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-   -   2019-2020 HONG KONG (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=154102)

Nitro 06-27-2020 04:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2624167)
R#7– 2000M C3 (10F)T….…1-2-5 W/ 3-12-7 …@3mins to Post

2-3-1-4– Dutch WIN 75% Profit Margin - PLAYED / $57.10 Quinella & $320.60 Triple BX

Nitro 06-27-2020 04:32 AM

R#8- 1650M C3 (8.25F)D….13-8-1 W/ 12-10-7……@3mins to Post

R#8- 1650M C3 (8.25F)D….8-1-7 W/ 12-10-3……@3mins to Post #13 Late Scr

Nitro 06-27-2020 04:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2624174)
R#8- 1650M C3 (8.25F)D….13-8-1 W/ 12-10-7……@3mins to Post

R#8- 1650M C3 (8.25F)D….8-1-7 W/ 12-10-3……@3mins to Post #13 Late Scr

8-10-6-3– Dutch WIN 74% Profit Margin – PLAYED/ $119.60 Quinella w/Great Value

Nitro 06-27-2020 05:11 AM

R#9- 1400M C3 (7F)T….……6-1-9 W/4-14-11…@3mins to Post

Nitro 06-27-2020 05:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2624178)
R#9- 1400M C3 (7F)T….……6-1-9 W/4-14-11…@3mins to Post

12-14-13-11– Dutch LOSS 109% Profit Margin - PLAYED / No action on the LS Winner #12 @ 27/1

Nitro 06-27-2020 05:43 AM

R#10-1400M C2 (7F)T…..…8-10-13 W/ 3-2-5….@3mins to Post

Nitro 06-27-2020 05:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2624186)
R#10-1400M C2 (7F)T…..…8-10-13 W/ 3-2-5….@3mins to Post

12-4-14-2– Dutch LOSS 69% Profit Margin - PLAYED / No action on the LS Winner #12 @ 43/1

All in all it turned out to be a decent race card with some nice results. The Dutch Win bets produced a break even result of hitting 4 of 8 races.
There were quite a few decent Verticals with nice value:
Hitting 8 of the 10 Quinellas, 2 Triples (and even 1 Quartet)

Nitro 07-05-2020 12:02 AM

HONG KONG - SHA TIN SUN- 7/5/20
 
Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
I’m won’t be posting my pre-race selections for this very competitive race card that looks to offer some decent value. There are 11 races at Sha Tin with 8 races on Turf & 3 on Dirt.

Post Time Race #1 – 12:30 AM SUN EST

I’ve taken a look at the M/L’s in combination with the early odds and using a unique static tote analysis have come up with my preliminary picks for each race. However, I’ll be only posting live selections this morning because the Live tote analysis will certainly shed more light on these entries and any others I might have missed.

The latest tote action (by 4 mins. to post) may reveal some things that cause final substitutions among the Top 3 picks from the Bottom 3 picks. However, the overall picks generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores. A few of the races this morning look wide open!

BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I can’t make a Dutch Win bet I’ll generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.

For those of you that have the resources to bet more than $2 per race you might want to consider the following in terms of betting:
1) Win Dutching 3 entries means betting each of the 3 entries so that no matter which one wins the return is the same. (Wait until 4 mins to post for final odds calculations).
2) For Quinellas there are many options:
a) Using all 3 of the top Keys with all the others = 12 bets
b) Boxing all 6 selections = 15 bets
3) Triples there also many options:
a) Using any Key in the top position w/All others = 20 bets
b) Using all 3 Keys in the top position w/All others = 60 bets
c) Using Top 4 selections in the top position w/All others = 80 bets
d) Boxing all 6 selections = 120 bets
(Warning: The odds of the selected entries @ 7 mins to post should determine playability by comparing the combined value of each group of 3 that may complete the triple with the amount to be bet).

Good Luck if you’re playing!
.
.

Nitro 07-05-2020 12:27 AM

R#1-1200M C6 (6F)T….1-8-3 W/ 2-4 …@4mins to Post

Nitro 07-05-2020 12:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2627712)
R#1-1200M C6 (6F)T….1-8-3 W/ 2-4 …@4mins to Post

1-3-2-8– Dutch WIN 11% Profit Margin - PASSED / $10.90 Quinella & $50.40 Triple BX ($121.20 Quartet Bx) – All of that one!

Nitro 07-05-2020 12:58 AM

R#2-1200M C4 (6F)T…….7-6-1 W/ 11-10-9 ……@3mins to Post

Nitro 07-05-2020 01:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2627716)
R#2-1200M C4 (6F)T…….7-6-1 W/ 11-10-9 ……@3mins to Post

6-10-12-7– Dutch WIN 44% Profit Margin – PASSED/ $35.10 Quinella w/Good Value/

Nitro 07-05-2020 01:27 AM

R#3–2200M C5 (11F)T…….3-8-5 W/ 9-1-7…..@3 mins to Post

Nitro 07-05-2020 01:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2627723)
R#3–2200M C5 (11F)T…….3-8-5 W/ 9-1-7…..@3 mins to Post

10-9-2-1– Dutch LOSS 109% Profit Margin - PLAYED / Not much action on the LS Winner #10

Nitro 07-05-2020 02:04 AM

R#4- 1000M C4 (5F)T……10-1-13 W/ 5-4-6 …@3mins to Post

PA Server went down for 7 mins!


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