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-   -   Belmont Picks (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=152649)

Blenheim 06-06-2019 07:50 PM

Belmont Picks
 
:4: Tax to win the Belmont Stakes!

:4::9::10: Box em'.

Best of racin' luck.

Lookin' forward to the NY, NY!

señorclipclop 06-06-2019 07:51 PM

:4::8::10::9:

boys at tosconova 06-06-2019 08:45 PM

exacta boxes

:1::4::6::8::9:

i don't like any of these horses besides wow.......one time....lol


:3::5::7::10:

triple key

:10: w/ :3: :5::7::9:


after the race is over i plan to combine both exacta tickets to form a super ticket and proclaim victory

Afleet 06-06-2019 09:25 PM

I like the favorites. War of Will sheet#s arent that great. Intrepid Hearts KEE race got an excellent#-best in the field

Afleet 06-06-2019 09:41 PM

interesting publichandicapper very early odds:

total Number of Picks On This Race: 369

Program # Picks Horse PH Odds
1. 3 Joevia 103 - 1
2. 24 Everfast 12 - 1
3. 29 Master Fencer 9 - 1
4. 36 Tax 7 - 1
5. 51 Bourbon War 5 - 1
6. 21 Spinoff 13 - 1
7. 28 Sir Winston 10 - 1
8. 46 Intrepid Heart 5 - 1
9. 59 War of Will 4 - 1
10. 72 Tacitus 3 - 1

Lemon Drop Husker 06-06-2019 09:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Afleet (Post 2476760)
interesting publichandicapper very early odds:

total Number of Picks On This Race: 369

Program # Picks Horse PH Odds
1. 3 Joevia 103 - 1
2. 24 Everfast 12 - 1
3. 29 Master Fencer 9 - 1
4. 36 Tax 7 - 1
5. 51 Bourbon War 5 - 1
6. 21 Spinoff 13 - 1
7. 28 Sir Winston 10 - 1
8. 46 Intrepid Heart 5 - 1
9. 59 War of Will 4 - 1
10. 72 Tacitus 3 - 1


Pretty sure that Intrepid Heart is this year's "Wise Guy" horse.

Afleet 06-06-2019 09:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker (Post 2476763)
Pretty sure that Intrepid Heart is this year's "Wise Guy" horse.

that does jump out at you. Surprised both he and Bourbon War are lower than Master Fencer

Robert Fischer 06-06-2019 10:31 PM

:10: Tacitus to win.

:9: War of Will , :4:Tax , :8:Intrepid Heart, :5: Bourbon War completing the contenders.

f2tornado 06-06-2019 10:40 PM

I don't have a strong opinion here. Will box the :4::6::7::10: and put win wagers on the :7::10:. Maybe use the :9: somewhere as a saver play.

Winston has the highest last out Brisnet which has been an approximate 25% win angle. I like Rosario in the saddle here. Tacitus pace figures fit very well and the pilot is red hot. Hard to leave Irad out of the gimmicks while aboard a deeply bred horse. Rounded out with the TAP/JC combo for Spinoff.

dilanesp 06-06-2019 10:56 PM

I will play the :9: to win and some set of exactas involving the :8:

1GCFAN 06-06-2019 11:01 PM

1.00 Tri
:10:/:5::6::7::8:/:5::6::7::8::9:


Ten Cent Super
:10:/:5::6::7::8:/:5::6::7::8::9:/:5::6::7::8::9:

MNslappy 06-07-2019 04:06 AM

:10: Tacitus
:6: Spinoff
:4: Tax

with

:10: Tacitus
:6: Spinoff
:4: Tax
:9: War of Will
:2: Everfast

Wabash 06-07-2019 08:03 AM

:2::3::6::8::10:

Will box these in my exotics and also have win wagers on Master Fencer and Spinoff.

groupie doll 06-07-2019 08:23 AM

:10:Tacitus
:7:Sir Winston
:4:Tax

Aerocraft67 06-07-2019 08:55 AM

I was just about to post in the :4: Tax thread that he's not getting enough respect, and that I'm going with the theory that his question marks mean higher value more than lower probability. But we're kind of making him the PA wise guy horse here.

Like others, I'm not against :10: Tacitus. Horse to beat.

Public handicappers playing it pretty chalky. Some interest in :7: Sir Winston and :8: Intrepid Heart. I don't want Intrepid Heart, hope he takes money. I do like :7: underneath.

:3: Master Fencer could be one of those surprising Belmont results but I'd want a big price to play that. Probably an underlay underneath with people looking for odds.

I mused about :1: Joevia here, but there's almost no faith in his ability to stay, beyond a few deep pedigree cuts on this board. Not sure I want him underneath since he probably either wins or fades to last. He'll get the lead, but how easily, and how well will he control the pace to his advantage? You don't suppose he duels with :8: and quickens the pace more than expected? Surely :8:&:9: keep him honest?

Not intrigued by others. :9: is a fave that can beat me (again). Toss :2:,:5:,:6:,:8:

Can't dutch all three, but this points me toward a high/low play with :10: and :4:,:1:. Although :4: probably gets more expensive than 15-1 penultimate choice. Maybe a small win bet on :1: and some exactas using :4:+:10:. Could add :7: going deeper.


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