Kentucky Derby Odds Lines
 

Our Talking Handicapping Group has been voting on odds for the Derby. Using some snazzy math, I've produced this line.

The data has been updated as of 6:30am (pacific) Thursday.

I will continue to update in this thread.

https://www.practicalhandicapping.co...YDerbyOdds.jpg


Good luck.

Feel free to contribute your line.


Dave Schwartz

I hope I can get that on Lone Sailor! :jump:

I thing you have Firenzie Fire a little too low!;)

Remember, these are not my opinions but rather about 35 people.

I only have three contenders on my line...:pound:

:7: Justify 2/1
:11: Bolt d'Oro 9/1
:3: Promises Fulfilled 25/1

But I always like speed...:bang:

BTW, my longshot pick is :15: Instilled Regard

Hi PA,

Do you still have your old program? As I recall it did pretty good on the big days. If you have it and can show a printout of the big race, that would be nice. Best of luck to everyone betting the Ky Derby.

Jim

There is some canceling going on. Just like at the track. LOL


The money is moving towards the top.

https://www.practicalhandicapping.co...DerbyOdds3.jpg

Mine That Bird would have been 100,000-1 with this group.

For what it is worth, how I rank the derby.


:7:.....1929
:11:...1926
:17:...1901
:14:...1897
:15:...1885
:5:.....1885
:6:.....1883
:2:.....1876
:12:...1874
:16:...1867
:18:...1860
:4:.....1859
:19:...1857
:9:.....1851
:20:...1841
10... 1834
:3:.....1834
:1:.....1826
:8:.....1789
13... 1747

:7: justify 7-1
:11: Bolt d-oro 7-1
:5:audible 12-1
:6:good magic 16-1
:16:magnam moon 16-1
:12:enticed 18-1
:9:hofburg 19-1
:18:vino rossi 19-1

Allan

Magnum Moon: 5/2
Justify: 3-1
Mendelssohn: 5-1
Audible: 10-1
Field: 4-1

I have:

Justify - EVEN
.
Good Magic - 10
Bolt d'Oro - 12
Audible - 15
Vino Rosso - 20
Mendelsohn - 25
Magnum Moon - 25
Hofburg -35
Instilled Regard - 35
Solomini - 40
.
Rest divide what little is left

Any considerations or hedges about weather? Forecast is for rain Friday and Saturday.

https://www.bing.com/search?q=louisv...ZI&form=MOZTSB

Mendolsshon was getting a lot of votes to win @Paulick Report-may go off favored

That will be interesting to see if it is reflected in the next poll update I do.

Thanks.

Edit: As of right now, (just eyeballing) he actually has dropped in the rankings!

This line is based on two criteria Prime Power and Jockey Rating

6 Good Magic 8/1
5 Audible 9/1
7 Justify 9/1
14 Mendelssohn 10/1
16 Magnum Moon 13/1
12 Enticed 15/1
11 Bolt d'Oro 16/1
17 Solomini 16/1
18 Vino Rosso 18/1
19 Noble Indy 19/1
15 Instilled Regard 22/1
10 My Boy Jack 23/1
9 Hofburg 25/1
4 Flameaway 30/1
1 Firenze Fire 30/1
20 Combatant 35/1
2 Free Drop Billy 46/1
13 Bravazo 62/1
3 Promises Fulfilled 63/1
8 Lone Sailor 78/1