HONG KONG – SHA TIN SAT-4/17
 

Good evening to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
I’ll be posting my pre-race selections for this very competitive race card that looks to offer some decent value. There are 10 races at Sha Tin with 6 races on the Turf and 4 on Dirt.

Post Time Race #1 – 1:00 AM SAT EST

I’ve taken a look at the M/L’s in combination with the early odds and using a unique static tote analysis have come up with my preliminary picks for each race. However, I’ll be only posting live selections this morning because the Live tote analysis will certainly shed more light on these entries and any others I might have missed.

The latest tote action (by 4 mins. to post) may reveal some things that cause final substitutions among the Top 3 picks from the Bottom 3 picks. However, the overall picks generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores. A few of the races this morning look wide open!

BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I can’t make a Dutch Win bet I’ll generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.

For those of you that have the resources to bet more than $2 per race you might want to consider the following in terms of betting:
1) Win Dutching 3 entries means betting each of the 3 entries so that no matter which one wins the return is the same. (Wait until 4 mins to post for final odds calculations).
2) For Quinellas there are many options:
a) Using all 3 of the top Keys with all the others = 12 bets
b) Boxing all 6 selections = 15 bets
3) Triples there also many options:
a) Using any Key in the top position w/All others = 20 bets
b) Using all 3 Keys in the top position w/All others = 60 bets
c) Using Top 4 selections in the top position w/All others = 80 bets
d) Boxing all 6 selections = 120 bets
(Warning: The odds of the selected entries @ 7 mins to post should determine playability by comparing the combined value of each group of 3 that may complete the triple with the amount to be bet).

Good Luck if you’re playing!
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Preliminary Selections for ALL 10 races: (5 on Turf & 5 on Dirt)

R#1-1200M C5 (6F)T…...........7-4-8 W/ 3-5-1

R#2- 1000M C3 (5F)T……….…..4-8-5 W/ 2-3-9

R#3– 1650M C3 (8.25F)D….….5-9-6 W/ 10-2-3

R#4- 1800M C4 (9F)T…….……..2-4-12 W/ 1-7-5

R#5- 1650M C4 (8.25F)D………10-12-1 W/ 11-2-4

R#6- 1200M C3 (6F)D………….…8-10-5 W/ 4-2-7

R#7– 1200M C4 (6F)D……………10-4-1 W/ 3-11-8

R#8- 1400M C4 (7F)T………….…8-5-12 W/ 6-2-4

R#9- 1200M C2 (6F)D…………..5-4-3 W/ 1-7-12

R#10-1400M C3 (7F)T…………. 1-12-3 W/ 4-10-5

Live Video:
https://www.thoroughbrednews.com.au/...=livestreaming

Live W/P & QUIN Tote Activities:
https://bet.hkjc.com/racing/pages/od...ue=ST&raceno=1
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Race 1
 

9 had all the late action Horse

5 4 3 2 1 0 -1 Odds #
3.2 5.7 5.8 4.0 3.2 3.0 4
1.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.0
5.6 7.4 7.4 8.5 7.2 4.5 8
0.9 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8
7.2 12.8 14.9 20.0 6.8 6.0 1
0.7 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.6
7.8 11.5 9.1 15.0 12.8 7.0 3
1.2 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.5
9.2 7.6 7.8 7.2 6.3 8.0 7
0.5 1.1 1.1 0.7 1.1
17.3 7.8 22.3 3.5 14.6 10.0 9
0.8 3.2 1.2 2.9 1.1
21.4 24.3 36.2 36.6 27.4 15.0 10
0.7 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.5
22.8 5.3 18.2 17.5 15.5 11.0 11
0.8 2.1 0.6 1.1 0.8
22.0 26.5 2.7 8.9 23.5 12.0 6
1.0 1.2 6.8 1.8 0.6
36.9 24.1 44.6 55.4 40.0 23.0 2
0.9 1.3 0.7 0.7 0.6
25.2 16.8 36.6 60.5 22.1 21.0 5
0.9 1.6 0.6 0.4 1.9
40.3 55.3 50.0 34.9 26.5 28.0 12
0.9 1.1 1.2 1.0 2.2

Can you explain what is going on here....I am struggling to see what it is you are posting....probably some columns and formatting would help my old eyes.....

Race 2 & top in combo pool hit at 2 mtp
 

SORTED
# MTP QBD% Inf Cnt
7 2 422% 6
4 2 274% 7
1 9 164% 9
1 2 126% 6
2 2 126% 4

Ozark
 

When I paste the number Pace advantage does not keep the spaces

The numbers are win per minute the top numbers are Minutes to post

Ozark
 

The 9 was bet at 3.5 odds at 2 mtp BOLD faceed

Notice all this stuff and the claims are posted after the race is over!! :bang:

Nitro
 

Nitro

Any time you want to go heads up let me know . I show all the horses with the mtp . Anyone can see the numbers. Im not getting paid to post my numbers, but I will lay 10k to your 5 k my software will crush yours. Ready to post up 5 k

Race 2 look at 7
 

I posted race 2 The 7 is the top pick at 40 -1 you dont have him in your top 6

The 7 is hit at 2 mtp EVERYONE CAN SEE IT BUT YOU HAVE NOTHING ON THE
7 WHY????? Answer your software doesn't get enough detail in combo pool

Race 3 all of that one
 

kaboom