Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board


Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/index.php)
-   General Handicapping Discussion (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/forumdisplay.php?f=2)
-   -   The Hockessin (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=145960)

Afleet 07-11-2018 09:21 PM

The Hockessin
 
Nice bang up sprint race on the Delaware Handicap undercard

Delaware Park STAKES

Purse $75,000. For Three Year Olds And Upward. Free nomination, $200 to enter and $300 to start. Supplemental nominations of $750 will be accepted at time of entry which shall include all fees. $75,000 Guaranteed, Guaranteed, of which 60% to the winner, 20% to second,11% to third, 6% to fourth and 3% to fifth. Weight: Three Year Olds, 120 Lbs.; Older, 123 Lbs. Non-winners of $30,000 in, 2018, allowed 3 Lbs., Non-winners of $20,000 since, May 14th, 2018, 5 Lbs. (Maiden, claiming and starter races not considered in estimating allowances). Nominations Closed Monday July 2, 2018 with 28 Nominations. Trophy to Winning Owner. Six Furlongs.

P# PP Horse Virtual
Stable A/S Med Jockey Wgt Trainer M/L

:1: Blue Y Gold (ARG) 8/G L J R Velazquez 123 J W Thompson 5/1
JR scheduled to ride 3-2-1-0 record for 2018-in form

:2: Colonel Sharp (KY) 5/G L F Lynch 118 H I McMahon 10/1
Last two races on the synthetic. 8 for 13 at the distance.

:3: The Man (PA) 6/G L J A Vargas, Jr. 123 J C Servis 8/1
Owned by Natalie Baffert, 8 wins for 12 lifetime starts impressive

:4: Recruiting Ready (KY) 4/C L J L Ortiz 123 H DePaz 6/1
Blinkers off w/Ortiz-should take plenty of money

:5: Laki (MD) 5/G L E S Prado 123 D R Dilodovico 8/1
3rd in the Mr Prospector against Chubilicious @24-1; Prado retains mount

:6: Midtowncharlybrown (PA) 4/C L K Carmouche 12/1 E Coletti
will scratch a little birdie told me

:7: Stallwalkin' Dude (FL) 8/G L C Cedeno 118 D Jacobson 7/2
Old man; 2nd off a long layoff, leading money winner in the field, will look to pick up the pieces, some things to like.

:8: It's the Journey (MD) 5/G L T McCarthy 118 M J Trombetta 12/1
5th in the Mr Prospector behind Chublicious and Laki, but defeated Skylers Scramjet and Delta Bluesman. 2nd off, will be on all my tickets

:9: Chublicious (NJ) 7/G LA A Gallardo 123 D A Cannizzo 9/2
1st in the Mr Prospector @MTH defeating a good field. Should get a good trip here if good enough

:10: Rockinn On Bye (MD) 7/G L T M Hole 123 S M Casey 15/1
2nd off layoff. 4-0-3-0 record at Delaware Park, seems a cut below.

:11: Always Sunshine (FL) 6/H L F Pennington 118 E T Allard 15/1
4th last out against Imperial Hint, Whitmore, Bobbi Abu Dhabi-which any of the three would be heavily favored here. High percentage rider Pennington on board. 14-4-4-3 record at the distance. Seems to have lost a step, but think the last race distance was not optimal.

Can't see how the Man is going to be 8-1 more like 4-1. Don't think Stallwalkin Dude will get up, using on the bottom only. Its the Journey the call, WPS at anywhere close to the ML odds.

Who do you like?

Valuist 07-12-2018 12:24 PM

I thought Chublicious looked very impressive winning at Monmouth against a field better than this one, IMO.

Afleet 07-12-2018 06:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Valuist (Post 2340588)
I thought Chublicious looked very impressive winning at Monmouth against a field better than this one, IMO.

What do you think about the shift in weight between Chub and Its the Journey?A factor at all?

jay68802 07-13-2018 03:00 AM

Think you guys have the top 4 contenders nailed here. Might give a little harder look at the 11, but that one looks more like a saver type.

FakeNameChanged 07-13-2018 08:22 AM

Will be looking for more improvement from :5: Laki . Hoping for >8-1 ML odds. It doesn't appear like :9: Chublicious likes to win two in a row. Looks like they will all have to be able to run down :4: Recruiting Ready.

Afleet 07-13-2018 01:23 PM

pps Race 7

BRIS summary has it 1-5-8-7-9

http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...5/summary.html

Valuist 07-13-2018 01:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Afleet (Post 2340739)
What do you think about the shift in weight between Chub and Its the Journey?A factor at all?

It's the Journey had a good pace setup and still wasn't a factor. The weight shift is irrelevant to me.

Immortal6 07-13-2018 04:00 PM

:3::7::8:

Ex and tri box.

:3: 8/12 lifetime fast enough to sit closest to pace and get first jump.
:7: dat class. Always seems to win when not running in graded stakes. Red hot Cedeno is up.
:8: 2nd off the layoff, think he will run another big fig today. Hoping the Mr. Prospector was a bit of a tune up for today.

Afleet 07-13-2018 06:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Immortal6 (Post 2341037)
:3::7::8:

Ex and tri box.

:3: 8/12 lifetime fast enough to sit closest to pace and get first jump.
:7: dat class. Always seems to win when not running in graded stakes. Red hot Cedeno is up.
:8: 2nd off the layoff, think he will run another big fig today. Hoping the Mr. Prospector was a bit of a tune up for today.

Thats how i see the #8 also; think he runs a better/improved fig but not sure if its enough. I wonder if the #1 gets overlooked here and sits a good trip saving ground. Also, the #3 is 4 for 4 at the distance. Hope there are no more scratches besides #6 and this could be an interesting race

Afleet 07-14-2018 10:22 AM

#4 Recruiting Ready Scratched - Trainer 9:20 AM ET
#6 Midtowncharlybrown Scratched - Trainer 9:20 AM ET
#10 Rockinn On Bye Scratched - Trainer 9:20 AM ET

obviously scratching the speed changes the complexion of the race and lowers the odds on basically everyone else. I hated the #4 in this spot. Still sticking w/my pick

CheckMark 07-14-2018 11:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Afleet (Post 2340391)
Nice bang up sprint race on the Delaware Handicap undercard

Delaware Park STAKES

Purse $75,000. For Three Year Olds And Upward. Free nomination, $200 to enter and $300 to start. Supplemental nominations of $750 will be accepted at time of entry which shall include all fees. $75,000 Guaranteed, Guaranteed, of which 60% to the winner, 20% to second,11% to third, 6% to fourth and 3% to fifth. Weight: Three Year Olds, 120 Lbs.; Older, 123 Lbs. Non-winners of $30,000 in, 2018, allowed 3 Lbs., Non-winners of $20,000 since, May 14th, 2018, 5 Lbs. (Maiden, claiming and starter races not considered in estimating allowances). Nominations Closed Monday July 2, 2018 with 28 Nominations. Trophy to Winning Owner. Six Furlongs.

P# PP Horse Virtual
Stable A/S Med Jockey Wgt Trainer M/L

:1: Blue Y Gold (ARG) 8/G L J R Velazquez 123 J W Thompson 5/1
JR scheduled to ride 3-2-1-0 record for 2018-in form

:2: Colonel Sharp (KY) 5/G L F Lynch 118 H I McMahon 10/1
Last two races on the synthetic. 8 for 13 at the distance.

:3: The Man (PA) 6/G L J A Vargas, Jr. 123 J C Servis 8/1
Owned by Natalie Baffert, 8 wins for 12 lifetime starts impressive

:5: Laki (MD) 5/G L E S Prado 123 D R Dilodovico 8/1
3rd in the Mr Prospector against Chubilicious @24-1; Prado retains mount

:7: Stallwalkin' Dude (FL) 8/G L C Cedeno 118 D Jacobson 7/2
Old man; 2nd off a long layoff, leading money winner in the field, will look to pick up the pieces, some things to like.

:8: It's the Journey (MD) 5/G L T McCarthy 118 M J Trombetta 12/1
5th in the Mr Prospector behind Chublicious and Laki, but defeated Skylers Scramjet and Delta Bluesman. 2nd off, will be on all my tickets

:9: Chublicious (NJ) 7/G LA A Gallardo 123 D A Cannizzo 9/2
1st in the Mr Prospector @MTH defeating a good field. Should get a good trip here if good enough

:11: Always Sunshine (FL) 6/H L F Pennington 118 E T Allard 15/1
4th last out against Imperial Hint, Whitmore, Bobbi Abu Dhabi-which any of the three would be heavily favored here. High percentage rider Pennington on board. 14-4-4-3 record at the distance. Seems to have lost a step, but think the last race distance was not optimal.

Can't see how the Man is going to be 8-1 more like 4-1. Don't think Stallwalkin Dude will get up, using on the bottom only. Its the Journey the call, WPS at anywhere close to the ML odds.

Who do you like?

Updated analysis Afleet!

Tom 07-14-2018 06:02 PM

I liked the :11: as my 4th pick.
How he ended up ~2-1 :confused:

And in a race with Servis!

Afleet 07-15-2018 08:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tom (Post 2341428)
I liked the :11: as my 4th pick.
How he ended up ~2-1 :confused:

And in a race with Servis!

Nice call, I was watching his odds closely due to playing doubles. That stumble on the backstretch cost my 8 second place but the 11 was a clear winner.

Managed to hit this a few times w/the longshot in the next:

$1.00 Daily Double (11-6) Paid: $80.80 Daily Double Pool $22,702.00

Had a good day at Delaware(can't remember the last time I played this track). Hit both tri's on the biggest payers of the day-race 6 and 8


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 11:46 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 11:46 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.