Thanks...I try to look at these races as a bettor, not as a cheerleader. Of course Carpe Diem can win, but he isn't one of my favorites.

Cj and Elsie have been on hand for Arkansas Derby weekend along with 67,000 others. And, with some fine photos added. ;) In advance of this week's TFUS review and blog...American Pharoah's performance is in the books.

G1 Arkansas Derby, TImeformUS Pace/Speed Figures:

American Pharoah 113, Far Right 101, Mr. Z 104

1/2 136
3/4 120
Fin 111

All in.

https://timeformus.files.wordpress.c...8-57-59-am.png

From TimeformUS twitter page.

Exclusively @TVG's blog:

https://www.tvg.com/blog/2015/04/14/...ek-april-12th/ …

Cj @TimeformUSfigs reviews the weekend's Speed Figures (and notes), including 2 top class wins @Oaklawn_Park.

12:25 ET today with Paul Lo Duca and Britney Eurton.

Some tech issues at TVG currently, on hold for now.

Last week's TFUS figures report.

https://www.tvg.com/blog/2015/04/22/...ek-april-19th/

No article this week, nothing above a G3 was run, but I'll be on talking Oaks and Derby.

britney eurton
 

is she as charming as she appears....a plus for tvg.

She's always been very nice to me.

Appearing around 12:10 ET or so with Paul and Britney to discuss the Oaks. We'll touch on the Derby a little, but I'll do another spot on Friday or Saturday after the draw.

I'll be doing a Derby spot sometime after 11:30 ET / 8:30 PT tomorrow on TVG, during that hour. I'll post more as I know more. Please tune in if you get a chance!

I agree with your probable winner, but if Dortmund misses the start and gets stuck in the middle he doesn't look as good to me. If he doesn't clear to the lead, but does get a decent position 3 or more wide in the turn, he should be ok.

AP just doesn't impress me, on numbers (velocities), so if he is going to go out early he'll have to show me better velocities than he has thus far, and if he does, that may not bode well for him later. Firing Line may be the best bet of the top contenders, as he will be outside early and out of the kickback possibly, which appears to me to be quite excessive, from watching the undercard so far. Bayern got a bad start in the 9th, was stuck in the middle of all that stuff, and did not like it a bit. Maybe he was just rusty and not in top form but that kickback looked really bad to me.

Weekly article, stuck to the Oaks in Derby this week with more detail than usual. I'll be on at some point today I think, probably just after noon.

https://www.tvg.com/blog/2015/05/06/...speed-figures/

Curious what people think about my Derby pace analysis, not a popular one from what I've seen post race. The gist of my take---why do we expect the leaders in the Derby to set unrealistic fractions?