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-   -   2019-2020 HONG KONG (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=154102)

Nitro 06-14-2020 06:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2618470)
R#10-1200M C3 (6F)D…..…5-1-4 W/ 8-10-12….@3mins to Post

2-8-5-1– Dutch LOSS 42% Profit Margin - PASSED / Some very late action on the LS Winner #2

Nitro 06-14-2020 06:43 AM

R#11-1400M C2 (7F)T…..…4-11-7 W/ 8-2-3….@3mins to Post

Nitro 06-14-2020 06:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2618473)
R#11-1400M C2 (7F)T…..…4-11-7 W/ 8-2-3….@3mins to Post

9-4-11-8– Dutch 32% Profit Margin - PASSED / No action on the LS Winner #9


All in all it turned out to be a very good race card with some nice results. The Dutch Win bets produced a Profit of 53% with the result of hitting 3 of 4 races.
There were quite a few decent Verticals with nice value:
Hitting 6 Quinellas, 5 Triples (and even 3 Quartets)

Nitro 06-21-2020 01:01 AM

HONG KONG - SHA TIN SUN - 6/21/20
 
Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
I’m won’t be posting my pre-race selections for this very competitive race card that looks to offer some decent value. There are 11 races at Sha Tin with all 11 races on Turf.

Post Time Race #1 – 12:30 AM SUN EST

I’ve taken a look at the M/L’s in combination with the early odds and used a unique static tote analysis to come up with my preliminary picks for each race. However, I’ll be only posting live selections this morning because the Live tote analysis will certainly shed more light on these entries and any others I might have missed.

The latest tote action (by 4 mins. to post) may reveal some things that cause final substitutions among the Top 3 picks from the Bottom 3 picks. However, the overall picks generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores. A few of the races this morning look wide open!

BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I can’t make a Dutch Win bet I’ll generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.

For those of you that have the resources to bet more than $2 per race you might want to consider the following in terms of betting:
1) Win Dutching 3 entries means betting each of the 3 entries so that no matter which one wins the return is the same. (Wait until 4 mins to post for final odds calculations).
2) For Quinellas there are many options:
a) Using all 3 of the top Keys with all the others = 12 bets
b) Boxing all 6 selections = 15 bets
3) Triples there also many options:
a) Using any Key in the top position w/All others = 20 bets
b) Using all 3 Keys in the top position w/All others = 60 bets
c) Using Top 4 selections in the top position w/All others = 80 bets
d) Boxing all 6 selections = 120 bets
(Warning: The odds of the selected entries @ 7 mins to post should determine playability by comparing the combined value of each group of 3 that may complete the triple with the amount to be bet).

Good Luck if you’re playing!
.
.

Nitro 06-21-2020 01:27 AM

R#1-1000M C5 (5F)T….…9-3-1 W/ 6-12-11 ……@3mins to Post

Nitro 06-21-2020 01:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2621580)
R#1-1000M C5 (5F)T….…9-3-1 W/ 6-12-11 ……@3mins to Post

1-11-8-14– Dutch WIN 97% Profit Margin – PLAYED/ $57.30 Quinella w/Value/ Winner & #8 took a lot of late action

Nitro 06-21-2020 01:58 AM

R#2-1200M C4 (6F)T…….5-1-3 W/ 3-14-9 ……@3mins to Post

Nitro 06-21-2020 02:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2621588)
R#2-1200M C4 (6F)T…….5-1-3 W/ 3-14-9 ……@3mins to Post

3-13-7-6– Dutch WIN 51% Profit Margin – PLAYED/

Nitro 06-21-2020 02:21 AM

R#3–1400M GR3 (7F)T…….1-2 W/ 5-3…..@10 mins to Post

Nitro 06-21-2020 02:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2621592)
R#3–1400M GR3 (7F)T…….1-2 W/ 5-3…..@10 mins to Post

3-5-2-1– Dutch WIN 3% Profit Margin – PASSED/ $9.00 Quinella & $58.60 Triple BX

Nitro 06-21-2020 02:57 AM

R#4- 1200M C4 (6F)T……5-8-1 W/ 9-4-3 …@3mins to Post

Nitro 06-21-2020 03:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2621595)
R#4- 1200M C4 (6F)T……5-8-1 W/ 9-4-3 …@3mins to Post

3-5-7-8– Dutch LOSS 40% Profit Margin – PASSED / $21.00 Quinella/ Winner took a lot of very late action

Nitro 06-21-2020 03:27 AM

R#5- 1200M C4 (6F)T….….2-3-8 W/ 1-6-14 .…@3mins to Post

Nitro 06-21-2020 03:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2621599)
R#5- 1200M C4 (6F)T….….2-3-8 W/ 1-6-14 .…@3mins to Post

1-3-2-14– Dutch LOSS 44% Profit Margin - PASSED / $13.90 Quinella & $57.40 Triple BX ($397.20 Quartet Bx)

Nitro 06-21-2020 03:58 AM

R#6- 2000M C4 (10F)T…...2-6-10 W/ 12-1-4……@3mins to Post


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