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Nitro 09-01-2019 05:50 AM


Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2513226)
UPDATE: R#8- 1400M C2 (7F)T….… 5-2-11 W/ 4-1-9…...4:35 AM

10-2-8-9– Dutch Loss 57% Profit Margin / No action on the LS Winner

Nitro 09-01-2019 06:12 AM

UPDATE: R#9- 1000M C3 (5F)T..… 7-3-9 W/ 1-10-8 …....5:10 AM

Nitro 09-01-2019 06:26 AM


Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2513229)
UPDATE: R#9- 1000M C3 (5F)T..… 7-3-9 W/ 1-10-8 …....5:10 AM

1-8-4-3– Dutch Loss 9% Profit Margin-Passed / $95.50 Quinella Box

Nitro 09-01-2019 06:46 AM

UPDATE: R#10- 1400M C3 (7F)T... 7-9-4 W/ 1-8-5 ….5:45 AM

Nitro 09-01-2019 07:07 AM


Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2513231)
UPDATE: R#10- 1400M C3 (7F)T... 7-9-4 W/ 1-8-5 ….5:45 AM

5-7-1-10– Dutch Loss 132% Profit Margin / $32.90 Quinella & $538.00 Triple Box

It turned out to be a half way decent opening day card. The limited number of playable Dutch Win bets produced a O.A. profit of 21% hitting 2 of only 4 playable races. There were quite a few Verticals hit with some fair value including 7 Quinellas & 3 Triples.

bob60566 09-02-2019 07:14 PM


Thanks for sharing this information, Much appreciated.


woodbinepmi 09-03-2019 12:05 AM

Hong Kong Racing Recap
Date: September 1, 2019
Track: Sha Tin
Bias: None

Horses to watch for list:
Race 7 Mr Croissant (74) After racing a very nice second after travelling wide in his last back in June. Today he picked up the services of last year's leading rider Zac Purton and received a much better draw in a much smaller field and was bet down as the 4-5 favourite. Raced mid-field two wide in the turn while the pace setters set a fast pace in the turn, at the top of the stretch he moved out to the four path and moved to the front at the 150 metre mark but couldn't hold off the late challenge by the Sha Tin specialist Golden Sixty. Beat the third place runner New Asia Sunrise by a length and a quarter, he should improve off that effort after the extended rest.

Race 8 Fast Most Furious (96) Was all out in his last to get up after breaking from the 13 post going 7 furlongs all the while getting the aid of a closing track that day. Was a little washed up heading into the gate here, he settled in mid-pack two wide on the backside, moved out to the five path entering the stretch and dug down trying to catch the light weight winner Gold Chest who had a perfect trip in the early going. He picked up 2 handicapping points which will allow him one more run at Class 2.

Race 9 Gentle Breeze (62) He won his previous race by 2 at his preferred track downtown in Class 4, and was making the mandatory jump up into Class 3 where he hadn't shown much previously. At the break he was caught a little off guard and was slammed by Beauty Charisma after he took a right turn immediately out of the gate costing Gentle Breeze at least 2 lengths to the field. He raced in the rear of the field and was never going to be able to make up the ground he lost at the start but with 200 metres to go he switched to his proper lead and Chadwick asked him for a run and he took off, making up 4 lengths on the leaders and galloped out strongly passed the wire. Hopefully he'll be back at Happy Valley for his next out.

Race 10 Regency Bo Bo (79) Found Class 2 and the dirt not to his liking just before the summer break, now back to Class 3 where he's found it a little more comfortable. He drew the 10 post in a field of 14, at the break he was caught with his head slightly up when the hood was removed then came out into Party Together costing him a couple lengths to the field forcing him to race a lot further back than where he prefers to be. After he was unable to find any room near the rail Mo was forced to head into the turn three wide without any cover, in the turn he made a very nice move picking up 5 lengths on the leaders in a pace that was just slightly faster than par. In the six path now he entered the stretch and continued his run but after the break and losing so much ground in the turn he was never going to catch Cordyceps who had a perfect trip on the rail sitting just behind the front runner Beauty Day who eventually finished fourth. Regency Bo Bo's handicap was held at 79 after the effort which will keep him at the level and high weight for at least one more trip.

Horses to avoid next time out:
Race 8 Gold Chest (87) Had a perfect trip after breaking from the 3 post and had to hold off Fast Most Furious while getting a 12 pound advantage.

Nitro 09-03-2019 05:35 PM

Hi there Woody!
Very nice follow-up information on some of the runners from Opening Day at Sha Tin. If anyone is interested in viewing re-runs of those races and more just go to the following link and select the correct date and race# on the pull down menu:


Originally Posted by bob60566 (Post 2513921)

Thanks for sharing this information, Much appreciated.


You’re welcome Bob.
I hope the information rewarded you with some $ dividends.

bob60566 09-03-2019 09:47 PM

Thanks Woody

Added to my list.

Question How do the jocks get there mounts.?

woodbinepmi 09-03-2019 10:48 PM

Jocks are not allowed to have an agent unless they are unable speak either Chinese or English. They have to get their own mounts by either being retained by a trainer which you have to ride for that outfit (Moreira last year for John Size), a freelance rider which are local Hong Kong riders or club riders.

woodbinepmi 09-07-2019 03:14 PM

Hong Kong Jockey Club at Sha Tin. September 8, 2019 2nd race meeting of the 2019-2020 year.
Weather report: 90 Degrees Sunny Wind: W 5 to 10 mph.

Post time: 12.45am ET, 9.45pm PT. Rail: Course “C”, track listed: Good

Past Performance links: SpeedPRO Pace Ratings

Live Video Feed:

Vulnerable favourite on the card:
Race 10 :11: Craig’s Star (3-1) Has shown in most of his races that he is very hesitant in passing leaders late in the stretch, playing that continues here.

Horses coming out of key races running tonight (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race *670 (Winners: 2nd, 4th & 8th, Second: 6th)
Race 6 :8: Chaparral Star (26-1)
Race 6 :14: Savvy Seven (10-1)

Race *712 (Winners: 3rd & 5th, Second: 1st)
Race 9 :12: Casa De Forca (14-1)

In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):

Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running tonight:
Race 9 :2: Coby Oppa (7-2)

Horses for courses running tonight:
Race 8 :8: Pick Number One (11-1)
Race 9 :2: Coby Oppa (7-2)

Distance specialists running tonight:

Class specialists running tonight:

Last race watch list horses running tonight:

Past watch list runners running tonight:
Race 10 :2: Follow Me (4-1)

Key Plays:
Race 7 :5: Solar Wai Wai (7-1)
Race 10 :2: Follow Me (4-1)

Race 2 :1: New Elegance (9-1)

Nitro 09-08-2019 01:20 AM

HONG KONG - SHA TIN Sun - 9/8/19
Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!

I’m posting my pre-race selections for another very competitive card that looks to offer some decent value.
10 races at Sha Tin with 6 to be run on Turf & 4 on the Dirt:
(Class top to bottom) - (1)-Class-2, (3)-Class-3, (4)-Class-4, (2)-Class-5

Post Time Race #1 – 12:45 AM SUN EST

I’ve taken a look at the M/L’s in combination with the early odds and used a unique static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will certainly shed more light on these and any others I might have missed.
The latest tote action (by 4 mins. to post) may reveal some things that cause final substitutions among the Top 3 picks from the Bottom 3 picks. However, the overall picks generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.
Quite a few of the races this morning look wide open!

BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I can’t make a Dutch Win bet I’ll generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.

Good Luck if you’re playing!

R#1- 1200M C5 (6F)D…...1-2-6 W/ 8-9-3….….12:45 AM

R#2- 1600M C4 (8F)T…...2-3-1 W/ 4-9………....1:15 AM

R#3– 1400M C5 (7F)T..….2-12-5 W/ 3-1-6…...1:45 AM

R#4- 1200M C4 (6F)T..….3-5-6 W/ 2-7-12 …...2:30 AM

R#5- 1200M C4 (6F)D…...6-8-5 W/ 1-3-12….…3:00 AM

R#6- 1400M C4 (7F)T…...5-4-9 W/ 10-1-7 ..….3:40 AM

R#7– 1200M C3 (6F)T…... 6-5-8 W/ 3-2-4……...4:10 AM

R#8- 1200M C2 (6F)D….… 2-1-3 W/ 11-7-8…....4:40 AM

R#9- 1200M C3 (6F)D..… 4-1-6 W/ 8-11-3 …....5:15 AM

R#10- 1400M C3 (7F)T... 3-8-1 W/ 2-6-11 ……..5:50 AM

bob60566 09-08-2019 01:37 AM

Thank both for the information.


Nitro 09-08-2019 01:53 AM


R#1- 1200M C5 (6F)D…...1-2-6 W/ 8-9-3….….12:45 AM
2-6-1-10– Dutch Win 9% Profit Margin-Passed / $10.70 Quinella & $39.00 Triple

Nitro 09-08-2019 02:12 AM

UPDATE:R#2- 1600M C4 (8F)T…...2-1-9 W/ 3-4………....1:15 AM

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