Let Cap.....GP Race #5 5/24/20
 

OK Guys....took this one over race 2 because it slightly better than a NW2L
this is a NW3L

The favorite is on the outside....bad post & also dropping big time class & layoff..to me all bad signs


use sire MEDAGLIA D'ORO

h o r s e - r a c e s . n e t
(remove spaces)

good luck

Contenders

3-4-5-6-9-10-11-14

EARLY PACE: 3-4-5-10-12

I see the 12 as trying to set the pace with a 22.2 45.2 fractions which none of the other earlies can run against...



I cant see any of the others than can compete..except 14 which might get scratched

The 10 has shown ability to pass horses

It leaves me with he 10 & 14..

GL

Mike

MY TWO CENTS
 

ALCON:
I like LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA. A couple of horses (that figure IMO) just won NW2 L. I guess the OBVIOUS is the JOCKEY (A ROD)

HOPBET

The Rain sucks
 

:1: Dictator Rail is winning at 19% another in here on a big drop. Cuts back in distance. trainer wins 26% with this move in 23 starts. Has won in the Mud. Kind of like this one.

:2: Dublin Tinker back to dirt. Drops off barn change. longshot. pass

:3: Luckytobeinamerica 4 for 16 Btn favorite ran 2nd this class last. Has early speed. gets barn ch. to Marcial Navarro 17%.

:4: Enzoexpress Highest last race speed rating. Off Cl after a big drop moves up a class trainer 22% off a Cl win ITM 57%. Another with early speed.

:5: Strategic Outlook Ran 2nd vs similar stretching out (1m) in last. another off a CL. cuts back to 6F. on ticket no win. Has won in the Mud.

:6: Don Fager trainer popped this one @ 37-1 in Clm8000n2L at Tampa. strictly a longshot.

:7:Quasar Moon Pass

:8: Dragon Moon Pass

:9: Gettinintomischief cuts back from 7 to 6 F showed speed in Clm8000n3L @ Tampa 3 back fin 2nd. Neg jock switch back to Fanny.

:10: Awesome Action Cl by Gilberto Zerpa Clm repeater 27% ITM 67% moves up off win. Another with early speed. Gets a neg post

:12: Man With a Plan Cl by Pletcher gets suspicious drop. Returns to Dirt. Failed as favorite in last 2 starts. Another with early speed and bad post. picks up JARAMILLO who has won with horse before.

:12::10:/:1::3::4::5::10::12:

Couldn't really find a best bet today so I'm going with Platinum software picks of 4-10 as my 2 win bets on a wet track

Looks to be between the :4: and :10: to me.

Gonna keep this one simple today

$10 WP :1:

I'm going with the :1: because the track is real sloppy and it should be hard to take the turn with a wide starting position. Vasquez loves the inside track at Gulfstream and his posture looks fantastic today, look for an aerodynamic win on this longshot!

MDCnorthlands

:1: not enough speed to factor
:2: too much speed, will fade badly.
:3: should stalk the :2: and make a move heading for home
:4: just broke non2, moves on from Rivelli, player underneath.
:5: route to sprint, seems one paced
:6: pass
:7: slow and in poor form
:8: see above
:9: tries to show speed and fades
:10: dangerous speed from outside, doubt he gets 2 in a row.
:12: class dropping Pletcher that’s been off over 5 months. Seems like a move to get rid of the horse, gotta pass here.

:3:/:4::5::10: tri.

Win bet on 5

It looks like the favs will be in order :12::4::3::5::1::10:

With the sloppy conditions I'm going to change my pick on a hunch play. #:7:Quasar Moon Bombs away.

#4 Enzoexpress was competitive at higher levels, beat cheaper horses easily, today's slight move up should not be a problem.

Strangely bet race, so keeping it small.

GULFSTREAM PARK
RACE 5
WN
$5.00 :4::10:

I'll take the contrarian route once again with a price. The :2: Dublin Tinker is interesting to me. The horse has figures further back that definitely fit. He has shown the ability to set off the pace and make up ground.

:2: WP

:1::2:
:3::4::10::12:

#1 Dictator zooming by ( i hope)