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-   Selections (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/forumdisplay.php?f=4)
-   -   My remaining matchup bets for the day (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=158210)

MDCnorthlands 05-22-2020 04:26 PM

My remaining matchup bets for the day
 
Up a couple units so far today :coffee:

SANTA ANITA
4, Diva > Manresa, $100/140
4, Marci > New Year, $100/100
5, Kazan > King, $100/100
6, Papa Turf > Short of EZ, $110/100
7, Music > Mayan, $100/$135
8, El Huer > Kyle, $120/100
8, Nolo > Tiza, $100/$240
9, Rose > Warren, 135/100

CHURCHILL
9, Hard > Summering, 100/100
9, Silver > Malakeh, 100/190

GULFSTREAM
9, Roman > Wild, 100/200
9, NoGetting>Roman, 100/165
10, Bacano >Youshould, 100/155

MDCnorthlands

MDCnorthlands 05-22-2020 06:44 PM

Almost every single one of my wagers perfectly predicted how the market odds would stray from almost every place offering odds predictions. :bang:

Equibase, eponies, ML all worthless! :eek::eek::eek:

MDCnorthlands

Muddy 05-22-2020 07:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MDCnorthlands (Post 2606405)

Equibase, eponies, ML all worthless

I guess that comes down to how you use them :eek:

MDCnorthlands 05-22-2020 07:21 PM

Any advice?

MDCnorthlands 05-22-2020 08:06 PM

SANTA ANITA
4, Diva > Manresa, $100/140 +140
4, Marci > New Year, $100/100 -100
5, Kazan > King, $100/100 -100
6, Papa Turf > Short of EZ, $110/100 -110
7, Music > Mayan, $100/$135 -100
8, El Huer > Kyle, $120/100 +100
8, Nolo > Tiza, $100/$240 +240
9, Rose > Warren, 135/100 +100

CHURCHILL
9, Hard > Summering, 100/100 +100
9, Silver > Malakeh, 100/190 -100

GULFSTREAM
9, Roman > Wild, 100/200 -100
9, NoGetting>Roman, 100/165 -100
10, Bacano >Youshould, 100/155 -100

-130 on day, finished OK

NorCalGreg 05-22-2020 08:49 PM

My advice-if you are spending REAL money, don't rely on E-Ponies.

Good luck,

-NCG

MDCnorthlands 05-23-2020 12:04 PM

Who is more reliable then? If you had to make these matchup odds, whose odds would you use?

MDCnorthlands

lamboguy 05-23-2020 12:14 PM

some of these are terrible lines. which operation is accepting wagers on these?

MDCnorthlands 05-23-2020 12:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lamboguy (Post 2606596)
some of these are terrible lines. which operation is accepting wagers on these?

My local bookie

How do you figure which lines are terrible?

MDCnorthlands

Tom 05-23-2020 01:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MDCnorthlands (Post 2606426)
Any advice?

Post in the "Selections" area?

:rolleyes::lol:

MDCnorthlands 05-23-2020 01:26 PM

Meanwhile the most popular thread in here is a daily "cap this race..." which is the same thing as asking for selections.

MDCnorthlands

Tom 05-23-2020 02:01 PM

No, it isn't - it is asking for handicapping.
But hey, what do I know?

MDCnorthlands 05-23-2020 02:11 PM

True
Let me know how that goes. I'm sure there will be a consensus and you'll beat the astronomical 20% hold. No wonder horse racing is dead.

CheckMark 05-23-2020 02:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MDCnorthlands (Post 2606671)
True
Let me know how that goes. I'm sure there will be a consensus and you'll beat the astronomical 20% hold. No wonder horse racing is dead.

Horse racing is not dead just because mikesal had a great idea for the race of the day and everyone who wants to would give who they like for that specific race and it's not like mike is nor anyone else is "asking for selections" This is a place of where people post their picks and have a good time! Everyone has their OWN opinion and that is what makes horse racing handicapping fun and not a consensus game

If your looking for consensus or bs picks they go to DRF and look at the selections in the newspaper or any tout that would sure give you his top plays of the day :lol:

This race can't get hear fast enough lol
:bang:

MDCnorthlands 05-23-2020 02:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CheckMark (Post 2606676)
Horse racing is not dead just because mikesal had a great idea for the race of the day and everyone who wants to would give who they like for that specific race and it's not like mike is nor anyone else is "asking for selections" This is a place of where people post their picks and have a good time! Everyone has their OWN opinion and that is what makes horse racing handicapping fun and not a consensus game

If your looking for consensus or bs picks they go to DRF and look at the selections in the newspaper or any tout that would sure give you his top plays of the day :lol:

This race can't get hear fast enough lol
:bang:

That's not what I'm looking for. I'm just looking for a source that predicts reasonably well the final market odds. Any such source will be wrong a lot but if they're right as often as they are wrong, that works for me.

So far in 80-90% of my matchup bets, the final market odds strongly disagree with TrueStats, e-ponies, and the morning line.

My bookie likely has some other source it's using to make their matchup lines and I'd like to know what it is. There is no way they have some in house savant handicapper that is making 50 sharp matchup odds a day at 3+ tracks.

CheckMark you, like me, look like someone who enjoys a race track burger, fries, and a side of gravy.

MDCnorthlands


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