BridgeJumper Special
 

BM
Race 7
#2 Nosey Britches

NB just lost to favored AWESOME 'NCOOL on March 9th while finishing 10 L ahead of the 3rd place finisher. Sherman hits 38% to win with these types. Since Nosey Britches is going to be 1/9 in the win pool, might as well shoot the moon to show.

B :)

First-time-starter LINDSEY'S WISH in the 11th at OP is getting serious action with 5 minutes to post. It now stands at 6/5.

Favored first time starters are often overlays to place and show.

B :)

Nice prices across the board on LINDSEY'S WISH.


5.20 3.00 2.80

B :)

Did you see that 3/5 firster in the 4th at Bay Meadows? The chart comments are a riot (as long as you didn't have serious money on her): "High Prices hesitated and broke slow and was beginning to close the gap when she became as green as the grass in Ireland, broke stride and almost propped, then continued to break stride to the turn, and was always far back. The stewards conducted an inquiry into the actions of High Prices but determined that she caused her own problems"

I've never seen a comment like that. At first I thought you were joking, but there it was in black and white, word for word just as you have quoted. :lol:

I sorry I missed it.

Alert Mnr r5 40k to show on the 3.

I don't know...I get a funny feeling. I'm sitting it out.

Wise move, (he won) I made show bets on the others cause you never know!

3.00 2.20 2.20.

What's the deal with the show payoff? Does MNR pay a minimum of 2.20 instead of the traditional 2.10 on negative pools?

You got me, I was hoping he was off the board!

I recall someone pointing that out in the aftermath of the Nicole's Dream fiasco, so yeah, I guess that's still the case...

A minimum of 10% return is huge for a negative pool. It's no wonder that 50k got bet into this race. Essentially, then, MNR is guaranteeing a 100% premium over the tradional 5% return on negative pools. That is one bet I'm more than willing to take.

However you must be correct 91 times out of 100 to make it work with a 10% return, which beats the heck out of having to be right 96 times out of 100 for a 5% return.

A 91%+ hit rate for show is certainly within reason for any handicapper who is selective. Count me it at MNR for 10% to show.

For some reason, the words "The Bill Olmsted Bridgejumper Challenge!" just popped into my head... :D

Sounds gooooood!B :jump: