #4

http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/s...20#post2646320

The 9 was freakishly fast the 8 was freakishly mediocre. When do Saratoga and Del Mar end?

To echo Jay's point, I think this race was over as soon as the :9: busted out of the gate rather than doing so a step slow and having to work extra hard to get to the lead like he did in last race.

Both tracks end their meet on Monday September 7.

I found the scratches (7,10,11) to be troubling. Ruined some potential super plays I had lined out.
In the end I settled on a top 4 of 8,9.3.5 as my top 4. Also had the 6 in fourth with the 5. Played a 3H EXB [8,9,3] which produced an ex payout of 111.50. I had tossed the 1, which was the prime power top choice, in favor of the 5. The 5 looked great into stretch, but, like the 2, faded out of the money late. Anyway, the 1 horse ended my luck. Because it was such a high pressure race I worried the eight might fade just like his numbers said he would. He did. Trouble is I selected the 2 (Sisterson entry) as my race shape hedge win play at 12-1. RESULT:9/3/1/6.
I was disappointed with the overall result, but the nice ex helped me get over it.