Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board


Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/index.php)
-   General Handicapping Discussion (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/forumdisplay.php?f=2)
-   -   Attacking Turfway. (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=179720)

teddy 11-29-2023 02:10 PM

Attacking Turfway.
 
I was interested in everybody's thoughts about how to bet on a track with 12 horse fields in every race. More than likely to pick fives will carry every other night. So plan one is to wait till they have a pick 5 carryover. But if you're biting at 12 horse field of races for the horses form can change dramatically. Is this a good exact event maybe or is it a good pick 3 bet and you throw the chalk out in the first leg automatically. I also thought maybe I would make an online for every horse in the race and then look to see who is extremely overlaid. Then start my exactus from there because it's just so unpickable that race track. Anybody have any ideals. Playing with a larger bankroll there should be a way to play this to take advantage of the small bankroll players. You want to have the combinations that they can't get to because of the field size. I'm thinking maybe also the 10 cent super with the long shots in the first leg. The last meat so often the one position would win races at 20 to 1. So I'm just going to automatically use those now

woodbinepmi 11-29-2023 02:46 PM

Loved playing Turfway back in the 90's but have not looked at it since the installation of the synthetic course.

lefty359 11-29-2023 05:06 PM

Just looking to get some good prices on win bets.

PalaceOfFortLarned 11-29-2023 05:55 PM

Tough track to beat from a payout perspective on just about any type of wager.

https://www.horseracingnation.com/ne...or_Payouts_123

Obviously with higher payouts, more horses running, and solid pools for a supposed 'B' track, it is difficult to cash a lot of tickets.

I'll play W/P and EX on a good number of races, and some P3s. Have some close friends that we'll pool together on P4s and P5s. P5s are obviously tough to hit.

With that said, I could see some going in with a good bankroll and taking their swings at P4s/P5s and not playing much else.

Did very well last year, as Turfway fits well with my capping style of mid-to-high prices and beneficial to closers if not even deep deep closers. (At least last year it was that way.:jump:)

jay68802 11-29-2023 06:17 PM

Outside closer won the first, not a surprise at this track. Take a shot in the 2nd with a Double: :1::2::7::11::12: / :9:.

PalaceOfFortLarned 11-29-2023 08:25 PM


Robert Fischer 11-29-2023 08:40 PM

going to try to participate w/ you guys on this

fast4522 11-29-2023 09:48 PM

First you have to identify if a late bias is in play like tonight. Like it or not you have to adjust what runners are better suited for the bias then the connections. You do this very early and you have a shot at the 4 non maiden races like tonight.

Nitro 11-29-2023 09:59 PM

– Turfway Pk Tote Analysis – Wed 11/29

Race #9– 7-8 w/ 10-4-1 @ 3 mins to post

Nitro 11-29-2023 10:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2915675)
– Turfway Pk Tote Analysis – Wed 11/29

Race #9– 7-8 w/ 10-4-1 @ 3 mins to post

Results:

Race #9 = 4-8-10-1-2 = EX – TRI & SUPER BX / All of that one!

Code:


POS        #        Horse                      Win        Place        Show
1st:        4        Egyptian Candy        $6.74        $3.42        $2.46
2nd:        8        C'est Cheese                      $4.86        $3.34
3rd:        10        Sierra Sky                              $2.60
4th:        1        Its Satisfactual                       
5th:        2        Golden Storm                       
•        $2.00 EXACTA 4-8 $43.68
•        $2.00 TRIFECTA 4-8-10 $105.68
•        $2.00 SUPERFECTA 4-8-10-1 $472.00
 


Robert Fischer 11-29-2023 11:10 PM

race 8 was that big money

I can't give you those.

/

$1.00 EXACTA 12-8 $530.14
$0.50 TRIFECTA 12-8-1 $34,066.89
$0.10 SUPERFECTA 12-8-1-4 $13,274.49

.

PhantomOnTour 11-30-2023 08:09 AM

How do you attack Turfway ?
 
You don't attack Turfway...
Turfway attacks you

Profesor 11-30-2023 02:02 PM

You got a better chance to hit the lottery,Turfway like all synthetic tracks is like playing the lottery but w/ smaller payouts

Robert Fischer 11-30-2023 05:19 PM

5:55 shortly before six we're back in that Turfway mix tonight
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Profesor (Post 2915736)
You got a better chance to hit the lottery,!!!Turfway like all synthetic tracks is like playing the lottery but w/ smaller payout!!!s

i'm taken back

just don't know how to react


;)




https://media0.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2...9Gmi/giphy.gif

I TAKE THAT AS A PERSONAL CHALLENGE BROTHER!!:headbanger::headbanger::headbanger:

Nitro 11-30-2023 05:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PhantomOnTour (Post 2915703)
You don't attack Turfway...
Turfway attacks you

That would depend on how you play (attack) the game.

I can see your point from a standard handicapping perspective.
Fortunately when using a tote analysis it can very often weed out the uncertainty when there's chaotic betting which indicates that a race may be wide open. This also leads one to potentially avoid playing this type race altogether.

On the other hand, it will also demonstrate when the wagering from ALL the available betting pools being observed indicate that certain entries are receiving positively biased amounts of money during the various betting cycles. They automatically become the entries of interest. Recognizing how these specific betting patterns can affect the outcome of a race leads to the ability of properly structuring a potential bet from the entries of interest.
.
.


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 03:02 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Which horse do you like most
Dornoch - 67.74%
42 Votes
Track Phantom - 32.26%
20 Votes
Total Votes: 62
This poll is closed.
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 03:02 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.