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- - Same dr/tr on heavy faves. (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=150581)

Ray2000

02-19-2019 05:52 AM

Same dr/tr on heavy faves.

Interesting article by Dean in HRU on "Didn't Try"

https://harnessracingupdate.com/2019/02/17/harness-racings-no-try-races-need-a-dose-of-transparency/

Made me look at odds-on favorites in races last year with same driver/trainer

Code:

races    wins    win%    dr name

6    0    0%    Husted, Kyle

7    1    14%    Sanzeri, Joseph

6    1    17%    Plano, Luke

7    2    29%    Cummings, Kevin

7    2    29%    Derue, Jordan

7    2    29%    Henriksen, Dagfin E

10   3    30%    Fluet, Phil

10   3    30%    De Simone, John Jr

6    2    33%    Huckabone, Claude III

6    2    33%    Lachance, Pat

8    3    38%    De Long, John

10   4    40%    Pouliot, Stephane

12   5    42%    Lappe, Jennifer

9    4    44%    Whittemore, Jimmy

9    4    44%    Noble, Dan

9    4    44%    Stafford, Art Jr

11   5    45%    Hardy, James

just saying......

DeanT

02-26-2019 12:52 PM

That looks like about 33% win percentage Ray?

What's standard W% for odds on? I think all chalk is about 40% overall, right?

Ray2000

02-26-2019 02:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DeanT (Post 2435316)

That looks like about 33% win percentage Ray?

What's standard W% for odds on? I think all chalk is about 40% overall, right?

Yep, this is what I have

Odds-on horses last 365 days, Even money or less on tote

Starters . . . .17414
Winners . . . . .9573
Win% . . . . . . 55.0%
ROI . . . . . . . 0.87

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