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-   -   Sports Betting at Tracks - How Would it Affect You? (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=143938)

DeanT 03-26-2018 12:43 PM

Sports Betting at Tracks - How Would it Affect You?
 
Here's an article on the (perhaps) soon to be offered sports betting at tracks (or perhaps alongside racing in an ADW):

http://www.harnessracingupdate.com/2...ng-in-between/

It looks at how sports betting coexists in Australia and elsewhere with horse racing, and how their bettors have reacted.

Wondering - how would this legislative change affect you? Would you change your play, bet more sports, reload your bankrolls to bet both more sports and racing in the same account, no change at all?

I'm interested to see what y'all think about this.

CincyHorseplayer 03-26-2018 12:51 PM

Even with a recent payoff plummet I am getting a 7-1 return on horse races. Sports betting whatever! I am not a pure gambler though. I just love this game.

Saratoga_Mike 03-26-2018 01:50 PM

It already exists at Delaware Park - parlays only, though.

thaskalos 03-26-2018 02:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DeanT (Post 2295019)
Here's an article on the (perhaps) soon to be offered sports betting at tracks (or perhaps alongside racing in an ADW):

http://www.harnessracingupdate.com/2...ng-in-between/

It looks at how sports betting coexists in Australia and elsewhere with horse racing, and how their bettors have reacted.

Wondering - how would this legislative change affect you? Would you change your play, bet more sports, reload your bankrolls to bet both more sports and racing in the same account, no change at all?

I'm interested to see what y'all think about this.

The track patrons will obviously wager on both horses AND sports...but those folks will have a set amount of money at their disposal...and any money that they bet on sports will be put "on hold" for a substantial amount of time. That can't help the horse-betting churn, IMO.

jay68802 03-26-2018 02:05 PM

Will not change a thing, my bookie already hangs out at the track.

DeanT 03-26-2018 03:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thaskalos (Post 2295068)
The track patrons will obviously wager on both horses AND sports...but those folks will have a set amount of money at their disposal...and any money that they bet on sports will be put "on hold" for a substantial amount of time. That can't help the horse-betting churn, IMO.

I think that's true.

On the flipside, we all probably know players who left the track to, say, play poker, or sports bet a bit.

If it's legal, do any of these folks come back to the track to play an afternoon slate of football games, see that there's a pick 5 carryover, or hangs with his horse racing peeps again and takes dip back into the horse racing pools?

Andy Asaro 03-26-2018 03:23 PM

7 or 8 years ago I bought a domain. www.californiasportsbetting.com

Have no idea why I still have it.

thaskalos 03-26-2018 03:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DeanT (Post 2295090)
I think that's true.

On the flipside, we all probably know players who left the track to, say, play poker, or sports bet a bit.

If it's legal, do any of these folks come back to the track to play an afternoon slate of football games, see that there's a pick 5 carryover, or hangs with his horse racing peeps again and takes dip back into the horse racing pools?

Doubtful, IMO. The players who have left the game in order to bet sports are probably betting on sports right now...while using the street bookies who can be easily found at every racetrack or OTB. And these bookies allow you to bet on credit, which, as the credit card industry has already proven, is the way that most consumers like to do "business".

MonmouthParkJoe 03-26-2018 04:41 PM

2 Attachment(s)
I was at Monmouth park Sunday for an Easter egg hunt. Poked around to see what’s going on. Nice to see they repainted the umbrellas for the picnic area. Oh and some sweet TVs with blue to tie in with sports betting and William
Hill :ThmbDown:

horses4courses 03-26-2018 05:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Saratoga_Mike (Post 2295059)
It already exists at Delaware Park - parlays only, though.

Are William Hill taking those parlay bets?

Saratoga_Mike 03-26-2018 06:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by horses4courses (Post 2295146)
Are William Hill taking those parlay bets?

Great question. I have no idea who helps with the betting lines. I've never played a parlay card at Delaware. They do a steady sports-betting business on Saturdays and Sundays in the fall, with the sports-betting crowd skewing younger than the racing crowd. I'd need to watch more carefully, but I don't see those drawn to the track by sports betting giving the track much of a second thought, but there must be some small percentage. Delaware has a first-rate simulcast area, and by extension sports-betting area --- they invested big-time in a very, very long wall of high-quality TVs a few years ago. Oh, I don't believe Delaware Park (or Dover) is allowed to take bets on anything but pro sports, at least that was the case a few years back. I never pay attention to the sports-betting boards, so I don't know if that changed.

Andy Asaro 03-26-2018 07:31 PM

The point is that racing will have an opportunity to convert. And IMO they will screw up the opportunity.

jay68802 03-26-2018 07:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Andy Asaro (Post 2295201)
The point is that racing will have an opportunity to convert. And IMO they will screw up the opportunity.

Come on Andy, when was the last time in the last ten years that horse race has screwed up a opportunity? OK, maybe not ten years, the last five years? OK, maybe since yesterday? Tell me that.

thaskalos 03-26-2018 07:41 PM

The racing industry wanted to get into the casino business...and we all saw what that did for the welfare of our favorite game. Now, the racing industry endeavors to branch out into another form of gambling. Is there a reason to be more optimistic about the welfare of the game THIS time around? I think not.

Unless the current racing product improves, especially on the weekdays...then any other forms of gambling that are introduced on racetrack grounds can only take players away from the game where they are needed the most.

lamboguy 03-27-2018 08:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thaskalos (Post 2295206)
The racing industry wanted to get into the casino business...and we all saw what that did for the welfare of our favorite game. Now, the racing industry endeavors to branch out into another form of gambling. Is there a reason to be more optimistic about the welfare of the game THIS time around? I think not.

Unless the current racing product improves, especially on the weekdays...then any other forms of gambling that are introduced on racetrack grounds can only take players away from the game where they are needed the most.

maybe we should bring back gin rummy and klaberjass.

i wonder if anyone here knows the game of klaberjass?

dlivery 03-27-2018 08:08 AM

gin rummy
 
I have seen some nice pots on the tables
Kinda like a game where you sit and wait pounce.
With the way players are playing today at the tracks seems they are looking for the diamond in the scruff.

Dave Schwartz 03-28-2018 02:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lamboguy (Post 2295307)
maybe we should bring back gin rummy and klaberjass.

i wonder if anyone here knows the game of klaberjass?

Lambo,

You'd think that a guy who has actually dealt Faro Bank would know every game, but I must admit that you've got me there.


Dave

Seabiscuit@AR 03-28-2018 06:16 AM

One issue with sports betting will be to the extent they allow "in the run" or "in play" betting on sports while the match or game is live. In particular if they will allow these live bets to be placed over the internet

Sports betting before the game/match starts is not that big a deal as turnover is not that big. However growth with "in the run" or "in play" betting on sports has exploded with some sports in recent years. It is this type of betting which could put horse racing into the shade

cj 03-28-2018 08:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dave Schwartz (Post 2295554)
Lambo,

You'd think that a guy who has actually dealt Faro Bank would know every game, but I must admit that you've got me there.


Dave

Sounds like one of those games from Vegas Vacation.

lamboguy 03-28-2018 03:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dave Schwartz (Post 2295554)
Lambo,

You'd think that a guy who has actually dealt Faro Bank would know every game, but I must admit that you've got me there.


Dave

i never in a million years thought that wikipedia would have this one, but they do! i used to play it at the Mayfair and Cavendish club for big money years ago.


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Klaberjass

biggestal99 03-28-2018 03:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Seabiscuit@AR (Post 2295564)
One issue with sports betting will be to the extent they allow "in the run" or "in play" betting on sports while the match or game is live. In particular if they will allow these live bets to be placed over the internet

Sports betting before the game/match starts is not that big a deal as turnover is not that big. However growth with "in the run" or "in play" betting on sports has exploded with some sports in recent years. It is this type of betting which could put horse racing into the shade

Betfair also allows cashout before the event is over. which is an excellent way to lock in profits. with no worries about the outcome.

If Monmouth is allowed to take sports bets its almost guaranteed that they team with Betfair to provide internet options on sports betting. wonder what their commission will be? 8%? 10%? 12%?

Allan

Inner Dirt 03-28-2018 04:25 PM

How many people in here have actually done it? I discovered Agua Calienete in 1990 and it unfortunately closed the horse track 3 years later. My friends and I which were a group of four always bet both. We handicapped the horses well before hand and while multiple tracks were offered we usually just played the live races at AC and one other track. The sports betting was done as something to watch in between races and we didn't invest much on it, usually a $20 spot each on a 3-game parlay. The horses were the priority and the sports betting really didn't effect the horse betting. At the time I was betting $50 to $200 on each horse race while a $20 spot provided 2-3 hours of sports betting action.

DeanT 03-29-2018 11:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Inner Dirt (Post 2295691)
How many people in here have actually done it? I discovered Agua Calienete in 1990 and it unfortunately closed the horse track 3 years later. My friends and I which were a group of four always bet both. We handicapped the horses well before hand and while multiple tracks were offered we usually just played the live races at AC and one other track. The sports betting was done as something to watch in between races and we didn't invest much on it, usually a $20 spot each on a 3-game parlay. The horses were the priority and the sports betting really didn't effect the horse betting. At the time I was betting $50 to $200 on each horse race while a $20 spot provided 2-3 hours of sports betting action.

I have a feeling this is the way it may go.

When slots entered a racetrack, horse betting handle was off about 15%. That's maybe your casual player moving over, not as much what you guys did. But there has to be some sort of drag, imo.

Inner Dirt 03-29-2018 12:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Inner Dirt (Post 2295691)
How many people in here have actually done it? I discovered Agua Calienete in 1990 and it unfortunately closed the horse track 3 years later. My friends and I which were a group of four always bet both. We handicapped the horses well before hand and while multiple tracks were offered we usually just played the live races at AC and one other track. The sports betting was done as something to watch in between races and we didn't invest much on it, usually a $20 spot each on a 3-game parlay. The horses were the priority and the sports betting really didn't effect the horse betting. At the time I was betting $50 to $200 on each horse race while a $20 spot provided 2-3 hours of sports betting action.



Quote:

Originally Posted by DeanT (Post 2295859)
I have a feeling this is the way it may go.

When slots entered a racetrack, horse betting handle was off about 15%. That's maybe your casual player moving over, not as much what you guys did. But there has to be some sort of drag, imo.

It could also go the other way and actually pull in new customers. You could have the serious sports bettor decide to bet a $20 here and there on a horse race. He may also decide to hang out to watch the game he just bet and buy a sandwich and wash it down with a couple beers.

Dave Schwartz 03-31-2018 11:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cj (Post 2295573)
Sounds like one of those games from Vegas Vacation.

Went by several names in the old west, including Buck the Tiger. Basically, it was a highly cheatable game.

The phrase "case card" comes from faro, and from that phrase comes the term "case money."

I learned the game when I was 10.

:-)

CincyHorseplayer 04-03-2018 09:59 AM

I stated my point from the outset. I only like to play this game. I guess the question should be do people that bet on horse racing want to bet on everything available? If it's just fun to toss money around this is just a new way to water down and take away from the greatness of all the betting outlets. Every man with a modicum of intelligence overestimates himself, self included, so why not let them scramble their brains even more betting everything then come back to racing? I have actually seen this happen with chronic slots losers at Belterra. The event is more exciting and you can pick your odds. Being down 5G's in the last month and winning $700 isn't that exciting. Anyway random Cincy thoughts. I hate other sports and games so I'm on this and like my returns. Everybody on here has made me a better player.

onefast99 04-03-2018 10:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by biggestal99 (Post 2295674)
Betfair also allows cashout before the event is over. which is an excellent way to lock in profits. with no worries about the outcome.

If Monmouth is allowed to take sports bets its almost guaranteed that they team with Betfair to provide internet options on sports betting. wonder what their commission will be? 8%? 10%? 12%?

Allan

The sports wagering case in front of the Supreme Court will allow MP to begin taking Wagers two weeks after its approval. There will be no internet wagering for quite sometime as the main theme here is to get people to the track to wager. I would imagine within a year the next phase will be introduced and most likely that would be sw at casinos and eventually small bar type wagering venues which should then lead to internet gaming run by the tracks and casinos. William Hill will be the recipient of all wagering platforms. As I have stated since the day we all discussed sw I don’t believe it is the only revenue stream that can save horse racing in New Jersey but it is a good start with plenty of growth opportunity ahead.

biggestal99 04-04-2018 10:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by onefast99 (Post 2298029)
The sports wagering case in front of the Supreme Court will allow MP to begin taking Wagers two weeks after its approval. There will be no internet wagering for quite sometime as the main theme here is to get people to the track to wager. I would imagine within a year the next phase will be introduced and most likely that would be sw at casinos and eventually small bar type wagering venues which should then lead to internet gaming run by the tracks and casinos. William Hill will be the recipient of all wagering platforms. As I have stated since the day we all discussed sw I don’t believe it is the only revenue stream that can save horse racing in New Jersey but it is a good start with plenty of growth opportunity ahead.

Once sports betting is legalized, it will be a natural for Monmouth to team up with betfair to handle the internet portion just like the casinos have teamed up with betfair to handle the casino internet.

Betfair Internet casino revenues are way up in Jersey.

I can easily envision Darby wanting in on the internet revenues before the casinos scoop it all up.

Allan

Valuist 04-04-2018 12:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Saratoga_Mike (Post 2295059)
It already exists at Delaware Park - parlays only, though.

Parlays don't (or shouldn't) count

Valuist 04-04-2018 12:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Inner Dirt (Post 2295691)
How many people in here have actually done it? I discovered Agua Calienete in 1990 and it unfortunately closed the horse track 3 years later. My friends and I which were a group of four always bet both. We handicapped the horses well before hand and while multiple tracks were offered we usually just played the live races at AC and one other track. The sports betting was done as something to watch in between races and we didn't invest much on it, usually a $20 spot each on a 3-game parlay. The horses were the priority and the sports betting really didn't effect the horse betting. At the time I was betting $50 to $200 on each horse race while a $20 spot provided 2-3 hours of sports betting action.

My horse racing handle now it about 10% of what it was ten years ago. The edges in the game are just so tough nowadays. I pretty much only bet the biggest 15-20 days a year now where I know there's a decent amount of public money. I know people like to fixate on big individual scores, but in the long haul, the takeout in racing is so much worse than sports betting that most people would be better off betting sports.

CincyHorseplayer 04-04-2018 01:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Valuist (Post 2298155)
My horse racing handle now it about 10% of what it was ten years ago. The edges in the game are just so tough nowadays. I pretty much only bet the biggest 15-20 days a year now where I know there's a decent amount of public money. I know people like to fixate on big individual scores, but in the long haul, the takeout in racing is so much worse than sports betting that most people would be better off betting sports.

Takeout doesn't affect the 7.5-1 return I get on my bets. Sports betting doesn't offer that. I don't know anything about your game but to me this is a tired argument from players who can't win in this game and I don't buy it. I'm 22 years in and I work to find my edges.

thaskalos 04-04-2018 02:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CincyHorseplayer (Post 2298173)
Takeout doesn't affect the 7.5-1 return I get on my bets. Sports betting doesn't offer that. I don't know anything about your game but to me this is a tired argument from players who can't win in this game and I don't buy it. I'm 22 years in and I work to find my edges.

How does your current betting volume compare to what you used to wager in the past, Cincy?

CincyHorseplayer 04-04-2018 05:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thaskalos (Post 2298198)
How does your current betting volume compare to what you used to wager in the past, Cincy?

I have bet 69% of the races I made lines for since December Gus. If I can't squeeze 6-1 out of it I won't bet. That usually translates to about 50% of every card I'm looking at. My numbers plummeted in March. Sub 2-1 shots were winning like mad everywhere.

CincyHorseplayer 04-04-2018 05:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thaskalos (Post 2298198)
How does your current betting volume compare to what you used to wager in the past, Cincy?

I bet more these days because I believe in what I am doing. Influenced by you I became a better bettor not just a decent handicapper. That didn't happen over night for me. All the work that was in it's germination stage that I sent you has come to fruition. 2/3rds of my play is on turf. If I was reduced to dirt and at this take I could never keep up. The opportunities are just not there on dirt.

biggestal99 04-05-2018 07:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CincyHorseplayer (Post 2298173)
Takeout doesn't affect the 7.5-1 return I get on my bets. Sports betting doesn't offer that. I don't know anything about your game but to me this is a tired argument from players who can't win in this game and I don't buy it. I'm 22 years in and I work to find my edges.

You would get more than 7.5-1 if the takeout was lower. Just as bettors on the betfair exchange who pay 5% commission make more money on each winning market than I, who pay 12%. Its all about the benjamins. Horses that pay 2.00 (odds evens 1-1)
On the exchange. Uk bettors get back 1.90, jersey bettors get back 1.76.

Allan

MutuelClerk 04-05-2018 08:40 AM

I can tell you one track it's not going to affect. That's Hazel Park in Michigan. This is going to be their last day of operation.

cj 04-05-2018 11:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MutuelClerk (Post 2298464)
I can tell you one track it's not going to affect. That's Hazel Park in Michigan. This is going to be their last day of operation.

Honestly didn't know they were still running. When they first started back a few years ago I tried making speed figures for the place but found it impossible. Forgot about it since.

lamboguy 04-07-2018 08:51 AM

i just looked at baseball lines last night. the offshore places are using ten cent spreads for games under $175. for the $175-$200 they use fifteen cent spreads. above that they were using twenty cent spreads.

in the 1990's you could go to the Barbary Coast casino in Las Vegas and bet up to $500 on a game with a five cent spread. that place did a ton of action using the smaller limit and juice.

Expressbet is involved in some type of fixed odds betting in Europe and had a tremendous quarter because of that. if we had fixed odds betting in this country the game would explode no matter what sports wagering does or doesn't do.

LemonSoupKid 04-08-2018 10:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lamboguy (Post 2299170)
i just looked at baseball lines last night. the offshore places are using ten cent spreads for games under $175. for the $175-$200 they use fifteen cent spreads. above that they were using twenty cent spreads.

in the 1990's you could go to the Barbary Coast casino in Las Vegas and bet up to $500 on a game with a five cent spread. that place did a ton of action using the smaller limit and juice.

Expressbet is involved in some type of fixed odds betting in Europe and had a tremendous quarter because of that. if we had fixed odds betting in this country the game would explode no matter what sports wagering does or doesn't do.

Right on all accounts. I recently told a bookie to drop the "juicy" lines; he was setting the normal baseball lines as .20 and not .10. It is a huge difference. Most people are unaware of how big an edge jumping from one to the other is for the house.

There is too much work in fixed odds betting (for the government entities) which is why if you see it pop up, it might entirely bankrupt them here. Can you even imagine a fairly big bookmaker offering a locked price (that was reasonable) in horse racing here in the US? It would be a revelation. And a threat.

biggestal99 04-12-2018 12:04 PM

Interesting article about Sports betting in todays Bloomberg.

will hill says 60% of its Nevada bets are online,

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/featu...ports-gambling

and that sport books margins are 18% but on line is only 8%

Allan


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