Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board


Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/index.php)
-   **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/forumdisplay.php?f=22)
-   -   Fountain of Youth Stakes (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=163381)

Robert Fischer 02-27-2021 06:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by classhandicapper (Post 2704316)
When he wasn't making up ground at the point the rider would typically be asking and then a horse ran right by him, I thought he was coming up empty. But once he got outside and actually asked that horse was motoring. I'm not sure how good that field was, but he was good.

between the signs/signals you mention, and the tough post, and the dream trip of the :1: up to that point, ... - I thought he was getting beaten today.

Looked like a different animal than these once they hit the stretch. I think we knew that coming in (based on Greatest Honours previous races and Holy Bull), but it's not easy to beat a loose&inside speed going 8.5 @ GP.

taxicab 02-27-2021 07:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by classhandicapper (Post 2704316)
When he wasn't making up ground at the point the rider would typically be asking and then a horse ran right by him, I thought he was coming up empty. But once he got outside and actually asked that horse was motoring. I'm not sure how good that field was, but he was good.

Therein lies the key to this horse.....

classhandicapper 02-28-2021 11:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by taxicab (Post 2704325)
Therein lies the key to this horse.....

It's hard to tell on TV, but he looked like a long sleek horse to me yesterday. Some horses prefer running outside, but the wider you go the less sharp the turn too. Maybe he's the type that will love Belmont.

PhantomOnTour 02-28-2021 11:50 AM

Beyer came back a weak 89.
My figs have the race under par as well, but it was the only two turn dirt race on the card.
Also, two races at 1m on dirt were hand timed (one of them being the Gr2 Davona Dale) with no fractional splits...so who really knows what the actual time of this race was ???

GP timing is still a joke

dilanesp 02-28-2021 12:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PhantomOnTour (Post 2704431)
Beyer came back a weak 89.
My figs have the race under par as well, but it was the only two turn dirt race on the card.
Also, two races at 1m on dirt were hand timed (one of them being the Gr2 Davona Dale) with no fractional splits...so who really knows what the actual time of this race was ???

GP timing is still a joke

I really don't care about the speed figure, given how visually impressive this was.

Robert Fischer 02-28-2021 12:14 PM

11:30 on the video
Randy actually gives out the big 50/1 Winner :1: Wholebodemeister??

WTF!?

Great call. :jump:
Wish I had played that.

(Paraphrase) "I want to try to beat Vequist. I start with one of the horses ":1: Wholebodemeister I'm taking a little bit of a flyer with the :1:... I think he's going to forwardly placed and might get the distance... troubled starts etc... Zayas stays on... "

Great Call. Wow! Totally dismissed that horse, but was the key to (the mint in r12!) and a 50cent Pick-4 sequence that paid $782 on a ticket where most people singled the Fountain of Youth Winner :8: Greatest Honour.


Quote:

Originally Posted by thetripleclowns (Post 2704101)
It's a big day Gulfstream Park and we are here to give you our picks for the late pick 4. Check out our latest episode out now on YouTube, iTunes, and Spotify.

https://youtu.be/eP6p6L4IX2o


classhandicapper 02-28-2021 12:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dilanesp (Post 2704435)
I really don't care about the speed figure, given how visually impressive this was.

Yeah, imo this was one of the situations where when he crossed the finish line he was still loaded with energy. It's not so much that he could have run faster if he wasn't eased in the last few strides. It's that if he had gotten going sooner he probably still would have finished just as well and run a faster final time. IMO, there's a little more in the tank than an 89.

mountainman 02-28-2021 01:10 PM

Went in ultra-respectful of a chalk who not only appeared far superior, but who figured to benefit from the flow. With a Maclean's Music in front and most of the field sporting speed-oriented pp's, why would you even want that winner anywhere near the early pace?

I do confess to considerable (and apparently misplaced) interest in the 7 horse given the near certainty of more patient tactics.

Secondbest 02-28-2021 01:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PhantomOnTour (Post 2704431)
Beyer came back a weak 89.
My figs have the race under par as well, but it was the only two turn dirt race on the card.
Also, two races at 1m on dirt were hand timed (one of them being the Gr2 Davona Dale) with no fractional splits...so who really knows what the actual time of this race was ???

GP timing is still a joke

Do you know what Essential Quality got

PhantomOnTour 02-28-2021 01:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Secondbest (Post 2704453)
Do you know what Essential Quality got

He got a 96 Beyer

Spalding No! 02-28-2021 03:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mountainman (Post 2704447)
Went in ultra-respectful of a chalk who not only appeared far superior, but who figured to benefit from the flow. With a Maclean's Music in front and most of the field sporting speed-oriented pp's, why would you even want that winner anywhere near the early pace?

Despite the high marks visually, enthusiasm should be tempered not only by low BSF (although for this crop it seems decent for the time being) but also, as you suggested, by the fact that his main rival was stretch out sprinter. In that respect, perhaps Greatest Honour was able to gear down late simply because the rest of the field toiled late.

He clearly has superior stamina (not shocking given his pedigree) but again to temper the visual impression he gave in the last 100 yards, the horse was toiling as they entered the far turn, despite being under heavy pressure. The Sano horse went by him like he was standing still. Perhaps he's a colt that isn't agile enough on the turns and/or needs to be outside, but that isn't going to help matters at Churchill (or Pimlico for that matter). That said, he didn't seem to have trouble moving on the turn in the Holy Bull.

The other two contenders in the FOY were turf horses biding their time until the big money grass races this summer. Prime Factor probably has talent based on his debut, but he has labored in his 2 subsequent starts; I wouldn't be surprised to see him a victim of the Black Hole of Winstar after this race. With the 2 Godolphin colts (Prevalence and the indecipherably named horse of Pletcher's that bucked his shins after winning the Mucho Macho Man) on the shelf, the group in Florida is somewhat suspect. I guess the Tampa-based ones still deserve consideration along with Known Agenda (who beat Greatest Honour previously).

Tom 02-28-2021 03:58 PM

Two races were hand timed? :rolleyes:

Welcome to 2021.....

mountainman 02-28-2021 05:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Spalding No! (Post 2704486)
Despite the high marks visually, enthusiasm should be tempered not only by low BSF (although for this crop it seems decent for the time being) but also, as you suggested, by the fact that his main rival was stretch out sprinter. In that respect, perhaps Greatest Honour was able to gear down late simply because the rest of the field toiled late.

He clearly has superior stamina (not shocking given his pedigree) but again to temper the visual impression he gave in the last 100 yards, the horse was toiling as they entered the far turn, despite being under heavy pressure. The Sano horse went by him like he was standing still. Perhaps he's a colt that isn't agile enough on the turns and/or needs to be outside, but that isn't going to help matters at Churchill (or Pimlico for that matter). That said, he didn't seem to have trouble moving on the turn in the Holy Bull.

The other two contenders in the FOY were turf horses biding their time until the big money grass races this summer. Prime Factor probably has talent based on his debut, but he has labored in his 2 subsequent starts; I wouldn't be surprised to see him a victim of the Black Hole of Winstar after this race. With the 2 Godolphin colts (Prevalence and the indecipherably named horse of Pletcher's that bucked his shins after winning the Mucho Macho Man) on the shelf, the group in Florida is somewhat suspect. I guess the Tampa-based ones still deserve consideration along with Known Agenda (who beat Greatest Honour previously).

I'm not super-high on the winner. At least not yet. And scoring geared -down means very little to me.


Did you notice, btw, an odd structuring of the second wgt allowance?

Spalding No! 02-28-2021 06:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mountainman (Post 2704525)
Did you notice, btw, an odd structuring of the second wgt allowance?

No; looks like they consolidated the conditions from previous renewals and added an incentive for state-breds; what was the significance?

big frank 02-28-2021 07:10 PM

I didn't understand all the hype post race on Greatest Honour...........he was floundering on the turn -But the horses on the lead were sprinters who stopped .... That's why he got back in the race--- it looked great visually because he went by easily --But he wasn't moving that fast because the race was simply falling apart......I knew the number would come back slow......I love Shug and respect him-----But i will be betting against in his next race at short price !


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:37 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:37 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.