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-   -   Preakness Undercard Playalong (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=144957)

Tom 05-19-2018 09:39 AM

Preakness Undercard Playalong
 
Let's post some ideas for the good card today.

Race 1 - Todd has the rail with :1: a 6-5 ML top fig horse who has speed to his outside and might not get off the rail, which I am assuming will be not he best place to be.

I'll take a shot on the second choice, :4: Flash Attack. 376 Tomlinson and he has been improving since returning as a 4yo.
He came back in December and paired his previous top, then set a new one last time at KEE.

Race 3- OC25k/Alw nw2x. I like :6: Happy Farm. Tomlinson 419, he won in the mud last time out beating the par of 81 with an 86 Beyer. He's won 4 out of 6 and should be close up in the better part of the track.

Race 6 - Todd has the horse in here :7: Uncle Mojo at 6-5 ML. Coming in with the top fig after one start this year, and a Tomlinson of 439 and Johnny V in the saddle. Can't ignore him a second time today

Race 8 - Chick Lang. :5: Mitole looks solid. Try to get some $$$ in the exactas - I'll playe her and :1: Still Having Fun (hope Iwil bee this late in the day!) This rail guy has a couple of nice sprints buried in his PPs and should be able to get off the rail. Tomlinson 353 and he is 1 for 1 on wet tracks, albeit a GD track. :5::1: box.
Maybe WP by this race - will see how the days goes.

PaceAdvantage 05-19-2018 11:47 AM

I don't see anything until at least the 6th race, so I'll be back then...:lol:

GMB@BP 05-19-2018 11:52 AM

I was looking at some statistics yesterday.

Wet track form is highly overrated, the fastest horses coming in usually run. If a horse has shown a disdain in a race he figured in the off going then its meaningful, but only if he figured in that race.

Also, of track form is often widely overbet by the public.

I just thought that interesting that I came across that the day before this event.

Fightingirish51195 05-19-2018 11:53 AM

This racing is so blah

Aerocraft67 05-19-2018 12:08 PM

I played yesterday. Can't identify much of a pattern on the main track. A few closers outran their odds to win. Those that won wire-to-wire or tracked close were expected to run well. Don't really remember anyone winning from midpack? No one ran near the rail at all. Being outside, even conspicuously outside, didn't seem unfavorable. I wouldn't say the slop induced chaos, somewhat formful I guess.

clicknow 05-19-2018 12:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tom (Post 2318634)
Race 8 - Chick Lang. :5: Mitole looks solid. .

Love Mitole but it's worth noting that only stakes lost was on slop in Gazebo, but that may have had more to do with bobbled start. No telling

Meanwhile more horses are scratching than are actually running in these races so far

GMB@BP 05-19-2018 12:25 PM

Man I just cant bet this stuff....

I will make a tri play for a few bucks pitching Justify cause on this stuff anything could happen but in terms of investing in these races...nope.

Tom 05-19-2018 12:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PaceAdvantage (Post 2318671)
I don't see anything until at least the 6th race, so I'll be back then...:lol:

I wish I would have waited too!

:lol:

Lemon Drop Husker 05-19-2018 12:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GMB@BP (Post 2318687)
Man I just cant bet this stuff....

I will make a tri play for a few bucks pitching Justify cause on this stuff anything could happen but in terms of investing in these races...nope.


This stinks.


1st 2 legs of the Triple Crown with nice undercards have turned to crap. Today is pretty sad.


Gonna play, but with minimal investment. :pout:

BlueChip@DRF 05-19-2018 12:32 PM

Race 5: :3: Tap Daddy

Tom 05-19-2018 12:37 PM

Apparently, the DRF I bought for today has only sloppy tracks in it!

PaceAdvantage 05-19-2018 12:48 PM

Pimlico R6 :7: chalk city yawn

Aerocraft67 05-19-2018 01:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PaceAdvantage (Post 2318701)
Pimlico R6 :7: chalk city yawn

I can't get off him either. Runners with late kick hopelessly overmatched.

Aerocraft67 05-19-2018 01:01 PM

Track supposedly much firmer than yesterday.

GMB@BP 05-19-2018 01:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Aerocraft67 (Post 2318710)
Track supposedly much firmer than yesterday.

Track seems pretty fair to me, I am not sure you want to be 20 lengths back but in terms of paths outside may only be slightly better than inside.


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