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-   **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/forumdisplay.php?f=22)
-   -   2021 Triple Crown Trail via TimeformUS (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=163113)

cj 02-09-2021 11:36 PM

2021 Triple Crown Trail via TimeformUS
 
I'll get this going full blown soon, just got caught up today.

https://i.ibb.co/K9rZSQD/Journey-To-TC.png

https://i.ibb.co/pfR4B2q/Journey-To-Oaks.png

Already see I forgot to change 2020 to 2021 on the top line, will fix next time.

cj 02-15-2021 02:16 PM

Right click and "open in new tab" to see full sized image.

https://i.ibb.co/7JLWvct/Derby.png

https://i.ibb.co/fq55Pqx/Oaks.png

cj 03-02-2021 02:37 PM

Updated through 3-2.

Right click and "open in new tab" to see full sized image.

Full Spreadsheet Here

https://i.ibb.co/D568ztw/Derby.png

https://i.ibb.co/VBqDh5K/Oaks.png

BarchCapper 03-02-2021 04:51 PM

Using Derby, Preakness and Belmont dates based on last year?

cj 03-02-2021 10:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BarchCapper (Post 2704845)
Using Derby, Preakness and Belmont dates based on last year?

Good catch, will update.

Also don't know when the Sunland Oaks is actually being run, got the date listed right from the Kentucky Derby site that lists all the points races. Probably the same day as the Sunland Derby. But that is listed as Tuesday, March 30th so who knows?

https://www.kentuckyderby.com/prep-r...land-park-oaks

jay68802 03-02-2021 11:03 PM

Think New Mexico cancelled Sunland Park this year.

BarchCapper 03-02-2021 11:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jay68802 (Post 2704905)
Think New Mexico cancelled Sunland Park this year.

Yep - from a little while back:

https://live.drf.com/nuggets/51316-s...ing-commission

cj 03-11-2021 11:25 AM

Updated through 3-7.

Full Spreadsheet Here

Right click and "open in new tab" to see full sized image.

https://i.ibb.co/Lv8DbQ7/Derby.png

https://i.ibb.co/r3PrBZn/Oaks.png

cj 03-15-2021 11:45 AM

Updated through 3-15, no changes to Oaks so not in this post.

Full Spreadsheet Here

https://i.ibb.co/8Bfywn6/Derby.png

BarchCapper 03-15-2021 12:30 PM

Distance updates:

Lecomte - 1 1/16m
Risen Star - 1 1/8m
Louisiana Derby - will be 1 3/16m

cj 03-15-2021 04:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BarchCapper (Post 2707713)
Distance updates:

Lecomte - 1 1/16m
Risen Star - 1 1/8m
Louisiana Derby - will be 1 3/16m

:ThmbUp::ThmbUp::ThmbUp:

cj 03-22-2021 04:05 PM

Updated through 3-21.

Full Spreadsheet Here

Right click and "open in new tab" to see full sized image.

https://i.ibb.co/jL5z7nn/Derby.png

https://i.ibb.co/GnMkLLG/Oaks.png

cj 03-28-2021 11:28 AM

Updated through 3-27.

Full Spreadsheet Here

Right click and "open in new tab" to see full sized image.

https://i.ibb.co/KhwFwZz/Derby.png

https://i.ibb.co/1f2qB4m/Oaks.png

cj 04-05-2021 12:22 AM

Updated through 4-3.

Full Spreadsheet Here

Right click and "open in new tab" to see full sized image.

https://i.ibb.co/WttfSGG/Derby.png

https://i.ibb.co/KD960Z7/Oaks.png

cj 04-11-2021 01:03 PM

Updated through 4-10. Last update before Derby Day. Oaks prep races were already completed last week.

Full Spreadsheet Here

Right click and "open in new tab" to see full sized image.

https://i.ibb.co/k37PfRJ/Derby.png

usfgeology 04-20-2021 09:36 AM

Thanks again this year CJ :ThmbUp:

Tom 05-01-2021 03:38 PM

Dittos!:headbanger:

PaceAdvantage 05-01-2021 04:12 PM

Trittos!

Spalding No! 05-01-2021 09:28 PM

CJ's pace figures revealed all along that Medina Spirit was a "hidden" frontrunner if so utilized by his rider. Even without Caddo River and Concert Tour, I thought there was speed to be found from Soup and Sandwich, Rock Your World, and Midnight Bourbon but could not reconcile Medina Spirit's Robert Lewis effort (with the fastest Timeform numbers on a dry track) on the front end with his other races.

In hindsight, he was nearly on equal terms with Life Is Good going a flat mile despite letting his more fancied stablemate have the run of the race and then ran interference for him in the San Felipe.

His Santa Anita Derby form was muddled, too, as revealed by John Velasquez in his post-race interview while still on horseback. He said he let Rock Your World go in that race because he presumed he would "come back to him" after setting fast fractions and spent most of the race worried about Dream Shake for some odd reason. Said the plan today was simply to use his early speed and see what happens.

I thought he would get a Real Quiet-type trip if he was good enough, but instead got the patented unpressured lead granted to all Baffert horses in 10 furlong races. Only the horrendously ill-prepared Soup and Sandwich harried him at any stage of the early going.

Robert Fischer 05-02-2021 12:43 PM

Have a few days left on the 'monthly' package I purchased from TimeformUS about the first week of April or so.

Quality product, and I really enjoy having the full access to charts that comes with the monthly package.

Over time, I've gone from strictly 'Pace Figures' settings to using both the color-coded Pace Figs and the adjusted fractions.

'Pace Projector' has pretty much become a standard of horseplayers, much like the Beyer Speed fig, and the DRF Formulator.

Having a lot of fun, and will 'renew'.


Thanks for all the work CJ

cj 05-02-2021 01:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Spalding No! (Post 2719867)
CJ's pace figures revealed all along that Medina Spirit was a "hidden" frontrunner if so utilized by his rider. Even without Caddo River and Concert Tour, I thought there was speed to be found from Soup and Sandwich, Rock Your World, and Midnight Bourbon but could not reconcile Medina Spirit's Robert Lewis effort (with the fastest Timeform numbers on a dry track) on the front end with his other races.

In hindsight, he was nearly on equal terms with Life Is Good going a flat mile despite letting his more fancied stablemate have the run of the race and then ran interference for him in the San Felipe.

His Santa Anita Derby form was muddled, too, as revealed by John Velasquez in his post-race interview while still on horseback. He said he let Rock Your World go in that race because he presumed he would "come back to him" after setting fast fractions and spent most of the race worried about Dream Shake for some odd reason. Said the plan today was simply to use his early speed and see what happens.

I thought he would get a Real Quiet-type trip if he was good enough, but instead got the patented unpressured lead granted to all Baffert horses in 10 furlong races. Only the horrendously ill-prepared Soup and Sandwich harried him at any stage of the early going.

Yep, wrote an article for DRF on the Pace Projector and the read I gave was the post would force his hand and he'd be sent to the lead. He certainly had it in his PPs. You wonder what happens to this horse if Life is Good stays healthy!

rastajenk 05-02-2021 03:48 PM

He probably wins the Pat Day. :p


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