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-   -   Top Horse Analytics: 06/18/2022 Free Pick of Day - MTH (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=171051)

Augenj 06-18-2022 06:18 AM

Top Horse Analytics: 06/18/2022 Free Pick of Day - MTH
 
1 Attachment(s)
Image of today's Equibase/THA free race pick (avoiding morning line favorites)

Augenj 06-18-2022 05:16 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Image of today's Equibase/THA free race pick chart (results)

geroge.burns99 06-19-2022 07:37 AM

thx for putting this up....

a question....

this is just a confirmation that the ML Fav is bad and does not give you the winner

correct?

Augenj 06-19-2022 07:59 AM

Actually I'm only posting races that over time have some value to them if they win. If the top THA pick is a morning line favorite in a certain race, it stands a better chance of winning than other morning line favorites in other races but the profit is minimal at best.

geroge.burns99 06-19-2022 08:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Augenj (Post 2812188)
Actually I'm only posting races that over time have some value to them if they win. If the top THA pick is a morning line favorite in a certain race, it stands a better chance of winning than other morning line favorites in other races but the profit is minimal at best.

thxs

btw...saw your website and the positive roi's ...nice

Augenj 06-19-2022 08:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by geroge.burns99 (Post 2812189)
thxs

btw...saw your website and the positive roi's ...nice

Thanks. The stats are a little deceptive because the calculation parameters are optimized every week since I've discovered over several years that keeping the data bases current produce better results. Every week, I programmatically add the current week to the (yearly) data base and drop off the oldest week. That explains the fluctuations from week to week.


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