good luck, digging through hundreds of pp's this west coast to east coast move has not been productive for this barn. on figures he should crush.

I think the :6: needs the lead and won't get it, :1: doesn't have any more late kick than the frontrunners. But they're in races in which their trainers perform well.

6 may need the lead as stated but he has been on slooooow paces. I like him given he may get more pace today, maybe.

Bet the 6 to win.

is 48 fast or did we just see another crawl fest

Oh man, :4: stole my saver exacta. Did not see that one factoring at all.

Eric Cancel has been riding reasonably well.

He had one edge over the 7... He didn't have to try to win with the 4, and the Arroyo did on the 7.

I can't tell if that's just as fast as those wanted to go... Arroyo has been a sluggish gate jockey at times. Was hoping the 7 would quarterhorse out to the lead, but that may have been their best..

Skipping to Race 5 Amsterdam

The :5: is interesting. Hasn't posted a fig with these, but he's been overmatched going longer, turning back into a better spot, second best closer. I like the :6: to close with more obvious class but you pay for that. Not ideal trainer scenario here.

I'm with Serling :2: win and :2:/:5: exacta, may add :2:/:6:

I'll be back just before post time

1/2 to win is not my thing.

looking at :2:-:5: and :2:-:6: exacta probables.

It looks like :2:-:5: is the value.


Edit - now the 3 is finally starting to be underlayed in the exacta pool under 2. If you love the 6 2nd, he may be bettable closer to post time.

:5: might have won had he not crashed around the gate right before it opened.

Race 6
 

:1a: St. Louie pops up on my watch list.
I realize that he got a great setup last time, but I've thought he is a game horse. Should be overlooked, and I'm glad that the :1: half of the entry is scratched.
Draws wide, I'm banking on him returning to stalking tactics today.
Sure as hell hope he isn't 'sent' today...


There seems to be a TON of opportunistic early speed stretch-out types in this field. They all got here by using speed as a weapon, but when you have a handful of those types in the same race, as in today, the advantage disappears.

:7: Seems ultra-obvious to benefit if those stretch-out types butt heads. ( now watch them hold in slow fractions :) )

:7::1a:

Race 7
 

love the :4: Party Nights.

:8: and :2: are logical

Tossing :7:. I think the public is being irrational by betting so much on this filly.
I would use @ 6/1 or so, but she shouldn't be bet down. Lot's of strikes (good trip in Pebbles, layoff).

:11: warrants an include, after beating the :1: last time.

:4::8::2::11:

This meets has been a little chalky to me. I mean it's not terrible because some races you get a nice price on the favorite but sheesh, it just feels a lot more chalky than other Saratoga meets

Has anything paid over 50 dollars to win other than Lukas horse?

Big swing with :3::5:

Lost the saver exacta by a neck to :7:.

I bet the 2 in the last race...lol