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Ray2000 10-02-2017 09:33 AM

Dime Supers
 
Trying out a small run of 10¢ Superfectas, 2 picks on top of 5
Ticket cost is $4.80

Might go to 20¢ tracks if this shows any promise

Monday 10/2

Dayton R2........ 4,8 / 4,8,9,6,1
Dayton R3........ 3,7 / 3,7,2,4,1
Dayton R5........ 2,8 / 2,8,5,4,1
Dayton R8........ 6,2 / 6,2,4,1,3
Dayton R10....... 4,8 / 4,8,3,5,1
Dayton R11....... 5,6 / 5,6,2,9,1

Monticello R1.... 4,3 / 4,3,2,6,1
Monticello R2.... 2,1 / 2,1,6,7,3
Monticello R4.... 2,4 / 2,4,9,1,3
Monticello R5.... 8,6 / 8,6,2,3,1
Monticello R6.... 5,2 / 5,2,7,8,1

Pocono R3........ 3,2 / 3,2,5,9,6
Pocono R6........ 5,4 / 5,4,8,6,2


Dime tracks
DTN
FHLD
HAR
HOP
MR
PCD
RCR
VD

20¢ tracks

BTVA
FLMD
GRVR
HAW
LEX
MOH
NFLD
PRC

tyler522 10-02-2017 11:14 AM

Ray, I have noticed that beaten favs , pacers only , post 1-5, in same class or drop, win at nice rate , next start however can ur BOT tell me if the WIN% &ROI ...when beaten fav returns as fav & not fav matters been focusing on Yonkers?Thanks in advance

Ray2000 10-02-2017 11:57 AM

I happen to have some data like what you're asking about for 1/1/16 - 12/31/16
Your comment on "faves in last start" is true with Impact values near the top of factor list.
Code:

                                       
                Impact                       
Starts        Win%        Value        ROI        Factor       
29728        44.22%        3.446        0.875        fave today       
12364        24.58%        1.915        0.769        fave in last and won               
13219        20.70%        1.613        0.739        rail start 1/2 mile       
15356        20.40%        1.589        0.782        fave in last and beat       
28763        19.85%        1.547        0.757        won last race       
3167        19.23%        1.498        0.828        claimed in last       
27547        14.57%        1.135        0.777        different track last time       
9043        14.44%        1.125        0.8        rail start 5/8       
104816        13.33%        1.039        0.716        tracksize1/2       
237879        12.84%        1        0.744        all starters       
74810        12.60%        0.982        0.735        tracksize5/8       
21994        12.45%        0.97        0.822        tracksize1       
36259        12.10%        0.943        0.797        tracksize7/8       
2518        11.68%        0.91        0.819        rail start 1       
4074        11.19%        0.872        0.688        rail start 7/8       
26910        10.09%        0.786        0.699        driver is trainer       
209545        9.17%        0.714        0.725        ML>2.9       
Best in category in race                                       
23133        24.10%                0.84        My Speed       
23133        28.90%                0.81        TM Speed       
23133        22.10%                0.77        Yr Earnings$       
23133        22.00%                0.76        TM Class       
23133        20.40%                0.75        Top UDR Driver       
23133        19.10%                0.75        Top W% Trainer       
23133        17.20%                0.75        Early Speed       
23133        19.30%                0.74        2Yr Win%       
23133        19.60%                0.71        Fastest FT       
23133        16.30%                0.70        Fastest 4QT


tyler522 10-02-2017 12:36 PM

Thanks again

Ray2000 10-02-2017 05:04 PM

Add some more pokies

Pocono R4........ 8,4 / 8,4,6,5,2
Pocono R5........ 5,6 / 5,6,9,7,1
Pocono R7........ 1,9 / 1,9,4,5,2
Pocono R8........ 6,2 / 6,2,3,8,9
Pocono R9........ 1,5 / 1,5,3,9,2
Pocono R10....... 2,8 / 2,8,9,1,7
Pocono R14....... 6,9 / 6,9,5,7,1

Ray2000 10-03-2017 09:39 AM

Yesterday was not good, collected ~$25 on ~$90 bet

Changing the format today, Single key on top of 5....$6.00 tickets..$96 bet

Dayton R1........ 3 / 1,2,6,5,4
Dayton R4........ 5 / 1,9,6,2,3
Dayton R5........ 6 / 7,1,4,5,2
Dayton R9........ 8 / 1,7,5,2,3
Dayton R10....... 4 / 9,3,8,5,1
Dayton R11....... 3 / 5,7,8,1,2
Harrington R2.... 5 / 1,2,3,4,6
Harrington R6.... 2 / 3,1,7,4,5
Hoosier R3....... 2 / 6,1,5,3,4
Monticello R2.... 2 / 4,7,1,3,5
Monticello R5.... 6 / 5,8,2,4,1
Monticello R7.... 1 / 5,8,2,4,3
Pocono R2........ 1 / 8,5,2,3,4
Pocono R7........ 2 / 9,1,6,5,3
Pocono R12....... 6 / 3,7,9,1,2
Pocono R14....... 2 / 8,6,1,3,4

Ray2000 10-04-2017 04:42 AM

Yesterday much better with 2 nice hits at Dayton and Pokie
Code:

Dayton R1........ 3 / 1,2,6,5,4                               
Dayton R4........ 5 / 1,9,6,2,3                               
Dayton R5........ 6 / 7,1,4,5,2                               
Dayton R9........ 8 / 1,7,5,2,3                               
Dayton R10....... 4 / 9,3,8,5,1                               
Dayton R11....... 3 / 5,7,8,1,2                        64.35       
Harrington R2.... 5 / 1,2,3,4,6                        8.90       
Harrington R6.... 2 / 3,1,7,4,5                        13.17        dh for 2nd and 3rd collect twice
Hoosier R3....... 2 / 6,1,5,3,4                               
Monticello R2.... 2 / 4,7,1,3,5                        3.86       
Monticello R5.... 6 / 5,8,2,4,1                               
Monticello R7.... 1 / 5,8,2,4,3                        9.80       
Pocono R2........ 1 / 8,5,2,3,4                               
Pocono R7........ 2 / 9,1,6,5,3                               
Pocono R12....... 6 / 3,7,9,1,2                               
Pocono R14....... 2 / 8,6,1,3,4                        53.17       
                                $96 in                $153.25        back

Only have 6 for today
Hoosier R6....... 6 / 7,4,5,1,2
Monticello R2.... 4 / 7,5,8,1,2
Monticello R3.... 2 / 5,1,6,4,3
Monticello R4.... 4 / 2,9,3,1,5
Monticello R5.... 2 / 4,1,5,3,6
Monticello R6.... 1 / 5,2,6,4,3

Ray2000 10-04-2017 05:37 AM

Adding some 20 centers for Northfield

Northfield R1.... 2 / 4,5,7,1,3
Northfield R2.... 3 / 8,6,1,2,4
Northfield R6.... 3 / 2,1,9,4,5
Northfield R7.... 2 / 3,5,7,1,4
Northfield R13... 2 / 5,7,9,3,1
Northfield R15... 5 / 2,4,6,9,1

Ray2000 10-04-2017 08:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ray2000 (Post 2227949)
Adding some 20 centers for Northfield

Northfield R1.... 2 / 4,5,7,1,3
Northfield R2.... 3 / 8,6,1,2,4
Northfield R6.... 3 / 2,1,9,4,5
Northfield R7.... 2 / 3,5,7,1,4
Northfield R13... 2 / 5,7,9,3,1
Northfield R15... 5 / 2,4,6,9,1


Race 13 isn't a Super-fecta it's a Super-Hi5
(The robot was confused :))

Playing

Northfield Race 13
$0.20 PEN on 2/5,7,9/1,3,5,7,9/1,3,5,7,9/1,3,5,7,9

for $14.40 cost

Ray2000 10-05-2017 05:48 AM

Results:
 
Code:

Track        Race        Collect
HOP . . .6 . . . --
MR . . . 2 . . . --
MR . . . 3 . . . --
MR . . . 4 . . . $19.73
MR . . . 5 . . . $3.93
MR . . . 6 . . . $11.53
NFLD . . .1 . . .$10.16
NFLD . . .2 . . .$6.00
NFLD . . .6 . . . --
NFLD . . .7 . . .$96.06
NFLD . . .13 . . .--(Hi-5)
NFLD . . .15 . . .$5.54

Bet $110.40 return $152.94

Dime Supers for Thursday ("T" = 10)

Dayton R3........ 3 / 6,5,4,7,1
Dayton R7........ 5 / 6,2,3,1,4

Freehold R4...... 5 / 8,3,2,1,4

Harrington R4.... 2 / 1,5,3,8,4
Harrington R10... 5 / 1,3,6,4,2

Hoosier R4....... 5 / 1,8,T,2,3
Hoosier R7....... 5 / 7,1,6,8,2
Hoosier R8....... 5 / 8,2,4,9,1

Monticello R2.... 5 / 1,4,8,2,3
Monticello R6.... 3 / 1,5,4,2,6
Monticello R8.... 3 / 4,8,1,2,5
Monticello R10... 3 / 4,1,7,2,5

Vernon R3........ 1 / 7,8,2,5,3

Ray2000 10-06-2017 05:56 AM

Yesterday just 2 small collects, $1.76 and $14.95 at Monti

Dimes for Today, Oct 6
Dayton R1........ 5 / 1,2,7,3,4
Dayton R3........ 4 / 5,9,6,1,2
Dayton R5........ 4 / 2,1,9,5,3
Dayton R6........ 1 / 3,5,7,2,4
Dayton R10....... 2 / 3,1,8,5,4
Dayton R11....... 5 / 4,1,6,2,3
Dayton R12....... 5 / 4,9,8,6,1
Dayton R14....... 5 / 1,8,7,6,2

Freehold R4...... 4 / 3,6,8,1,2

Hoosier R1....... 6 / 4,2,7,5,1
Hoosier R6....... 5 / 4,3,7,1,2
Hoosier R8....... 6 / 5,1,8,4,2

Vernon R3........ 4 / 2,7,6,5,1
Vernon R4........ 4 / 6,2,1,5,3
Vernon R6........ 3 / 4,5,2,1,6
Vernon R7........ 3 / 2,4,1,5,6

Mohawk R3........ 3 / 6,4,2,1,5
Mohawk R4........ 6 / 3,9,4,1,2

Mohawks are 20¢ tickets ($12)

Ray2000 10-06-2017 01:59 PM

Freehold Race 4 10¢ Superfecta 4-2-8-1 pays $238.34..............$7000 pool

Off to a good start :jump:


Longshot6977 10-06-2017 08:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ray2000 (Post 2228721)
Freehold Race 4 10¢ Superfecta 4-2-8-1 pays $238.34..............$7000 pool

Off to a good start :jump:


Awesome!:headbanger:

Ray2000 10-07-2017 05:40 AM

Thx Longshot, best dime I ever spent ...:)

Yesterday 3 hits, all were the 4th race of the card
Fhld $238.34
Moh $15.70
Vd $4.85

(Vernon R6 was refunded, ...don't know why. Six horse field??)

Bet $114, collect $285.89

This run so far
Bet $518.40 collect $632.79 net +114.39

Supers for Saturday
Dayton R3........ 5 / 4,2,6,8,1
Dayton R5........ 2 / 5,6,1,3,4
Dayton R6........ 6 / 5,1,4,2,3
Dayton R8........ 5 / 1,7,2,3,4
Dayton R13....... 2 / 1,7,8,4,5
Dayton R14....... 3 / 5,1,8,2,4

Freehold R1...... 1 / 5,3,4,2,6
Freehold R2...... 2 / 3,1,4,5,6
Freehold R3...... 2 / 1,4,5,3,6
Freehold R4...... 2 / 8,1,6,5,3
Freehold R10..... 4 / 3,6,5,1,2
Freehold R11..... 3 / 1,4,5,2,6

Hoosier R2....... 1 / 3,4,6,5,2
Hoosier R3....... 5 / 4,2,6,3,1
Hoosier R4....... 2 / 4,6,8,5,1
Hoosier R8....... 5 / 3,4,6,1,2
Hoosier R9....... 4 / T,8,9,5,1
Hoosier R10...... 5 / 4,7,8,6,1

Pocono R1........ 5 / 1,7,8,4,2
Pocono R2........ 4 / 2,7,3,1,5
Pocono R3........ 1 / 4,6,8,2,3
Pocono R5........ 5 / 1,7,4,2,3
Pocono R6........ 3 / 1,9,2,8,4
Pocono R8........ 1 / 6,3,2,7,4
Pocono R11....... 1 / 4,2,8,3,5
Pocono R12....... 1 / 2,3,6,4,5
Pocono R14....... 5 / 1,4,2,3,6

Rosecroft R7..... 4 / 8,2,1,5,3
Rosecroft R8..... 5 / 2,8,7,1,3
Rosecroft R10.... 1 / 9,2,6,5,3

Vernon R3........ 5 / 2,4,1,3,6
Vernon R9........ 6 / 7,4,1,5,2

Northfield R1.... 3 / 5,1,8,2,4
Northfield R7.... 1 / 9,8,3,2,4
Northfield R10... 1 / 2,3,6,4,5

Mohawk R5........ 4 / 3,6,T,1,2
Mohawk R7........ 5 / 6,9,4,1,2
Mohawk R8........ 5 / 4,6,7,1,2

JBmadera 10-07-2017 07:03 AM

Great work Ray!


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