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-   -   2012 presidential election odds (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=96700)

lamboguy 08-09-2012 08:17 AM

2012 presidential election odds
 
strange move over at thegreek.com this morning.

the democrat went from -$180-$100 up to $183-$100 overnight.

they tell me that the move the line ,01 for each $10,000 bet on it. that must mean that they got $30,000 in bets last night on the democrat.

they are not losing anything to this because i remember when i first started to follow this the democrat was $250-$100. so for those that like to follow the money, it would seem that there is more money on the republican so far in this election.

what is interesting is the amount of money bet on the election. there seems to be plenty of interest worldwide. there may be plenty of hedger's and scalpers playing this election from both sides.

FantasticDan 08-09-2012 10:19 AM

This is the 3rd new thread you've started on this same topic in less than a week..

http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/s...ad.php?t=96545

http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/s...ad.php?t=96630

Makes no sense. Why not just reply in the original?

lamboguy 08-09-2012 03:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by FantasticDan
This is the 3rd new thread you've started on this same topic in less than a week..

http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/s...ad.php?t=96545

http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/s...ad.php?t=96630

Makes no sense. Why not just reply in the original?

duly noted, thank you

lamboguy 08-11-2012 08:21 AM

after i heard there was going to be an announcement this morning i went to thegreek.com to check the odds. lo and behold, this election is off the board right now!

lamboguy 08-11-2012 07:54 PM

election odds back on the board. the democrat went down slightly in price to -$180-$100, someone must have liked the vp choice

Shemp Howard 08-12-2012 10:35 AM

It's just Sheldon Adelson buying some insurance.

Valuist 08-13-2012 11:06 PM

I saw Obama's odds were -180 on Friday at Bookmaker. Bookmaker has since taken the Presidential odds off the board and they will be back up on August 18th.

horses4courses 08-13-2012 11:12 PM

UK books open 24/7
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Valuist
I saw Obama's odds were -180 on Friday at Bookmaker. Bookmaker has since taken the Presidential odds off the board and they will be back up on August 18th.

Here ya go:

http://www.oddschecker.com/specials/.../winning-party

Btw, Pinnacle (one of the biggest out there) are looking for Dem money.

Valuist 08-13-2012 11:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by horses4courses
Here ya go:

http://www.oddschecker.com/specials/.../winning-party

Btw, Pinnacle (one of the biggest out there) are looking for Dem money.

Once upon a time, Pinnacle was the biggest player. Bookmaker.eu IS the biggest now.

horses4courses 08-13-2012 11:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Valuist
Once upon a time, Pinnacle was the biggest player. Bookmaker.eu IS the biggest now.

Proof?

Pardon me for doubting, but 3 or 4 years back they were second rate.
That's been a pretty rapid rise......

Valuist 08-13-2012 11:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by horses4courses
Proof?

Pardon me for doubting, but 3 or 4 years back they were second rate.
That's been a pretty rapid rise......

They took much of the business that Pinnacle used to have, until Pinnacle closed their doors to the US. Bookmaker is the former CRIS, which was already one of the biggest books in the world.

horses4courses 08-13-2012 11:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Valuist
They took much of the business that Pinnacle used to have, until Pinnacle closed their doors to the US. Bookmaker is the former CRIS, which was already one of the biggest books in the world.

Yes, I remember when Ron Sacco started CRIS

horses4courses 08-14-2012 12:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Valuist
until Pinnacle closed their doors to the US.

Every legitimate bookmaking operation throughout the world closed their doors to the US.
They have company directors, and shareholders, who don't wish to be locked up, should they ever decide to set foot on these shores.
That's why they chose not to do business with US residents.

Any company who does otherwise, is not to be trusted as a going concern.
They're like any other illegal book being operated throughout this country.
Sure, the money is there to be made in the short term.
Don't expect them to be around in the years ahead, though.

horses4courses 08-14-2012 06:19 PM

No-lose situation
 
So, as things stand right now on the odds, IF you had accounts with both Pinnacle and William Hill, AND had a spare $27200 between them, you could bet both sides and lock up a $700 profit. :cool:

$17900 with Pinnacle on the Dems @ -179 to win $10K
$9300 with Will Hill on the Reps @ +200 to win $18600

http://www.oddschecker.com/specials/.../winning-party

"Get your money for nothing, and your chicks for free"

That is, of course, assuming that an independent won't go to the White House.
Oy vey........ :bang:

lamboguy 08-16-2012 07:48 AM

there has been a little bit of a betting surge in the last few days.

the odds have gone up from the Democrat -$180 to the Democrat -$200.


Thegreek.com is where i am quoting my prices from. as far as i know Spiro is pretty large and very reputable. i don't know if he is bigger than the ones that have been mentioned on this thread, all i know is that he has been doing this for the past 20 years offshore.


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