Tote board picks
 

Will be using tote analysis only today for Laurel. Not using pp's because I don't have them. Will focus on the 4 maidens, but will do a few others. Might miss R7-Msw due to time conflict. Later.
Note: Over the next week or two, I will attempt to do at least 20 of these plays to give an idea of its worth(or not).

Laurel-R1-Mcl 10K-7f-F&M 3Up
 

Race 1-Laurel-Tote analysis
No.---ML-----ML rank
:1: 6-1-----4/5
:2: 9-2------3
:3: 6-1-----4/5
:4: 3-1------2
:5: 10-1-----6
:6: 8-5------1
:7: 20-1-----7
Using a combo rank for 2 horses at 6-1 ML's. Normally usually l.r. odds to break ties. not that important overall. more explanation later.
NOTE: these aren't the picks, just the baseline I start with, more later closer to post time.

R2-Lrl-baseline
 

R2-Lrl-5-1/2f-St. O.C. 25k
No.----ML------Rank
:1:----5-1-------3
:2:----6-1-------4/5/6
:3:----8-1-------7
:4:----5-2-------1
:5:----6-1-------4/5/6
:6:----3-1-------2
:7:----6-1-------4/5/6
Kind of thing I see at with Laurel's ML fairly often, they lump several horses into one ML.

R3-Laurel-Maiden Clm
 

R3-Lrl-1M-Mcl-25K-3Up
No.----ML-----Rank
:1:----2-1------1
:2:----6-1------5
:3:----5-2------2
:4:----4-1------3
:5:----10-1-----6
:6:-----9-2-----4
Hoping we don't have a lot of scratches on some of these short fields.

R4-Laurel
 

R4-Lrl-6f-AOC-50K-F&M
No.-----ML------Rank
:1:-----3-1-------1
:2:----12-1------7
:3:-----6-1-------5/6
:4:-----7-2-------2/3
:5:-----9-2-------4
:6:-----6-1-------5/6
:7:-----7-2-------2/3
Again with same ML's problem-scratches will probably elim. some of them.

Race 7 -Laurel-MSW
 

R7-2 y.o.-MSW-1M
No.-----ML-----Rank
:1:-----15-1----9
:2:-----8-1-----6/7
:3:-----5-1------3
:4:-----8-1-----6/7
:5:-----6-1-----4/5
:6:-----12-1-----8
:7:------6-1-----4/5
:8:------7-2------1
:9:------30-1----10
:10:-----9-2------2
Again with the multiple ML's. This is race, I might miss doing, or at last possible minute.

R8--Lrl-MdClm-14K
 

R8-Lrl-5-1/2f-MdClm-F&M
No.-----ML-----Rank
:1:-----20-1----8/9
:2:-----10-1----5/6
:3:------2-1-----1
:4:-----15-1-----7
:5:-----8-1------4
:6:-----10-1----5/6
:7:-----9-2------3
:8:-----5-2------2
:9:-----20-1----8/9
Last maiden at Lrl. Not sure I can still stream Laurel's feed live, it seems to be restricted at times.

Correction, Race 10 Lrl.
 

Corrected to Race 10

Race 9-Lrl-Mdclm-10K-7f
 

R9- Maiden Clm-I missed this one originally
No.------ML------Rank
:1:------6-1------5/6
:2:------9-2-------2
:3:------5-1------3/4
:4:-----10-1-------7
:5:-----12-1------8/9
:6:------5-1------3/4
:7:------4-1-------1
:8:------15-1-----10
:9:------12-1-----8/9
:10:----20-1-----11
:11:-----6-1-----5/6
Not often you see the lowest ML at 4-1, Lots of 5's, 6's, and 12-1's again. So I'm thinking that ML person sees a chaos race, we'll see if tote is rapidly changing for favorite-ship.

What I'm seeing at this point, @5 mtp
:1: +4 odds rank +33% EM$ drop.
:2: had an 80% drop in early money, which is always dangerous, it wasn't bet across all pools, just for the win.
I'd lean more towards the :1: and box it with :2: and :6: in exacta.
At 5-1, I'd probably make a win bet on :2: for a saver

Okay, Here's what I'm seeing @ 5 MTP
:3: +6 odds rank, + 50% EM drop-
:5: Huge 75% EM, and favorite
:7: mild +2 odds rank
:3: is key for W/P- and :3: :5: :7: exacta box. I don't have a problem dutching tghe :3: and :7: for win

:5: in Race 3 looks strong at this point.

R3
 

R2-I said at bottom of last race, that I liked the :5: early in the betting.
:5: +5 odds rank adv.+30% EM drop.
:6: had a 80% EM$ and current favorite at 13 MTP
:2: +3 odds rank adv.
May do a dutch W on :2: & :5: but :5: is choice. On some short fields if the odds remain, I may do a :5:/ All box with extra boxes with favorite.
Prob. do a :1: /:2: :5: exacta box

R4-Lrl
 

I have 2 horses at +3 odds rank advantages & 1 horse +4.
:5: +3/+4 adv. no EM$, but the no. 1 lowest DD odds-Win
:6: +3 adv. and 58% EM drop-Win-dutch
:3: +2/+3 adv. and mild EM at 16%
I'd play :3: :5: :6: ex. box
May box the favorite with/:5: :6::3: looks to be the :1:

R5-Lrl
 

Didn't get a chance to review this before hand, but the :5: My Queen Michelle, looks to be the favorite with even money early at 6-1 ML, and easily the lowest odds ranks in the doubles.
:5: +3 or +5 odds rank adv, and 84% EM drop; since we again have three 6-1 ML's.
:2: 2nd choice @ +2/+4 rank adv.
Hopefully be back in time for R7- MSW.

R6-Lrl
 

:3: +5/+6 Odds rank favorite and 60% EM$ WP and box with 2 favors. in exactas
$1 box with the rest