When to play Pletcher @SAR -- for now!!!
 

Pletcher's horses have been almost automatic at Saratoga when their Morning Lines are less than 3-1 his horses have won 13 out of 28 attempts in this situation!!!

You are getting a 34% return on your money per $2 win wager!!!


http://www.insidethenumbers.net/imag...rmlfavssar.jpg


However, back to back wins have been followed by losses and he had back to back wins yesterday so we will have to see what his Morning Lines less than 3-1 do today!!!

I haven't seen this type of consistency from him in quite a while let's see if he can keep it going for the rest of the Saratoga season!!!


When you peel back a layer 11 of the 13 wins in this situation were on the Dirt and you are getting a 33% return on your money per $2 win wager!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/imag...favsdrtsar.jpg

Also 10 of the last 10 have finished no worse than 2nd in this situation!!!

I will be keeping a close eye on his horses on the Dirt when their Morning Line is less than 3-1!!!

Pletcher has a Morning Line less than 3-1 entered in 4th race at Saratoga tomorrow:

4th race
#6 Gidu

However, this race is on the Turf but let's see if he can get this one to win!!!

I missed this one from Pletcher yesterday as it was 5/2 in the Morning Line
#10 Itsabigboy in the 10th race at Saratoga another winner for Pletcher less than 3-1 in the Morning Line on the Dirt!!!

This now makes 12 of 23 that have won for him in this situation!!!

In addition, to #6 Gidu in the 4th race he also has these:

6th race
#4 Win With Pride

9th race
#10 Snag


However, these are also on the Turf and his horses have been struggling on the Turf when they are less than 3-1 in the Morning line they have only won 2 of their last 6 attempts at Saratoga

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/imag...lfavtrfsar.jpg

Let's see if he can get a win or two from these today at the Spa!!!

4th race
#6 Gidu

6th race
#4 Win With Pride

9th race
#10 Snag

Although Pletcher let us down Monday in terms of wins, all 3 of his horses hit the board and if you played all of them to show you got $9.90 for your effort and at $2 per show wager you got a 65% return on your money!!!

So in this case, show betting was more profitable than win betting although that doesn't happen very often with Morning Line Favorites

In any event, these were all on the Turf and so they will not qualify for the study

He has this one entered today in the 10th race

10th race
#3 Irst

Let's see if he can get the win with this one as it will qualify for the study!!!

Well Pletcher let us down today as #3 Irst finished 2nd paying $5.70 across the board

However he does have a streak of 11 in a row that have finished no worse than 2nd when his horses Morning Lines are less than 3-1 on the Dirt!!!

Let's see if he can get this one to win today and he has a streak of 11 in a row that have finished no worse than 2nd when his horses are on the Dirt and their Morning Line is less than 3-1!!!

3rd race
#3 Thebigfundamental

Let's see if he can get the streak to 12 today with a win!!!

Well Pletcher redeemed himself from yesterday and got the win with #3 Thebigfundamental on the Dirt today and extended the streak to 12 in a row that have finished no worse than 2nd when his horses are on the Dirt and their Morning Line is less than 3-1!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/imag...sthronesar.jpg

I still can't get over how his horses are winning at over 50% in this situation the average win price is $5 and you are getting a 36% return per $2 win wager in this situation at Saratoga not too shabby for some Favorites!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the #3 Thebigfundamental play today and were able to make a profit!!!

I am really surprised to see Pletcher's horses doing so well as Favorites his horses have done practically nothing for quite a while now but they are giving some profits!!!

Let's hope it continues for the rest of the Saratoga season!!!

Pletcher has this today at Saratoga in the 10th race on the Dirt

10th race
#2 Sanavi

Let's see if he can get the win with this one and make it 13 in a row finishing no worse than 2nd on the Dirt with a Morning Line less than 3-1!!!

Since the 4th and the 6th races at Saratoga are off the Turf Pletcher's horses will qualify for the study

4th race
#7 El Dulce

6th race
#9 Caviar Czar

Let's see if he can get these to the winners circle in the 4th and the 6th at the Spa!!!

Well Pletcher remains hot when his horses are on the Dirt and their Morning Line is less than 3-1!!!

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This makes 15 in a row finishing no worse than 2nd on the Dirt with a Morning Line less than 3-1 since August 3rd!!!

You are getting a 40% return per $2 win wager in this situation not too shabby for some projected Favorites!!!

His horses are winning at 53% in this situation since the start of the Saratoga season!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the #2 Sanavi and the #9 Caviar Czar plays!!!

If you played Pletcher's horses today with Morning Lines less than 3-1 you got a 68% return on your money per $2 win wager!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/imag...rlstrhrdrt.jpg

I was hoping for three wins in a row in this situation but #7 El Dulce let me down but still ran 2nd to keep the streak going at 15 in a row finishing no worse than 2nd!!!

Since August 3rd Pletcher's horses have hit the board and finished no worse than 2nd in 16 straight attempts on the Dirt at Saratoga!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/imag...sxtnsardrt.jpg

For the season so far you are getting a 78% return per $2 win wager on his horses in this situation!!!

You are also getting a 52% return per $2 win place and show wager in this situation not too shabby for some projected Favorites!!!

He has this today in the 10th race if it comes off the Turf

10th race
#15 Tapella (KY) (MTO)

Let's see if he can get this one to the winners circle if it comes off the Turf today!!!

It seems that back to back wins are usually followed by a 2nd place finish so I suspect that his next entry will come 2nd and maybe the entry after that might take the win!!!

We will see!!!

I will compute the show parlay returns in another post!!!