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I am about to build a new handicapping book and would like your input to help me choose a direction.

Regards,
Dave Schwartz

Which of the following products would you most likely purchase in the next 60 days if it were available?


1. Pace Handicapping: Which Paceline Should I Select?
In a claiming sprint for older males you should use...
In an MSW route for three-year olds in June you shold use...

2. Basics of Winning: How to Make an Odds Line
How to use one or more factors to make an odds line.

3. Speed Handicapping After the Numbers
Which speed ratings should be used and when?
(This assumes that you are not making your own numbers.)

4. Handicapping Late Speed
Everyone writes about early speed. What makes a late horse win?

5. Fred Davis 2009: A Systematic Handicapping Approach
In 1974 Fred Davis wrote Percentages and Probabilities. This would be patterned after that, with different factors and values.

6. A New Approach to Form Cycle Analysis
Analyzing form from a "sheet-like" view point.

7. Basics of Winning: Which Bet to Make?
Some races allow you to bet the "best" horse who is usually low-priced. Most do not. This is about deciding which bet is appropriate in a given situation.

8. Pace Handicapping: New Modeling Techniques
This goes beyond the classic Brohamer Model, taking you to a whole new level.


9. Monty Hall: Getting 2/3s the Winners in 1/3 the Horses
You begin with 3 contenders per race and get 2/3s of their total wins in just one selection.

10. Twenty Winning Spot Play Angles
Some are unbelievably high hit rate and some are lower hit rates and high profits.

11. Basics of Winning: Finding the Vulnerable Favorite
What makes a favorite vulnerable and how do you capitalize on that?

12. Basics of Winning: Favorites You Should Bet
These are profitable favorites and favorites that should not be bet against.

I seem to recall you mentioning a book a while back..that would be great. I would certainly be interested in almost anything on the list. It was hard to pick one..I'd say 7,2,5,9,8 as my top 5.

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Number 4, 6, and 9 are most intriguing. Please include at least these three!!

9

From my perspective, 5 by itself would suffice to adequately address several of the other areas that you mention.

choice
 

Would take #10 and then #9 those two should live happy ever after.

I do not know how much work is involved in writing each topic. Maybe you could devote a chapter to each topic.

all of them. then there will be something for everybody.

Each one is a complete book.

Looks like you'll have a nice side business going with a lot of good topics that will really help people.

The Monty Hall one is very intriguing.

Then I'd go with #5.

I see 20 profitable spot plays has a slight lead....wouldn't they become 20 unprofitable spot plays after being published ;)

Let's Make A Deal Handicapping!
 

9. Monty Hall: Getting 2/3s the Winners in 1/3 the Horses
You begin with 3 contenders per race and get 2/3s of their total wins in just one selection.

Will Carol Merrill and Jay Stewart have any roles in this book? Also, I would suggest alternate title: Handicapping without Zonks!

3
 

10, 11, 12

Since there was only one option, I voted for #8. An old line " Handicapper, know thy track."

But I'd be interested in #4 too.
Late speed is the one hole in my game of the races I choose to bet, & has me tearing out my hair on occasion. And I don't have enough left to afford that............:bang:

Re; Monty Hall

I once read an article in regards to the math and probability regarding switching doors when asked. It has been many years but if I recall correctly a person should always switch but I cannot recall the exact math reasons behind it.

Does anyone else recall this?

Not to pull this thread off-topic, but check this earlier thread:

http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/s...t=21334&page=1