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-   -   KEEP IT SIMPLE, STUPID (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=167933)

Robert Fischer 12-02-2021 06:09 AM

KEEP IT SIMPLE, STUPID
 
https://thumbs.gfycat.com/SpiffyHate...restricted.gif

Solid opinions and weak betting of late.

  • race to race wagers should usually be of similar amount
  • wager should directly reflect the Opinion, if it can't be translated, pass

A's Today = AQUEDUCT AND WOODBINE

B's Today = Fairgrounds and Turfway + any random watchlist

Robert Fischer 12-02-2021 06:18 AM

Opinions
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Robert Fischer (Post 2769833)
opinions

That's an abbreviated description of the game, to me.

You handicap a race, and then you have an opinion.
  • sometimes you don't have a strong opinion
  • or maybe your opinion is much the same as Odds?
  • or maybe you disagree with the public? **POSSIBLE WAGER**

Robert Fischer 12-02-2021 11:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Robert Fischer (Post 2769835)
the game, to me


Robert Fischer 12-03-2021 08:32 AM



this is how I apply my due diligence with the knowledge and experience that I've built over the years as a horseplayer and PA member and student.

It does not give me an 'answer'. It's about having a full understanding of a race, or knowing that you are missing information.

However, if multiple models point in one direction without a tradeoff of models pointing in the other direction, than it's a play if I feel that it holds up.

It isn't entered into an algorithm, although it lends itself to such an application.

Some of the models are basically pure data, while some of the models require skill and interpretation.

Robert Fischer 12-03-2021 11:36 AM

almost time for Aqueduct
 


about ten minutes to Aqueduct

Robert Fischer 12-03-2021 11:52 AM


get some blood flowing to the brain

Robert Fischer 12-03-2021 11:57 AM


Robert Fischer 12-03-2021 12:21 PM


Robert Fischer 12-03-2021 12:27 PM


Robert Fischer 12-03-2021 01:14 PM


Robert Fischer 12-03-2021 01:22 PM

alright...


a few bucks back... didn't crush it , just some min

Robert Fischer 12-03-2021 03:02 PM


Robert Fischer 12-03-2021 06:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Robert Fischer (Post 2770190)
[url]...


Robert Fischer 12-03-2021 06:36 PM

unexpected money
 

Robert Fischer 12-04-2021 06:44 AM

keep working stay current get up early
 


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