Aerocraft67 |
06-07-2019 08:55 AM |
I was just about to post in the :4: Tax thread that he's not getting enough respect, and that I'm going with the theory that his question marks mean higher value more than lower probability. But we're kind of making him the PA wise guy horse here.
Like others, I'm not against :10: Tacitus. Horse to beat.
Public handicappers playing it pretty chalky. Some interest in :7: Sir Winston and :8: Intrepid Heart. I don't want Intrepid Heart, hope he takes money. I do like :7: underneath.
:3: Master Fencer could be one of those surprising Belmont results but I'd want a big price to play that. Probably an underlay underneath with people looking for odds.
I mused about :1: Joevia here, but there's almost no faith in his ability to stay, beyond a few deep pedigree cuts on this board. Not sure I want him underneath since he probably either wins or fades to last. He'll get the lead, but how easily, and how well will he control the pace to his advantage? You don't suppose he duels with :8: and quickens the pace more than expected? Surely :8:&:9: keep him honest?
Not intrigued by others. :9: is a fave that can beat me (again). Toss :2:,:5:,:6:,:8:
Can't dutch all three, but this points me toward a high/low play with :10: and :4:,:1:. Although :4: probably gets more expensive than 15-1 penultimate choice. Maybe a small win bet on :1: and some exactas using :4:+:10:. Could add :7: going deeper.
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