WHAT AN EASY GAME
 

WHAT AN EASY GAME- PROVINDING YOU CAN BEAT THE TAKE-OUT

ok :rolleyes:

It's what I do :coffee:

"WHAT AN EASY GAME".A dear friend and neighbor gave that phrase to me. He was.a significant member and editor of the New York Times and an associate of Steve Crist. Another dear friend was also a New York Times editor. He went on to be the editor for Steve Crist's Racing Times. One of my horse racing highlights was to have lunch with three at Belmont park many years ago.
I may have mentioned to Crist about one item I read in his many writings for the Times. "1/(odds+1)". It changed my perception of the GAME. I hope it helps yours.
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It’s such an easy game but IIRC you posted that you don’t bet

.....hunh............????


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"Those who can, do. Those who can't, teach. And those who can't teach, teach gym." ~ Woody Allen
I would add "...or post statistics."

Dr. Anthony’s Smart-Bet Professional Formula!
 

Has anyone heard of Dr. Anthony’s Smart-Bet Professional Formula! If so, is it worth getting? It is advertised through rpmhandicappinggiant.com (Dave Powers)1) Provides the player with simple, no nonsense WIN strategy that will guarantee a BUILT-IN FIXED PROFIT. Can be used at the track, the satellite or betting from home.
2) Will show you HOW BETTING ON ONLY FAVORITES AT 9-TO-5 OR HIGHER WILL RESULT IN A SURE-FIRE POSITIVE RETURN ON YOUR INVESTMENT.
Any and all help is appreciated. Thanks.......

Leonard would explain it to Sheldon as "sarcasm "

Paceadvantage offers any one a wonderful platform to demonstrate there systems by posting 500 bets and recapping results with incremental odds and charts.

With all respect, sir, given the prevalence of seismic shifts in odds even while the race is underway, how could you possibly identify favorites destined to offer 9/5 or higher??

Hey Formula.....

Explain to me/us why this changed your perspective....


I know its suppose to be better than ROI.....

But ROI is exactly what your getting that "1/(odds+1)" is just a theory

EX:

Say you have a factor that give you a 1.06 ROI but "1/(odds+1)" give you a .90....Do you abandum that because its destined to fail in theory?

And on the other hand...

Say you have a .89 factor but "1/(odds+1)" gives you a +1.03...
So you continue to hang in till it assumes its positive probable outcome???

thxs

Mike

"And they are the bravest of them all" - Formula_2002:)

1/(odds+1) is used to determine the booking percentage of any race or any other odds list.
Look at any results chart listing the all-track odds , sum 1/(odds+1). At a 15% takeout track the sum could be 1.176 or greater.
As shown in the table I posted in the 1st note. It helps me understand what is needed to at least break even.
Say your $1 return on a 2-1 shot at a 15% take-out track was 1.06
Based on my posted table to break even you need to be 117% better than the public.
1.06 x 117.65%= 125%.. that’s how much better you are than the public.
Not a small task. Way beyond my pay grade.


suggested reading: "Horse Sence" By Button Fabrican phd. while we never lunched together we did correspond (back in day via snail mail)

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Formula..............


You first logged on here with your data crunches in August of 2011

That’s more than 10 years ago

What’s your ETA.........would you say?

Maybe another 10 years of crunching data and you’ll be ready to make a bet.....?????

(-:/


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I started crunching data in 2002.
I think very soon thereafter, I stopped betting.
many many $ down loading results and ALWAYS data from bris.