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-   -   Empire 6 Forceout $725k October 6th (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=154699)

MonmouthParkJoe 10-05-2019 08:40 PM

Empire 6 Forceout $725k October 6th
 
Curious to see how this does tomorrow with the force out, begins race 5 at about 2:59pm.

Generally speaking, most of these mandatory days the racing isn't exactly stellar with a lot of cheaper races. The sequence tomorrow contains three graded stakes races and is part of a great card.

I think they do about $3.5 million in new money, total pool over $4 million.

the little guy 10-05-2019 09:36 PM

A new low.

MONEY 10-05-2019 10:43 PM

I'm not betting the P6, but here's what I have anyway.

5,9 // 5,9 // 3,4,6 // 2 // 2,7 // 5,8 =$9.60

The only one of these races that I might bet is R5.
That depends on whether or not I feel like driving 20 miles to the track.

Good Luck

JustRalph 10-05-2019 11:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MONEY (Post 2525685)
I'm not betting the P6, but here's what I have anyway.

5,9 // 5,9 // 3,4,6 // 2 // 2,7 // 5,8 =$9.60

The only one of these races that I might bet is R5.
That depends on whether or not I feel like driving 20 miles to the track.

Good Luck

We need some more OTB’s down here. I just can’t bring myself to drive the beltway for just a few races

Robert Fischer 10-05-2019 11:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MONEY (Post 2525685)
I'm not betting the P6, but here's what I have anyway.

5,9 // 5,9 // 3,4,6 // 2 // 2,7 // 5,8 =$9.60

The only one of these races that I might bet is R5.
That depends on whether or not I feel like driving 20 miles to the track.

Good Luck


The :4: BROADWAY ANGEL should take some money. Todd Pletcher 7/2 Morning Line...


:1::3::5::8::9::10::12: all look half-decent...

Robert Fischer 10-05-2019 11:34 PM

r6
 
:13: Orsay may simply be the best, should she run. Good connections, I liked the work /gallop-out/willingness

the tote should be on-the-money in r6 as far as probability est.

:4: Good Shabbos is the 'cool' horse that I don't want to overlook. I don't have any info on the layoff or jockey change, but on 'cold' form; I like that she had to advance and then chase two slow paces in a row. Pace here is a bit random/unknown, but it's 6f for 2yo f $75k... you'd think some pace is possible 10/1 ml mike luzzi

Robert Fischer 10-05-2019 11:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Robert Fischer (Post 2525690)
The :4: BROADWAY ANGEL should take some money. Todd Pletcher 7/2 Morning Line...

and at near that price she's a complete Toss in multis. I didn't like what I saw in her work


(instead of the 4) :1::3::5::8::9::10::12: all look half-decent...

oops i stink at editing posts

jay68802 10-06-2019 05:13 AM

Race #8 is crap. The :2: and :5: have the same owner and trainer. The :5: is obviously a rabbit entered to set it up for the :2:. Entry's should be coupled.

MonmouthParkJoe 10-06-2019 09:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the little guy (Post 2525674)
A new low.


:)

I was waiting for this

Robert Fischer 10-06-2019 10:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jay68802 (Post 2525732)
Race #8 is crap. The :2: and :5: have the same owner and trainer. The :5: is obviously a rabbit entered to set it up for the :2:. Entry's should be coupled.

and the first-call jock is on a third horse...

The only approach for sanity and lack of deep pockets is to treat the 2 as a free-square, or stay out.


5th race looks to be good betting with the potential false-favoritism of the :4:.
Stabile took her on top. Hopefully the public defaults to her. Going to be at a ravens/steelers thing, so I may have to either skip today's play, or bet in advance and hope that the money isn't a lot smarter at post.


:13: is strong in race 6 (if she runs) , and then you have a few little 6 and 7 horse fields (which I usually auto-pass, but are good for today's p-6), but then the last race has a full field. Unless I can narrow down the fifth race, I can't afford to gamble a real-sized ticket anyway. I'd rather keep making a few bucks on single races than gamble and be broke for the breeders cup.


this would cost me $24 and it's a lottery ticket throw-away gamble - 1, 5, 8, 9, 10/13/4, 5/2/1, 2, 3, 7/8, 11, 13 ... i'll pass

lamboguy 10-06-2019 11:44 AM

I'm not playing this today because i have a tough time eliminating horses. the one horse i like in the whole sequence is in the 5th race, #9 BE MAGIC

Robert Fischer 10-06-2019 05:07 PM

that's it.

$38.60 , baby.


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